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Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
(Part 1 - Public)
COUNCIL BUDGET –
2024/25 REVENUE MONTH 2 BUDGET MONITORING
Cabinet Member Councillor Martin Goddard
Cabinet Portfolio Cabinet Member for Finance
Officer Contact Iain Watters, Finance
Papers with report None
HEADLINES
Summary
This report provides the Council's forecast financial position and
performance against the 2024/25 revenue budget.
A breakeven position is presented against the General Fund
revenue budget as of May 2024 (Month 2), with a level of risk within
demand-led pressures being managed within the position . Total
reserves are projected to be £ 34,954k at 31 March 2025 and
therefore remain above the minimum level of balances of £32,000k
for the 2024/25 financial year.
The Dedicated Schools Grant (DSG) monitoring position forecasts
indicate a reduced in year deficit for 2024/25 in respect of the High
Needs Block from £25,605k to £16,110k (a reduction of £ 9,495k)
with a range of interventions partially mitigating underfunded
demand within the High Needs block.
No material variances have been reported across the Housing
Revenue Account (HRA), with all service areas within the ringfence
reporting a breakeven position or the five-year Capital Programme
at this stage.
Putting our
Residents First
This report supports the delivery of the Council Strategy 2022-
2026.
Achieving Value for Money is an important element of the
Council’s Medium Term Financial Plan.
Financial Cost N/A
Relevant Select
Committee
Corporate Resources & Infrastructure
Relevant Ward(s) All
Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
(Part 1 - Public)
RECOMMENDATIONS
That the Cabinet:
1. Note the budget monitoring position and treasury management update as at May 2024
(Month 2), noting the actions proposed by officers as outlined in Part A of this report.
2. Approve the financial recommendations set out in Part B of this report.
Reasons for recommendation
1. The reason for Recommendation 1 is to ensure that the Council achieves its budgetary
objectives, providing Cabinet with the update on performance at Month 2 against budgets
approved by Council on 22 February 2024 contained within Part A of this report. An update
on the Council's Treasury Management activities is included within this section of the report.
2. Recommendation 2 seeks approval for the range of financial recommendations set out within
Part B of this report, which may include acceptance of grant funding, revisions to fees &
charges and ratification of decisions taken under special urgency provisions.
Alternative options considered / risk management
3. There are no other options proposed for consideration.
Select Committee comments
4. None at this stage.
Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
(Part 1 - Public)
PART A: MONTHLY BUDGET MONITORING
SUMMARY
GENERAL FUND REVENUE
5. A breakeven position is being reported at Month 2 against General Fund revenue budget
normal activities as of May 2024 (Month 2), with a range of significant risks and pressures
being managed within this position. This will result in unallocated balances totalling £26,848k
at 31 March 2025.
6. The position at Month 2 includes a number of measures aimed at reducing spend across the
Council throughout the year, with these measures needing to be closely monitored to assess
the success rate of reducing the Council’s spend. The Council is facing a number of significant
challenges in 2024/25 , with a risk of material variances being driven by exceptional
circumstances including:
i. Demand for homelessness presents a risk to the position. However, actions are in
place to mitigate these costs including increasing housing supply within the HRA .
This is a national issue with a particular challenge across London, with Government
funding not keeping pace with demand. The Council has an ambitious commissioning
plan within the HRA to deliver 300 new homes in 2024/25 , with efforts in this space
progressing at pace to mitigate demand - including the acquisition of accommodation
in Hayes, providing 113 homes, the acquisition of a devel opment opportunity in
Uxbridge that will ultimately supply in excess of 105 homes and the development of
two sites in Yiewsley that will deliver a further 95 homes.
ii. The Council is also seeing continuing demand for Adult Social Care services, with
growth in this service area outstripping the rate of growth in the population for the
borough. This position is being managed within the overall service expenditure for
the budget, with measures being put in place that will be closely monitored throughout
the year.
iii. The 2024/25 budget is predicated on successful delivery of the 2024/25 savings
programme, containment of emerging pressures on demand -led budgets and
mitigations for pressures identified through the ongoing Zero Based Budgeting
exercise. The totality of spend reductions required is £ 21,499k, with progress in
delivery tracked on an ongoing basis.
7. As at Month 2, £6,764k or 31% of the £21,499k savings activity planned for 202 4/25 are
banked or on track for delivery in full by 31 March 202 5, with £ 12,975k or 61% tracked as
being at an earlier stage of implementation . Where slippage in savings delivery is expected
this has been factored into the reported monitoring position, with the full £ 21,499k savings
expected to be delivered in full or replaced with alternative measures in the medium term.
8. Hillingdon is not alone in facing these challenges, however the Council’s opening reserve
levels of £ 35,181k are lower than many of the boroughs across London. This limits the
Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
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Council’s capacity to absorb cost overruns against reserves and places emphasis on the
maintenance of stringent controls over expenditure and the achievement of savings
programmes. If these measures are not sustained then there is a risk that reserve levels could
fall beneath the minimum level set of £32,000k.
GENERAL FUND CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
9. As at Month 2 a £ 2,296k underspend is projected on the 202 4/25 General Fund Capital
Programme of £ 95,266k, with the forecast outturn variance over the life of the 202 4/25 to
2028/29 programme estimated to breakeven. General Fund Capital Receipts of £20,332k are
forecast for 2024/25 and are projected to achieve the income target of £ 75,216k for the five
years to 2028/29. Overall, Prudential Borrowing required to support the 202 4/25 to 2028/29
General Fund capital programme is forecast to be on budget at £63,082k.
SCHOOLS BUDGET
10. The Dedicated Schools Grant (DSG) total Block for the Maintained Schools is forecasting a
deficit of £16,109k based on Month 2 (May 2024) , representing a significant improvement
from the £ 25,605k reported at outturn 2023/24 as a result of a broad range of positive
measures being deployed by the Council. The in year deficit is wholly driven by High Needs
placement demand and cost pressures which continue to be significantly underfunded in the
DSG settlement that the authority receives from the DfE . This position means that the
cumulative deficit carried forward to 2025/26 is forecast at £63,601k.
11. There is currently a time -limited statutory o verride in place until 31 March 2025 effectively
keeping the Schools Budget deficit behind a ringfence which ensures that this deficit does not
impact upon general reserves, and the Council’s General Fund budget strategy is predicated
on the further contin uation of this override . The Council is one of many local authorities
managing a deficit within the Schools Budget and this stood at £47,492k at 31 March 2024
and therefore exceeded General Fund reserve levels. It is worth noting that between outturn
2023/24 and the position presented in this report, the Council has successfully reduced spend
against the Schools Budget by £ 9,495k and continues to make good progress in reducing
spend in this area.
12. The issue of mounting DSG deficits remains a national issue, with projections for a £4bn
deficit across the country forming a key strand to lobbying by sector bodies such as the LGA
and London Councils
HOUSING REVENUE ACCOUNT
13. The Housing Revenue Account (HRA) is currently forecasting a breakeven position at Month
2, with the forecast rental yield being sufficient to contain operating costs and meet the
planned Capital Programme Financing demands. The 2024/25 closing HRA General Balance
is forecast to be £15,000k, in line with the target level established for 2024/25. The HRA has
an ambitious development and acquisition programme for 2024/25, with this programme
forecast to be on track at Month 2 , with the remainder of the HRA Capital Programme also
reporting a breakeven position at this early point in the year for bo th 2024/25 and the five -
year programme to 2028/29.
Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
(Part 1 - Public)
FURTHER INFORMATION
General Fund Revenue Budget
14. A breakeven position is projected across the General Fund at Month 2, with the following
section of this report providing an overview of emerging variances and management action
in place to deliver this position. General Fund Balances are expected to total £26,848k at 31
March 2025 with Earmarked Reserves forecast to close with a balance of £ 8,106k, meaning
total balances of £ 34,954k and therefore above the minimum threshold of £ 32,000k as
approved by Cabinet and Council in February 2024.
Table 1: General Fund Overview
Service
Month 2
Approved
Budget
Forecast
Outturn
£'000 £'000
Service Operating Budgets 282,003 282,003
General Contingency 500 500
Unallocated Budget Items 1,871 1,871
Subtotal Expenditure 284,374 284,374
Corporate Funding (284,374) (284,374)
Total Net Expenditure 0 0
Balances b/fwd 26,848 28,848
Balances c/fwd 31 March 2025 26,848 26,848
15. The Council’s budget contains a number of areas subject to demographic pressures and
higher levels of volatility which are closely monitored and discussed in the Budget Strategy &
MTFF under the “demand-led growth” banner, with a level of risk across both homelessness
support and Adult Social C are Placements , with close monitoring and development of
mitigating actions in development across these areas.
16. Within the Council’s payroll budget there is a Managed Vacancy Factor across the board of
3.5%, or £4,282k, to reflect natural levels of turnover and resulting structural underspend in
the workforce budgets. The vacancy factor is currently forecast to be delivered in full, with
experience over the last two financial years suggesting this should be exceeded , which is
contributing to the management of local pressures within the overall monitoring position. The
Council continues to closely manage recruitment activity, with post -level establishment
controls providing a key mechanism for managing workforce costs at the organisational level.
17. Provision for use of Earmarked Reserves has been included in this position , with a marginal
use of reserves of £227k included in the forecast to fund the ongoing commitment to ward
budgets and schools conditions surveys , with further drawdowns in place to support
transformation activity, this position therefore presents a closing balance against earmarked
reserves of £8,106k.
Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
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Progress on Savings
18. The savings requirement for 2024/25 is £15,752k as set out in the Council’s budget strategy,
this position has been supplemented by a further £5,747k of prior year savings carried forward
into 2024/25, resulting in an overall programme of £21,499k savings being delivered in year.
Table 2: Savings Tracker
Cabinet Member Portfolio
Blue Green Amber I Amber II Red
Banked
Delivery
in
progress
Early
stages of
delivery
Potential
problems
in
delivery
Serious
problems
in
delivery
Total
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Cabinet Member for
Property, Highways &
Transport
(448) (613) (136) (487) (80) (1,764)
Cabinet Member for
Finance (47) (1,033) (378) 0 0 (1,458)
Cabinet Member for
Corporate Services (9) (770) (778) 0 (340) (1,897)
Cabinet Member for
Residents' Services (205) (1,920) (671) 0 (853) (3,649)
Cabinet Member for
Children, Families &
Education
(250) (265) (1,049) 0 0 (1,564)
Cabinet Member for Health
and Social Care 0 (1,204) (175) 0 0 (1,379)
Cross-Cutting 0 0 (9,788) 0 0 (9,788)
Total 2024/25 Savings
Programme
(959) (5,805) (12,975) (487) (1,273) (21,499)
4% 27% 61% 2% 6% 100%
19. As of Month 2, £6,764k (31%) of the savings and interventions are being recorded as banked
or on track for delivery, with a further £12,975k (61%) being at the early stages of delivery. In
addition, £1,760k (8%) are being reported as having potential chall enges in deliver y, with
alternative delivery methods being considered in-year where appropriate.
20. Where savings are at risk of not being delivered in full during 202 4/25, the associated
pressures have been factored into the monitoring position with compensating actions bringing
the overall position back to breakeven. At this time, it is expected that either the full level of
savings will ultimately be delivered, or alternative savings will be proposed to supplement for
non-delivery of particular savings.
21. The Council is permitted to finance the costs associated with the delivery of this savings
programme through Capital Receipts, with both one-off implementation costs and the support
for service transformation being funded from this resource. Current projections include
£5,192k for such costs, with all such costs subject to a specific funding strategy. It is
anticipated that these pump priming costs will be financed from a combination of the £3,000k
budget established for this purpose in 2024/25, alongside further Capital Receipts secured in
year.
Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
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Service Operating Budgets
22. Service Operating Budgets represent the majority of the Council’s investment in day -to-day
services for residents. With the Council continuing to operate in a high inflation environment
driven by global and national influences, these budgets were supplemented with £16,625k of
funding to meet forecast inflationary pressures and £14,286k for demographic and other
drivers impacting on demand for services going into the 2024/25.
23. Table 3 represents the position reported against normal activities for the Service Operating
Budgets, the salient risks and variances within this position are summarised in the following
paragraphs.
Table 3: Service Operating Budgets
Cabinet Member Portfolio
Approved
Budget
Forecast
Outturn
Variance
(As at
Month 2)
£'000 £'000 £'000
Property, Highways &
Transport
Expenditure 18,051 18,378 327
Income (10,416) (10,476) (60)
Subtotal 7,635 7,902 267
Finance
Expenditure 144,870 144,890 20
Income (106,371) (106,406) (35)
Subtotal 38,499 38,484 (15)
Corporate Services
Expenditure 25,269 24,824 (445)
Income (2,073) (2,085) (12)
Subtotal 23,196 22,739 (457)
Residents' Services
Expenditure 80,211 81,335 1,124
Income (53,041) (53,285) (244)
Subtotal 27,170 28,050 880
Children, Families &
Education
Expenditure 102,540 102,405 (135)
Income (26,165) (25,740) 425
Subtotal 76,375 76,665 290
Health & Social Care
Expenditure 162,621 161,499 (1,122)
Income (53,493) (53,336) 157
Subtotal 109,128 108,163 (965)
Total Service Operating Budgets 282,003 282,003 0
24. As can be seen from the table above, Service Operating Budgets are forecasting a breakeven
position which is the cumulative effect of a number of variances which are briefly outlined
below by Cabinet Portfolio:
i. Property, Highways & Transport – An overspend of £267k is reported for this
portfolio with pressures equally spread across Property Services, Operational Assets
Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
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and Highways, with these pressures being driven by a shortfall in income from garage
rentals, civic centre running costs and highway maintenance expenditure.
ii. Finance – At Month 2 an underspend of £15k is reported for the portfolio, with no
material variances being declared.
iii. Corporate Services – The portfolio is reporting an underspend of £457k , with this
position largely being driven by holding a number of vacant posts within the service.
iv. Residents’ Services – An overspend of £880k is being reported at Month 2, with this
position being driven by a number of key pressure areas across the portfolio .
Community Safety is reporting a pressure, with this largely being the impact of
changes in relation to imported food as a result of ongoing Brexit impacts. A further
£600k relates to pressures within the waste services from a combination of demand
increases and higher rates per tonne of disposal costs. The remaining balance is
made up of pressures across the Town Centres service area.
v. Children, Families & Education – At Month 2, this portfolio is reporting an
overspend of £290k, with pressures across income streams including room hire and
the remaining pressure being driven by the Early Years Centres.
vi. Health & Social Care – An underspend of £965k is being reported at Month 2 with
the underspend largely being delivered through vacancies against budgeted
establishment.
Collection Fund
25. A surplus of £50k is reported within the Collection Fund at Month 2. Within the Collection
Fund, an adverse position is reported within Council Tax of £ 191k, offset by a favourable
position within Business Rates of £241k. This position is driven by 3 key factors:
i. Council Tax is presenting a minor in -year pressure of £94k against a £145 ,751k
budget, with a further £97k being driven by the adverse movement on 2023/24.
ii. Business Rates is presenting an in -year pressure of £697k driven by a minor
reduction in the Council’s rating list, backdated over multiple years driving up the in-
year impact.
iii. The Business Rates position is then offset by a favourable £938k against the 2023/24
outturn position.
26. Any surpluses or deficits within the Collection Fund impact on the Council’s future year
budgets, with the position reported up to Month 9 impacting on the 202 5/26 saving
requirement, leading to £ 50k that will be included in the Council’s refresh of the budget
strategy that will be presented to Cabinet in December 2024 as part of the consultation
budget, with any further updates between Month 10 and outturn impacting on 202 6/27. This
position therefore will reduce the Council’s gross saving requirement by £50k for 2025/26.
Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
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General Fund Capital Programme
27. As at Month 2 the General Fund forecasts are reporting a n in-year underspend of £2,296k,
with the 5-year programme forecast being in line with the budgeted expectations. At Month 2,
Council’s asset disposal programme is forecast to be on track and sufficient to fund the
financing strategy for the DSG Safety Valve and broader transformation programme.
Capital Programme Overview
28. Table 5 below sets out the latest forecast outturn on General Fund capital projects. Forecasts
for future years include capital projects and programmes of work approved by Cabinet and
Council in February 202 4. Projected variance against budget for the 202 4/25 financial year
are analysed between cost and rephasing, in the case of the latter, budget will only be rolled
forward for use in future financial years with the explicit approval of Cabinet. As of Month 2,
a total favourable variance of £ 2,296k is projected against the rephasing variance. The
position presented below is based on the approved Capital Programme budget from Cabinet
and Council in February 2024 and is stated prior to rephasing of 2023/24 which are presented
as a recommendation in this report, with £39,287k of Major Projects proposed to be rephased,
£11,370k from Programme of Works and £10,701k from General Contingency from 2023/24
into 2024/25.
Table 4: General Fund Capital Programme Summary
Approved
Budget
2024/25
Forecast
2024/25
Cost
Variance
2024/25
Project
Re-
phasing
2024/25
Total
Project
Budget
2024-2029
Total
Project
Forecast
2024-2029
Total
Project
Variance
2024-2029
5-year
Move-
ment
£’000 £’000 £’000 £’000 £’000 £’000 £’000 £’000
Cabinet Member Portfolio
Property, Highways and
Transport 58,238 55,942 0 (2,296) 160,770 160,770 0 0
Finance 8,945 8,945 0 0 12,945 12,945 0 0
Corporate Services 2,242 2,242 0 0 15,816 15,816 0 0
Residents’ Services 2,472 2,472 0 0 9,272 9,272 0 0
Children, Families and
Education 12,519 12,519 0 0 14,459 14,459 0 0
Health and Social Care 8,850 8,850 0 0 24,750 24,750 0 0
Contingency 2,000 2,000 0 0 10,000 10,000 0 0
Total Capital Programme 95,266 92,970 0 (2,296) 248,012 248,012 0 0
Major Projects 63,181 60,885 0 (2,296) 104,040 104,040 0 0
Programme of Works 30,085 30,085 0 0 133,972 133,972 0 0
General Contingency 2,000 2,000 0 0 10,000 10,000 0 0
Total Capital
Programme 95,266 92,970 0 (2,296) 248,012 248,012 0 0
29. As can be seen from the table above, Capital Programme Budgets are forecasting an in-year
underspend of £2,296k, with this balance forecast to be rephased into 2025/26, the variance
at Month 2 is wholly driven by the forecast for the Hillingdon Water Sports Facility, which is
ultimately forecast to be delivered within budget over the life of the project . The salient risks
and variances within this position are summarised in the following paragraphs by Cabinet
Portfolio:
i. Property, Highways & Transport – All programmes within this portfolio are currently
forecast to budget with the exception of the Hillingdon Water Sports Facility, which is
Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
(Part 1 - Public)
forecast to be delivered in 2025/26, with a minor delay in 2024/25 pushing £2,296k
into the following year, with this sum being reported as a rephasing variance to
ultimately deliver the project to budget. All other projects in this portfolio are forecast
to budget, with the largest Major P rojects being the New West Drayton Leisure
Centre, which is due for completion in 2025/26, Carbon Zero Initiatives and the Civic
Centre Transformation Programme.
Programme of Works items within this portfolio are also forecast to come in on budget
for 2024/25 at this early stage of the year, including the £ 9,000k investment in
Highways Structural Works, £4,829k of School Building Conditions Works and the
grant fund Disabled Facilities expenditure and Transport for London programmes.
ii. Finance – The £8,945k budget in this portfolio is forecast to budget a s at Month 2,
with this portfolio inclu ding the investment for the Council’s transformation
programme within Major Projects and the Vehicle Replacement Programme of Works
investment.
iii. Corporate Services – This portfolio is forecasting to spend the £2,242k Capital
Programme budget for 2024/25 with this spend largely being linked to the Council’s
investment in Corporate Technology and Innovation , with this programme being
linked to the delivery of the Council’s digital savings within the revenue position.
iv. Residents’ Services – As at Month 2 are forecasting to come in on budget with the
programmes within this portfolio, these programmes including Major Projects on
Shopping Parades and Waste Services Improvements, with this item being linked to
saving delivery within the Council’s revenue budgets. Programme of Works projects
in this portfolio include the Chrysalis and Playground Replacement programmes.
v. Children, Families and Education – As at Month 2, the programmes within this
portfolio are forecasting to budget at £12,519k, with this predominantly relating to the
SEND expansion programme, increasing the number of placements in the borough,
with this investment supporting the delivery of the Council’s Safety Valve Agreement
with the Department for Education.
vi. Health & Social Care – This portfolio is forecasting a breakeven position against the
approved budget of £8,850k, with £6,000k of this sitting within Major Projects to fund
the Investment in Care Home Capacity, with this investment linked to the delivery of
revenue savings for the service area, with the remaining balance of £2,850k funding
equipment for Social Care service users as a preventative measure that similarly
supports the portfolio’s revenue expenditure on care placements.
30. The Capital Programme will continue to be clo sely monitored throughout the year, with
progress against delivery plans to be reported back to Cabinet throughout the remainder of
the financial year.
Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
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Capital Financing - General Fund
Table 5: Capital Financing
Approved
Budget
2024/25
£'000
Forecast
2024/25
£'000
Cost
Variance
£’000
Phasing
Variance
£'000
Total
Financing
Budget
2024-2029
£'000
Total
Financing
Forecast
2024-2029
£'000
Total
Variance
£'000
5-year
Move-
ment
Source of Finance
Capital Receipts 20,332 20,332 0 0 75,216 0 0 0
CIL 3,750 3,750 0 0 21,000 0 0 0
Prudential
Borrowing 26,766 26,766 0 0 63,082 0 0 0
Total Council
Resources 50,848 50,848 0 0 159,298 0 0 0
Grants &
Contributions 44,418 42,122 0 (2,296) 88,714 0 0 0
Capital
Programme 95,266 92,970 0 (2,296) 248,012 0 0 0
31. The MTFF disposals programme 202 4-29 forecasts total capital receipts of £ 75,216k, with
2024/25 forecast capital receipts at £20,332k in line with budgeted expectations. Progress is
being made identifying and progressing potential asset disposals with these receipts forming
a key strand to financing the Council’s DSG Safety Valve and broader transformation
programme, and therefore this activity remains a key corporate priority.
Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
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Schools Budget
32. The Dedicated Schools Grant (DSG) total Block for the Maintained Schools is forecasting a
deficit of £16,109k based on Month 2 (May 2024) , representing a significant improvement
from the £25,605k reported at outturn 2023/24 . This in year deficit is wholly driven by H igh
Needs placement demand and cost pressures which continue to be significantly underfunded
in the DSG settlement that the authority receives from the DfE. Table 6 below sets out a
summary of the Schools Budget and Forecast summarises the forecast.
33. Despite the pressures the service through the Safety Valve programme is very successfully
taking control of the market, managing unit costs down and beginning to see a significant
reduction in the deficit as a consequence.
Table 6: DSG Income and Expenditure Summary
Funding Block
Approved
Budget
Forecast
Outturn
Variance
(As at
Month 2)
£'000 £'000 £'000
Schools Block 104,586 104,586 0
Early Years Block 37,480 37,480 0
Central Schools Services Block 2,429 2,429 0
High Needs Block 56,214 72,324 (9,495) Prior Year Deficit 25,605
Total Funding Blocks 226,314 216,819 (9,495)
Dedicated Schools Grant
Income (200,709) (200,709) 0
In-Year Deficit 25,605 16,110 (9,495)
Balance Brought Forward 1
April 2024 47,492 47,492
Balance Carried Forward 31
March 2025 73,097 63,602
34. A core target for the revised High Needs Safety Valve Plan is to actively reduce unit costs by
concentrating SEN support in -Borough within our maintained schools and thereby reduce
dependence on high cost Independent and Out -of-Borough placements. Trend data shows
clear evidence that the approach which has been in place since early last financial year is
now beginning to have a really positive impact.
35. The service strategy to manage the High Needs Deficit Plan through a combination of
mitigating costs and releasing savings is beginning to take affect and show significant
success, with a forecast reduction of £9,495k on last year’s deficit of £ 25,605k, with both
costs and the in-year deficit reducing in 2024/25.
36. The issue of mounting DSG deficits remains a national issue, with projections for a £4bn
deficit across the country forming a key strand to lobbying by sector bodies such as the LGA
and London Councils.
Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
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Housing Revenue Account
37. The Housing Revenue Account (HRA) is currently forecasting a breakeven position, with
ongoing inflationary risk be ing closely monitored for the remaining month of the year . The
2024/25 closing HRA General Balance is forecast to be £15,000k, in line with the target level
set out in the Council’s budget strategy . The table below presents key variances with all
services forecast to spend in line with their budget allocation at this early stage of the year.
Table 7: Housing Revenue Account
Service
Budget Forecast
Outturn
Variance
(As at
Month 2)
£'000 £'000 £'000
Rent & Other Income (80,614) (80,614) 0
Net Income (80,614) (80,614) 0
Operational Assets 14,017 14,017 0
Director of Housing 9,565 9,565 0
Other Service Areas 1,027 1,027 0
Contribution to Shared Services 13,297 13,297 0
HRA Operating Costs 37,906 37,906 0
Capital Programme Financing 26,676 26,676 0
Interest and Investment Income 16,133 16,133 0
Capital Programme Financing 42,809 42,809 0
(Surplus) / Deficit (101) (101) 0
General Balance 01/04/2023 15,101 15,101 0
General Balance 31/03/2024 15,000 15,000 0
38. At Month 2, rental income and other income is forecasting to come in on budget and deliver
the £80,614k included in the budget strategy . The forecast is based on the Council’s
commissioning plan to increase housing stock by 300 units in 2024/25, which are on track for
delivery at this early stage of the year but will be closely monitored as the year progresses .
The budgets are based on a void rate of 1.35%, with any material variation from this level
feeding into rental projections as appropriate.
39. The HRA Operating Costs Budget is £3 7,906k and at Month 1 2 is forecast to budget, with
these budgets being based on supporting the Council’s current housing stock as at 1 April
2024, with growth added in line with the commissioning plan’s increase in stock numbers
throughout the year. With these budgets being linked to the servicing of the Council’s housing
stock, these budgets are forecast to breakeven at Month 2 with the commissioning plan being
in line with the Council’s budget strategy. This area will remain under review throughout the
year, with growth in these budge ts to be deployed as and when new homes are brought
online. Inflation was also added to these budgets in the Council’s budget strategy, with early
indications suggesting the budgeted uplift is sufficient to meet inflationary demands on the
service.
40. The detail behind the service delivery of the blocks included in table 7 are as follows:
Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
(Part 1 - Public)
i. Operation Assets budget funds the services provided for repairs and maintenance,
void repairs, compliance and inspections.
ii. The Director of Housing budget includes tenancy management and tenants’ services.
The budgets include utility costs, and these will continue to be monitored given the
volatility of the electricity and gas markets in recent times.
iii. The Other Service Areas bu dget includes the Careline contract, HRA specific ICT
costs and the revenue regeneration costs.
iv. The Contribution to Shared Services budget include s the development and risk
contingency, overheads and corporate and democratic core charges, and the bad
debt provision.
41. The MTFF savings target is £ 500k with this saving expected to be delivered by virtue of the
Council’s general fund savings against support services, leading to a reduction in the
recharge to the HRA for these services.
42. As at Month 2 the capital programme financing budget of £42,809k is forecast to breakeven.
This budget forecast includes £26,676k (depreciation and revenue contributions) to fund the
HRA capital programme, the position also includes £1 6,133k for repayments of loans and
interest on borrowing, this position will be closely monitored throughout the year with clear
linkages to the commissioning plan.
HRA Capital Expenditure
43. The HRA capital programme is set out in the table below. The 202 4/25 approved budget is
£184,917k, with 2023/24 rephasing of £22,791k proposed in Part B of this report, taking the
total 2024/25 budget to £207,708k . The Month 2 update is forecasting the approved budget
to breakeven in both 2024/25 and across the 5-year view to 2028/29.
Table 8: HRA Capital Expenditure
Approved
Budget
2024/25
Forecast
2024/25
Cost
Variance
2024/25
Project
Re-
Phasing
2024/25
Total
Project
Budget
2024-29
Total
Project
Forecast
2024-29
Total
Project
Variance
2024-29
Movement
2024-29
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
HRA Capital
Programme 147,987 147,987 0 0 373,331 373,331 0 0
Major Projects 27,717 27,717 0 0 127,284 127,284 0 0
Works to Stock
programme 6,756 6,756 0 0 37,187 37,187 0 0
Green Homes
Initiatives 2,457 2,457 0 0 12,347 12,347 0 0
Major
Adaptations to
Property
184,917 184,917 0 0 550,150 550,150 0 0
Total HRA
Capital 147,987 147,987 0 0 373,331 373,331 0 0
44. As at Month 2, the HRA Capital Programme is forecast to budget, with the commissioning
plan approved in February 2024 to deliver an additional 300 new homes in 2024/25 being
reported as on track, with two major developments and acquisitions having been approved
recently that support the delivery of an additional 500 homes by March 2027.
Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
(Part 1 - Public)
45. The Hayes Estates Regeneration scheme is forecast to breakeven, pending the approval of
the 2023/24 rephased value into 2024/25 with piling work now complete and progress now
being weather dependent. As a result of this revised profiling, vacant possession of Wellings
House is not needed now until December 2024 and the block is being utilised for temporary
accommodation until then, and all leaseholder interest vested to the Council as planned on
31 October 2023. The compulsory purchase negotiations on the remaining phases will
complete as planned by the 31 March 202 5 with expenditure forecasts aligned accordingly.
Handover of Hayes Town Centre Phase 1 is expected around September 2025.
46. The Council’s HRA Commissioning Plan is on track to deliver 300 new homes in 2024/25 ,
with an approved budget of £43,995k for new developments and acquisitions before proposed
rephasing from 2023/24 increases this to £60,749k. Should the rephasing request be
approved, this will increase the 5-year budget allocation to £258,837k that will support
increasing the Council’s housing stock by 500 units by 31 March 2027.
47. Construction works have progressing on site at Petworth Gardens, Sullivan Crescent and
Rowan Road, to provide a total of ten 2 -, 3- and 4-bedroom houses. The forecast for Month
2 has these schemes forecast to breakeven in 2024/25. Petworth Gardens is expected to be
ready for occupation by the summer. The development at Maple and Poplar of 34 2-bedroom
flats is expected to be complet e by Summer 2024. Delays have been incurred connecting
utilities to the plant room, which is required before the homes can be let, rephasing of £4,172k
from 2023/24 is included in the recommended rephasing request from 2023/24 to 2024/25.
HRA Capital Financing
48. The below table sets out the HRA Capital Financing forecast at Month 2:
Table 9: HRA Capital Financing
Approved
Budget
2024/25
£'000
Forecast
2024/25
£'000
Cost
Variance
£’000
Phasing
Variance
£'000
Total
Financing
Budget
2024-2029
£'000
Total
Financing
Forecast
2024-2029
£'000
Total
Variance
£'000
Move-
ment
Source of Finance
Capital Receipts 19,597 19,597 0 0 40,711 40,711 0 0
Revenue
Contributions 22,337 22,337 0 0 111,257 111,257 0 0
Prudential
Borrowing 106,265 106,265 0 0 299,324 299,324 0 0
Total Council
Resources 148,199 148,199 0 0 451,292 451,292 0 0
Grants &
Contributions 36,718 36,718 0 0 98,857 98,857 0 0
Capital
Programme 184,917 184,917 0 0 550,150 550,150 0 0
49. As at Month 2, Capital Financing is forecasting a breakeven position in line with capital
expenditure, with the service forecasting to achieve £19,597k of capital receipts with £36,718k
of grant income being used to support green homes initiatives and contributions to
developments and acquisitions. The Council’s approach is to maximise external sources of
funding and receipts before applying revenue contributions and prudential borrowing.
Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
(Part 1 - Public)
Treasury Management Update as at 31 May 2024
Table 10: Outstanding Deposits
Period Actual
(£m)
Actual
(%)
Movement
from Month 2
(£m)
Call Accounts and MMF’s*
Up to 3 Month Fixed-Term Deposits
22.50 49.56 (0.6)
7.90 17.40 (1.5)
Total 30.40 66.96 (2.1)
Strategic Pooled Funds 15.00 33.04 -
Total 45.40 100.00 (2.1)
Average Investment Balances May 2024 69.87 (13.19)
*Money Market Funds
50. Deposits are held with UK institutions, all of which hold a minimum A - Fitch (or lowest
equivalent) long-term credit rating and AAA rated Money Market Funds (MMFs). UK deposits
are currently held in NatWest Bank plc and the DMADF. There is also an allocation to
Strategic Pooled Funds.
51. The average rate of return on day -to-day operational treasury balances since the beginning
of the new financial year is 5.21%. As part of the Council’s investment strategy for 202 4/25,
the Council continues to hold a total of £15m in three long-dated strategic pooled funds (£5m
in each). The strategic pooled funds have a long-term investment horizon with dividends being
distributed periodically. When including projected dividend income on these strategic pooled
funds, the overall rate of return decreases to 5.09% based on the previous six months income
average. With rising market interest rates there has been a lag in terms of dividend yield whilst
the underlying assets mature and are refinanced, however over the last year income on these
funds has been increasing. As the fair value of these strategic pooled funds are currently
lower than the sum initially invested it is not feasible to disinvest at this time.
52. The Council aims to minimise its exposure to bail-in risk by utilising bail-in exempt instruments
and institutions whenever possible. However, due to the significant amount held in instant
access facilities, which is needed to man age daily cashflow, it is not possible to fully protect
Council funds from bail-in risk. At the end of May, 74% of the Council’s day-to-day operational
treasury investments had exposure to bail -in risk compared to a March benchmark average
of 61% in the Local Authority sector (70% benchmark average for London and metropolitan
boroughs). This exposure fluctuates during the month as DMADF deposits, which are not
exposed to bail in risk, were generally higher over the month compared to the balance held
with the DMADF at end of May.
53. Liquidity was maintained throughout May by placing surplus funds in instant access accounts
and making short-term deposits, including overnight deposits, in the DMADF. Cash flow was
managed by ensuring maturities of any short -term deposits with the DMADF were matched
to outflows. Average investments over the month (including strategic pooled funds) were
£69.9m, a reduction of £13.2m from April.
Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
(Part 1 - Public)
Table 11: Outstanding Debt
General
Fund
HRA Total Average
Interest
Rate (Total)
£m £m £m %
PWLB Long Term 72.2 144.6 216.8 3.14%
Market 15.0 33.0 48.0 4.11%
Temporary Borrowing:
Local Authorities 64.0 0.0 64.0 5.25%
PWLB 0.0 20.0 20.0 5.07%
151.2 197.6 348.8 3.77%
Monthly movement 0 0 0 0
54. As at end of May 2024, no new loans had been taken, although it is anticipated new borrowing
will be required shortly to maintain liquidity and finance HRA capital expenditure, with the
opportunity to access the PWLB concessionary rate available for financ ing eligible HRA
projects included in the HRA capital programme. Loans reduced in May due to one temporary
loan for £5m with another local authority maturing and instalments on PWLB EIP (equal
instalments of principal) loans.
55. PWLB rates dipped and then rose back in May, with rates at the end of the month close to
those at the beginning of the month. The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee
voted by a majority of 7-2 to maintain the official Bank Rate at 5.25%. Two members preferred
to reduce Bank Rate by 0.25 percentage points to 5.0%.
Cabinet Report – 25 July 2024
(Part 1 - Public)
PART B: FINANCIAL RECOMMENDATIONS
That the Cabinet:
a. Approves rephasing of £39,287k 2023/24 General Fund Major Projects, £11,370k from
the Programme of Works expenditure , and £ 10,701k from General Contingency and
associated financing budgets into future years.
b. Approves rephasing of £ 22,791k 2023/24 HRA capital expenditure and financing
budgets into future years as set out in the report.
c. Agree the request to continue existing operational arrangements with Frankham Group
whilst new contracts are agreed and formal governance approved.
d. Approve acceptance of £2,759k grant funding from the Department of Energy Security
and Net Zero Wave 2.2 funding to contribute towards the cost of £17,696k to undertake
decarbonisation works in the Council’s Housing properties.
Reasons for recommendation
56. Recommendation 2a seeks approval for the rephasing of £39,287k 2023/24 General Fund
Major Projects and £11,370k General Fund Programme of Works (including £2,199k Schools
Condition Building Programme funding , £2,566k purchase of vehicles, £2,173k Disabled
Facilities Grant and £1,291k Corporate Technology & Innovation, £728k Chrysalis
Programme funding and other grant funded schemes) capital expenditure and £10,701k from
General Contingency and financing budgets a s required to enable existing projects and
programmes to be delivered in future years
57. Recommendation 2b seeks the rephasing of £22,791k HRA capital expenditure and
financing budgets are required to enable existing projects and new developments to be
delivered in future years
58. The introduction of the new Oracle system in May has significantly improved spend controls.
Whilst that is a major benefit of th e new system, one of the consequences is that where we
do not have formal governance in place, the system limits the total value of purchase order
to £100k and payments cannot be made above that level to suppliers. Recommendation 2c
seeks approval for the continuing use of Frankham to deliver statutory fire risk assessment
across housing and corporate sites was subject to a best value review in 2023 leading to a
programme of assessment activity. A briefing note setting out the position has been shared
with the relevant portfolio holder and Officers have added the project to the Forward Plan for
formal approval.
59. Recommendation 2d seeks Cabinet acceptance of Grant funding from the Department of
Energy Security and Net Zero, which if approved will be utilised t o contribute towards the
£17,696k costs to provide decarbonisation measures to 249 Council’s Housing properties,
including Loft and Wall Insulations, Ventilation and Double Glazed Windows.
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