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Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
(Part 1 – Public)
COUNCIL BUDGET – 2025/26 BUDGET MONITORING
Cabinet Member &
Portfolio
Councillor Martin Goddard
Cabinet Member for Finance & Transformation
Responsible Officer Steve Muldoon, Corporate Director of Finance
Report Author &
Directorate
Andy Goodwin, Head of Strategic Finance
Papers with report None
HEADLINES
Overview
This report sets out a summary of the Council’s General Fund and Housing Revenue Account
forecast positions for both revenue and capital budgets as at the end of J uly 2025 (Period 4) for
the financial year 2025/26.
General Fund Revenue
The Council has an approved General Fund expenditure budget of £974m, matched by equivalent
funding. As at the end of July 2025 (Period 4), the forecast shows an overspend of £1 8.3m,
representing an adverse movement of £1.9m from Month 2.
The change in forecast of £1.9m represents a 0.2% change when compared to the total expenditure
budgets of the General Fund. The variance is entirely driven by service operations and reflects the
ongoing pressures and risks local authorities face in homelessness, children’s and adults social
care provision.
Dedicated Schools Grant (DSG)
The in-year forecast deficit relating to DSG remains in line with budget, i.e. a £12.5m draw on
reserves. When factoring in the opening deficit position of £65.6m, this forecast position leads to
a closing deficit for 2025/26 of £78.1m.
Housing Revenue Account (HRA)
The 2025/26 HRA revenue budget consists of £85.4m expenditure matched by an equivalent level
of income (rents, service charges and other contributions). The Month 4 forecast reflects an
unchanged position (nil variance) against this budget. This comprises a £0.6m pressure against
service expenditure offset by a reduction in the revenue contribution to the capital programme.
General Fund and HRA Capital Programmes
The Council set itself ambitious targets to invest in local services, infrastructure and homes during
2025/26 – a total of £307 m being budgeted across both the General Fund and HRA areas in
2025/26. 95% of that target is expected to be spent in year, with the majority of the underspend
proposed to be rephased into 2026/27 at this stage, subject to Cabinet approval as part of the Draft
Outturn report to be prepared in early 2026/27.
Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
(Part 1 – Public)
The General Fund capital programme includes a forecast of £17.0m of capital receipts to be used
to fund transformation costs leading to ongoing future revenue savings or cost avoidance and is to
be funded from the flexible use of capital receipts (as allowed for under government regulation).
Putting our Residents
First
Delivering on the
Council Strategy
2022-2026
This report supports our ambition for residents / the Council of:
An efficient, well-run, digital-enabled council working with partners to
deliver services to improve the lives of all our residents
This report supports our commitments to residents of:
A Digital-Enabled, Modern, Well-Run Council
Financial Cost N/A
Select Committee Corporate Resources & Infrastructure
Ward(s) All
RECOMMENDATIONS
That Cabinet:
1. Note the budget monitoring position and treasury management update as at July 2025
(Month 4) as set out in Part A of the report, furthermore, noting the actions proposed
by officers.
2. Approve the full release of the Development and Risk Contingency.
3. Approve the financial recommendations as set out in Part B of this report.
Reasons for recommendation
1. The reason for Recommendation 1 is to measure performance against the Council ’s
budgetary objectives, providing Cabinet with the update on performance against budgets
approved by Council on 27 February 2025 contained within Part A of this report. An update
on the Council's Treasury Management activities is included within this.
2. Recommendation 2 seeks approval to release the centrally held contingency in order to
reduce the forecast overspend by £10.5m and reduce it to the level shown in Table 1.
3. Recommendation 3 seeks approval for the financial recommendations set out within Part B
of this report, which may include acceptance of grant funding, revisions to fees & charges and
ratification of decisions taken under special urgency provisions.
Alternative options considered / risk management
4. There are no other options proposed for consideration.
Select Committee comments
None at this stage.
Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
(Part 1 – Public)
PART A: 2025/26 MONTHLY BUDGET MONITORING
SUMMARY
GENERAL FUND REVENUE
5. As at Month 4, the Council is forecasting a net overspend of £18. 3m on its core operating
activities. This includes overspends of £24.1m across Service Operating Budgets and £9.7m
within Corporate Budgets. These pressures are partially mitigated by £5.0m of planned
interventions, which are expected to deliver savings aligned with the Target Operating Model
(TOM) and spend control measures, and are currently held under unallocated budget lines ,
pending allocation to service areas . To address the total gross pressure of £28.7m, it is
proposed that the full £10.5m contingency budget be released, reducing the net overspend
to £18.3m.
6. The service operating budget pressure of £24.1m, representing a £1.3m adverse movement
from Month 2, is largely being driven by four pressure areas:
i. c£16.6m relating to further demand pressures above the budget position presented
to February Cabinet and Council, with £8.6m being driven by Adult Social Care
demand, £3.9m from homelessness support, £4.4m within Children’s Social Care,
offset by £0.3m reduction in the waste forecast.
ii. c£ 5.3m relates to a shortfall against the forecast delivery of savings in 2025/26 and
the £38.6m target to be delivered this year (with a further £2.1m included in
unallocated savings budgets, after factoring in the delivery of the £5.0m Target
Operating Model saving), representing 19% slippage.
iii. £3.6m from the General Fund share of Treasury activities linked to this position and
the interest costs arising from the net cash outflow resulting from the forecast
iv. Lastly, c£1.4m underspend relating to a number of other smaller updates , mainly
driven by staffing underspends across Adults & Children’s Social Care.
7. The Corporate Budgets forecast of £9.7m includes a pressure against unallocated savings of
£7.1m and the 2025/26 pay award is forecast to generate a further pressure of £2.6m as a
result of the current offer of 3.2% compared to the budgeted 2.0%. The forecast then includes
two mitigating actions, firstly the proposed release of the £10.5m general contingency and
secondly to reflect £5.0m of interventions to deliver the Council’s Target Operating Model
(TOM) saving held in corporate budgets.
8. As part of the Month 4 review, the Council has also carried out an analysis of exposure to
risks and where further opportunities exist. This review has identified more risks than
opportunities totalling £11.6m against further opportunities of £2.4m. The identified risks
include demand exposure from homelessness (£1.0m), adult social care (£1.8m) and Waste
Services (£0.3m) with wider corporate risks linked to the delivery of the interventions (£5.0m)
Council’s treasury position (£0.5m) and the possibility of the Council’s financial position
deteriorating from these risks, the remaining £2.0m of risks come from a number of smaller
updates including funding strategies such as buyers premium and the use of Transformation
Capitalisation powers.
Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
(Part 1 – Public)
Table 1: General Fund Overview
Service
Approved
Budget
Forecast
Outturn Variance
Forecast
Variance
Prior
Month
Change in
Variance
£m £m £m £m £m
Service Operating Budgets 261.5 285.6 24.1 22.8 1.3
Development & Risk Contingency 10.5 0.0 (10.5) (10.5) 0.0
Unallocated Budget Items: Pay
Award Inflation 2.0 4.6 2.6 2.6 0.0
Unallocated Budget Items:
Unallocated Savings (7.1) 0.0 7.1 6.5 0.6
Budgeted Use of Reserves (4.2) (4.2) 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total Net Expenditure 262.7 286.0 23.3 21.4 1.9
Corporate Funding (262.7) (262.7) 0.0 0.0 0.0
Subtotal 0.0 23.3 23.3 21.4 1.9
Interventions 0.0 (5.0) (5.0) (5.0) 0.0
Net Total 0.0 18.3 18.3 16.4 1.9
Opening Reserves as at 1st April
2025 6.7
Less: Underlying Variance (18.3)
Less: Budgeted Use of Reserves (4.2)
Add/(Less): Movement on
Earmarked Reserves (1.0)
Closing Reserves as at 31st
March 2026 (16.8)
9. The Council’s draft opening reserves position, comprising both General and Earmarked
Reserves, stands at £6.7m. When combined with the £4.2m of budgeted reserve usage and
the current overspend, total reserves are projected to be £15.8m overdrawn. An
additional £1.0m drawdown from Earmarked Reserves, due to service- level requirements,
brings the forecast usable general reserves position to £16.8m overdrawn, before any
assessment of the potential further impact from other financial risks . It would clearly be
untenable for the Council to leave this position unaddressed.
10. To this end, the council has begun conversations with the Ministry for Housing, Communities
& Local Government (MHCLG) with a view to securing Exceptional Financial Support (EFS),
and in order to progress matters swiftly has now made a formal submission to MHCLG in this
regard for support in the form set out in paragraphs 9i and 9ii below only.
11. Exceptional Financial Support may be granted by the Ministry of Housing, Communities and
Local Government (MHCLG) to councils facing significant financial pressures and unable to
deliver a balanced budget or maintain adequate reserves. Support can be provided in one or
more of the following forms:
i. Capitalisation Direction – This permits councils to account for specific revenue costs
as capital, subject to Government approval. Without such approval, this approach
would be unlawful. Once approved, this capital item can be addressed either through
offsetting capital receipts or amortised as MRP over a maximum of twenty years. If
the council were to have to borrow to make the cash flow balance this would also
incur interest costs.
Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
(Part 1 – Public)
ii. Additional Grant Funding – In certain circumstances, councils may receive direct
grant support to help manage exceptional financial pressures.
iii. Council Tax Flexibility – Councils may be granted permission to raise Council Tax
above the referendum threshold without holding a referendum. This option is only
available as part of the annual Council Tax setting process and is not currently being
pursued by Hillingdon.
12. The S151 Officer is not minded to issue a S114 notice at this point in time on the basis that
MHCLG are engaged in discussions and actively reviewing the council’s position . This
position is held on the current assumption that MHCLG will support the council’s application
for EFS and that the level of EFS agreed will be seen through on time and to the level required
by the council. The decision not to issue a S114 at this time is wholly contingent on the
discussions with MHCLG and ultimately without such agreement very serious consideration
would need to be given to issuing such a notice.
13. The Council is actively reviewing all available options to address the current financial pressure
and the forecast negative reserves position. Central to this is the delivery of the 2025/26
savings programme, totalling £34.0m – the largest savings target the Council has ever
undertaken. In addition, £4.8m of unresolved savings from previous years have been carried
forward, increasing the total savings requirement for 2025/26 to £38.8m. To date, slippage of
£7.4m has been identified within this savings requirement and built into the forecast position.
14. Under Government guidance, councils may fund transformation activity using capital receipts
from asset disposals. Given the scale of the savings programme, it is likely that the council
will need to utilise all available capital receipts to support transformation. This may include
releasing receipts previously earmarked to offset the Dedicated Schools Grant (DSG) deficit.
The council’s current Safety Valve Agreement with the Department for Education is
suspended pending ministerial review, recognising that the statutory override for DSG deficits
has been extended to March 2028.
15. The Council remains firmly committed to achieving a sustainable financial position and
implementing its Target Operating Model. It continues to be well-managed, with spending on
frontline services per capita below that of comparable authorities – primarily Outer London
boroughs. Despite the financial pressures, the Council has consistently delivered high-quality,
well-regarded services in a cost-effective manner, while maintaining one of the lowest Council
Tax levels in its comparator group. The chart below, based on 2023/24 data, illustrates this
position:
Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
(Part 1 – Public)
Chart 1: Income & Spend per Head Compared to Cohort Average
16. The Council’s forecast of overdrawn reserves by year -end reflects a range of national
challenges, compounded by insufficient funding from central government to meet rising
demand. A key pressure continues to be the delivery of temporary accommodation and
homelessness support. This is particularly acute in Hillingdon, due to the presence of
Heathrow Airport - a major port of entry into the UK - which places additional strain on local
housing supply and demand, driving up costs. This housing pressure also affects Children’s
Social Care, where vulnerable young people in supported accommodation are unable to
transition into independent tenancies due to a shortage of general needs housing. At the
same time, demand for Adult Social Care remains consistently high following the pandemic,
with funding from the Department of Health and Social Care failing to keep pace with
increasing client demand volume and complexity and market pressures.
17. The Government has now closed its consultation on the Fair Funding Review 2.0 with the
Council awaiting the outcome of the consultation. The fair funding review has been delayed
since the pandemic, with the consultation covering the funding distribution formulae used by
Government to allocate funds to each council across the country. Whilst the outcome of the
review is still awaited, early modelling by both London Councils and Pixel indicate a reduction
in overall funding for London, with funding migrating outwards from Inner London Borough s
to Outer London Boroughs and beyond. B oth models suggest that Hillingdon should see a
net growth in funding from 2026/27 and beyond. Whilst it is recognised that the borough was
aware of Government funding at the time of setting the 2025/26 budget, the review indicates
that Hillingdon is curre ntly underfunded by Government and had this review taken place in
line with the original timescale, Hillingdon’s financial position is likely to have been more
favourable.
Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
(Part 1 – Public)
18. Hillingdon’s consultation response largely agreed with the Fair Funding Review 2.0
information and data that the Government shared, supported by the London Councils model.
The council’s primary response was focused on the timing of the transition period, with the
Government indicating transitioning to the new funding level over a 3- year period. The
council’s stance is that local residents should not be required to fund transitional
arrangements and that the Government should seek alternative methods to fund any such
arrangements, rather than restrain the release of funding due to Hillingdon.
19. The pressures presented in this report therefore present a challenge for the Council, with the
above table setting out this position against service operating budgets, corporate budgets and
the use of reserves . This forecast position does not include any potential outcome from the
Exceptional Financial Support conversations being held with Government.
20. The council’s forecast position is therefore a highly challenging one and is highly dependent
on the assumptions built into the forecast being deliverable. All of the council’s centrally held
contingency has been assumed to be released in the forecast set out here and so there is no
capacity to offset further unforeseen costs , or savings or income shortfalls. It is of critical
importance that all areas of the council aim to deliver on, and give support to, all of the savings
commitments made to ensure they are delivered on time and to the value and scale planned
in the budget. The forecast assumes that transformation activity will be underpinned by capital
receipts and so it is also critical that the necessary level of asset disposals can be found to
pay for this activity, or that the spend on such activity is otherwise restrained to fit within the
level of receipts generated and available. The risks not encapsulated within the forecast will
also need to be carefully reviewed and addressed in order to mitigate and prevent or limit the
impact they may present. Any further impacts may have consequences for the EFS
requirement and add pressure to the council’s finances in repaying this over time. The council
will have to redouble efforts over the coming weeks to a ddress these risks and not assume
that the increase in funding anticipated through the Fair Funding review, which may only be
phased in over three years, will fully resolve the situation.
GENERAL FUND CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
21. As at Month 4 a £20.8m underspend is projected on the 202 5/26 General Fund Capital
Programme of £ 156.6m, with the forecast outturn variance over the life of the 202 5/26 to
2029/30 programme estimated to breakeven. General Fund Capital Receipts of £ 17.0m are
forecast for 2025 /26, with these funds forecast to be fully utilised to fund transformation
activity, with capital receipts forecast to achieve the income target of £45.5m for the five years
to 2029/30. Overall, Prudential Borrowing required to support the 2025/26 to 2029/30 General
Fund capital programme is forecast to be on budget.
SCHOOLS BUDGET
22. The Dedicated Schools Grant (DSG) total Block for the Maintained Schools is forecast to
have an in -year deficit of £12.5m , unchanged from Month 2 , representing an ongoing
improvement from the draft outturn for 2024/25 of £15.0m as a result of a broad range of
positive measures deployed by the Council. The in-year deficit is largely driven by High Needs
placement demand and cost pressures which continue to be significantly underfunded in the
Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
(Part 1 – Public)
DSG settlement from the DfE. This position means that the cumulative deficit carried forward
to 2026/27 is forecast at £78.1m.
23. There is currently a time- limited statutory override in place, now extended until 31 March
2028, ringfencing the Schools Budget deficit such that this does not impact upon general
reserves. The Council is one of many local authorities managing a large deficit within the
Schools Budget and this stood at £65.6m at 31 March 2025, exceeding the level of General
Fund reserves held . It is worth noting that between outturn 2024/25 and the position
presented in this report, the Council has successfully reduced the in-year spend against the
Schools Budget by £2.5m and continues to make good progress in this.
24. The issue of mounting DSG deficits remains a national issue, with projections for a £6.2bn
deficit across the country by 2026/27 forming a key strand to lobbying by sector bodies such
as the LGA and London Councils.
HOUSING REVENUE ACCOUNT
25. The Housing Revenue Account (HRA) continues to forecast a breakeven position at Month
4. Operating costs are showing an in-year pressure of £0.6m , an adverse movement of
£0.2m, primarily driven by staffing costs, emergency B&B placements and leaseholder
insurance premiums. These pressures are offset by a reduction in the revenue contributions
to the capital programme, ensuring the HRA remains financially viable. The 2025/26 closing
HRA General Balance is forecast to be £15m, in line with the target level es tablished for
2025/26. The HRA Capital Programme is forecast to breakeven over the five- year
programme, with investment of £ 529.2m increasing housing supply and maintaining and
improving existing stock.
FURTHER INFORMATION
General Fund Revenue Budget
26. As at Month 4, the Council’s General Fund is reporting an overspend of £18.3m after allowing
for the expected delivery of £5.0m in savings through the Target Operating Model and the
proposed release of the full £10.5m of contingency budget. This represents an adverse
movement from Month 2 of £1.8m. This position includes a £7.4m shortfall against the total
£38.8m savings target, with capital receipts being used to fund the associated transformation
activity.
27. The Month 4 position also includes the deployment of £1.0m from Earmarked Reserves,
primarily to support insurance claims and homelessness related pressures. In addition, £0.8m
is being drawn down from the Public Health ringfenced reserve, accumulated from prior year
underspends against the Public Health Grant.
28. To support the delivery of the savings programme, the Council is utilising £10.1m of capital
receipts to fund transformation costs, in line with G overnment guidance. Asset disposals in
2025/26 are expected to generate £17.0m, leaving £6.9m of headroom to support further
transformation activity in the current or future financial years.
Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
(Part 1 – Public)
Progress on Savings
29. The savings requirement for 2025/26 is £34.0m as set out in the Council’s budget strategy .
This position has been supplemented by a further £4. 8m of savings carried forward from
2024/25 as set out in the outturn report presented to July Cabinet, resulting in an overall
programme of £38.8m savings being targeted in year:
Table 2: Savings Tracker
Cabinet Member
Portfolio
Blue Green Amber I Amber II Red Savings
to be
Written
Out
Banked
Delivery
in
progress
Initial
stages
of
delivery
Potential
problems
in
delivery
Serious
problems
in
delivery
Total
£m £m £m £m £m £m £m
Cabinet Member for
Corporate Services &
Property
(0.1) (0.4) (0.8) (0.5) (0.6) 0.0 (2.4)
Cabinet Member for
Planning, Housing &
Growth
(2.4) (1.0) (0.1) (0.4) (0.2) 0.0 (4.1)
Cabinet Member for
Finance &
Transformation
(0.6) (2.4) (1.6) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (4.6)
Cabinet Member for
Community &
Environment
(2.4) (1.4) (0.9) (0.1) (2.0) 0.0 (6.8)
Cabinet Member for
Children, Families &
Education
(2.2) (0.1) (2.2) (0.3) (0.2) 0.0 (5.0)
Cabinet Member for
Health and Social
Care
(0.9) (1.1) (3.0) (1.9) (0.6) 0.0 (7.5)
Cross-Cutting (0.4) (0.6) (0.2) 0.0 (5.8) (1.4) (8.4)
Total 2025/26
Savings Programme
(9.0) (7.0) (8.8) (3.2) (9.4) (1.4) (38.8)
23% 18% 23% 8% 25% 4% 100%
Month 2 (4.4) (11.9) (9.7) (2.3) (8.9) (1.4) (38.6)
Change from Month
2 11% 31% 25% 6% 23% 4% 100%
30. As of Month 4, £16.0m (41%) of the savings and interventions are being recorded as banked
or on track for delivery, with a further £ 8.8m (2 3%) being at initial stages of delivery. In
addition, £12.6m (33%) are being reported as having potential challenges in delivery, with
alternative delivery methods being considered in- year where appropriate, but the savings
ultimately expected to be delivered in full. A further £1.4m of savings have been proposed to
be written out of the Council’s budget from 2026/27 and will form part of the Corporate Items
in the budget strategy to be presented to Cabinet in December 2025. Of these , £1.2m relate
to the brought forward balance from the prior year while £0.2m of savings budgeted for
delivery in 2025/26 can no longer be delivered.
31. Where savings are at risk of not being delivered in full during 2025/26, the associated
pressures have been factored into the monitoring position with compensating actions being
implemented where possible to offset the impact.
Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
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Service Operating Budgets
32. Service Operating Budgets represent the majority of the Council’s investment in day -to-day
services for residents. With the Council continuing to operate in an environment driven by
national pressures and exceptionally high demand, these budgets have been supplemented
with £5.5m of funding to meet forecast inflationary pressures and £17 .8m for demographic
growth and other drivers impacting on demand for services.
33. Table 3.3 represents the position reported against normal activities for the Service Operating
Budgets. The salient risks and variances within this position are summarised in the following
paragraphs.
Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
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Table 3: Service Operating Budgets
Service
Approved
Budget
Underlying
Forecast
Earmarked
Reserves Provisions Transformation
Capitalisation
Forecast
Outturn Variance
Forecast
Variance
Prior
Month
Change in
Variance
£’m £’m £’m £’m £’m £’m £’m £’m £’m
Corporate
Services &
Property
Expenditure 33.0 34.0 0.0 0.0 (0.7) 33.3 0.3 0.0 0.3
Income (12.9) (12.3) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (12.3) 0.6 0.8 (0.2)
Subtotal 20.1 21.7 0.0 0.0 (0.7) 21.0 0.9 0.8 0.1
Finance &
Transformation
Expenditure 131.5 140.2 0.2 0.0 (5.6) 134.8 3.3 3.8 (0.5)
Income (80.4) (79.4) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (79.4) 1.0 (0.4) 1.4
Subtotal 51.1 60.8 0.2 0.0 (5.6) 55.4 4.3 3.4 0.9
Planning,
Housing &
Growth
Expenditure 24.6 36.4 (0.5) 0.0 (0.3) 35.6 11.0 4.7 6.3
Income (15.0) (21.5) 0.1 0.0 0.0 (21.4) (6.4) (0.8) (5.6)
Subtotal 9.6 14.9 (0.4) 0.0 (0.3) 14.2 4.6 3.9 0.7
Community &
Environment
Expenditure 71.0 71.9 (0.1) 0.0 (0.8) 71.0 0.0 0.6 (0.6)
Income (41.0) (39.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (39.0) 2.0 2.3 (0.3)
Subtotal 30.0 32.9 (0.1) 0.0 (0.8) 32.0 2.0 2.9 (0.9)
Children, Families
& Education
Expenditure 98.8 105.3 0.2 0.0 (2.5) 103.0 4.2 3.5 0.7
Income (22.5) (22.7) (0.1) 0.0 0.0 (22.8) (0.3) 0.2 (0.5)
Subtotal 76.3 82.6 0.1 0.0 (2.5) 80.2 3.9 3.7 0.2
Health & Social
Care
Expenditure 164.0 179.1 0.0 0.0 (0.2) 178.9 14.9 7.8 7.1
Income (89.6) (95.5) (0.6) 0.0 0.0 (96.1) (6.5) 0.3 (6.8)
Subtotal 74.4 83.6 (0.6) 0.0 (0.2) 82.8 8.4 8.1 0.3
Service Operating Budgets 261.5 296.5 (0.8) 0.0 (10.1) 285.6 24.1 22.8 1.3
Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
(Part 1 – Public)
34. As can be seen from the table above, Service Operating Budgets are forecasting a £24.1m
overspend which is the cumulative effect of a number of variances which are briefly outlined
below by Cabinet Portfolio:
i. Corporate Services & Property – Are reporting a minor overspend of £0. 9m at
Month 4, representing an adverse movement of £0.1m, with the shortfall due to
pressures in Property Services against lease income . Part of this is linked to the
Civic Centre Transformation saving and compounded by assumptions made about
staffing costs incurred and the associated recharge into the capital programme, and
buyers premium.
ii. Finance & Transformation – As at Month 4 the service is reporting a pressure of
£4.3m, which is a £0.9m adverse movement against the previous report. T he
variance is predominantly caused by a £ 3.6m pressure against the Council’s
Treasury budget as a result of the adverse financial position for the Council . The
amount of cash forecast to be received is lower than the cash being expended,
leading to increased finance costs, which also account for the adverse movement
at Month 4. This position is compounded by staffing pressures within Finance from
agency staffing costs and a delay in delivering the Resident’s Hub saving, although
this is expected to ultimately deliver in full.
iii. Planning, Housing & Growth – Are reporting a net overspend of £4 .6m,
representing an adverse movement of £0.7m , with the net variance driven by a
gross pressure against expenditure of £11.0m offset by additional income of £6.4m.
The gross pressure is largely driven by a temporary accommodation and
homelessness support pressure, with this being a national pressure, but with
Hillingdon particularly impacted by having Heathrow within its boundaries having a
material impact on local supply and demand economics. The additional income is
linked to the same driver where the additional demand for temporary
accommodation attracts Housing Benefit Subsidy payments and grant funding
where applicable. The movement in this area is wholly driven by this pressure.
iv. Community & Environment – Are forecasting a pressure of £2. 0m by the end of
the year and are reporting a favourable movement of £0.9m at Month 4. With £2.0m
of this being income driven, the largest driver for which is the forecast shortfall
against the Garden Waste Charging saving of £1.0m, with further pressures across
other income streams including the delivery of the Trade Waste saving being rolled
forward into 2025/26 . The additional expenditure pressure is being driven by
Community Safety & Enforcement activity, where additional costs are being incurred
as a result of the Imported Food Office and payment for non- capital related
equipment within enforcement. The main driver behind for the improvement relates
to a number of small updates including improved income from garden waste and
reductions in expenditure in relation to Community Safety & Enforcement.
v. Children, Families & Education – As at Month 4, services within this portfolio are
reporting a pressure of £3. 9m, representing an adverse movement of £0.2m from
Month 2. The pressure in this area is driven by additional demand for care, with this
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position being in part impacted by the Temporary Accommodation pressure
reported above leading to a lack of General Needs properties within the Housing
Revenue Account (HRA), meaning that the service are supporting vulnerable adults
in supported accommodat ion that are ready to move on to more appropriate
tenancies of their own, however, the supply is not there to enable the service to step
down these individuals.
vi. Health & Social Care – are reporting an overspend of £8. 4m, with adult care
placements forecasting a pressure of £8.6m with the service able to mitigate £0.3m
of this through reductions in staff forecasts and holding vacant posts. This position
is driven by the ongoing and unrelenting growing demand for the service since the
pandemic, with all client groups reporting ongoing exceptional demand in 2025/26,
to date, client numbers have grown by 1.5% in the first two months of the year,
which on a straight-line basis would project growth to be 9% by the end of the year.
Collection Fund
35. At Month 4, the Council continues to report a minor deficit of £0.1m within the Collection
Fund against 2025/26 activity, before the prior year deficit variance of £10.1m takes the total
deficit to £10.2m. Within the Collection Fund, an adverse position is reported within Council
Tax of £2.8m against in-year activity, offset by a favourable position within Business Rates
of £2.7m. This position remains unchanged from Month 2 and is driven by 3 key factors:
i. Council Tax is presenting an in- year pressure of £2.8m against a £154.1m budget
as a result of slow growth in the taxbase, with a further £9.2m being driven by the
adverse movement on 2024/25.
ii. Business Rates is presenting an in-year surplus of £2.7m against a £72.1m budget,
with this position being driven by pressures within collection, predominantly linked
to empty properties being offset by a reduction in the Council’s levy against retained
business rates above the Government determined baseline level.
iii. The Business Rates position is then compounded by an adverse £0.8m against the
2024/25 outturn position.
iv. The Council continues to monitor the outstanding debt associated with Council Tax
and Business Rates and provide cover against this debt, with this position remaining
under review.
36. Any surpluses or deficits within the Collection Fund impact on the Council’s future year
budgets, with the position reported up to Month 9 impacting on the 2026/27 saving
requirement, leading to £10.2m being forecast for inclusion in the Council’s refresh of the
budget strategy to be presented as part of the consultation budget to December Cabinet,
with any further updates thereafter between Month 10 and outturn impacting on 2027/28.
This position therefore will increase the Council’s gross saving requireme nt by £10.2m for
2026/27.
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General Fund Capital
37. Table 4 presents the Month 4 forecast position for the 2025/26 General Fund Capital
Programme. The programme reflects schemes approved by Cabinet and Council in
February 2025, updated for approved rephasing from 2024/25.
38. At Month 4, the General Fund forecasts £137.7m against an approved budget of £156.6m,
reporting a net underspend of £18.8m. This comprises project rephasing of £20.8m into
future years and a £1.9m cost pressure within Children, Families & Education (Programme
of Works).
39. Across the five-year programme to 2029/30, the General Fund is projected to remain within
the overall approved budget envelope. Variances primarily reflect timing of expenditure and
do not represent permanent underspends or scope changes, with the exception of the £1.9m
cost pressure in Children, Families & Education in 2025/26. Full scheme- level details are
provided in Appendix A1.
Table 4: General Fund Capital Overview
Budget
2025/26
Forecast
2025/26
Cost
Variance
2025/26
Rephasing
Variance
2025/26
5 Year
Budget
5 Year
Forecast
5 Year
Variance
£m £m £m £m £m £m £m
Cabinet Member
Portfolio
Corporate Services &
Property 82.0 70.8 0.0 (11.2) 206.8 206.8 0.0
Finance &
Transformation 25.2 25.2 0.0 0.0 73.0 73.0 0.0
Planning, Housing &
Growth 1.7 1.7 0.0 0.0 8.0 8.0 0.0
Community &
Environment 6.8 6.8 0.0 0.0 16.6 16.6 0.0
Children, Families &
Education 28.6 20.9 1.9 (9.6) 30.1 30.1 0.0
Health & Social Care 12.3 12.3 0.0 0.0 43.7 43.7 0.0
Development & Risk
Contingency 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 0.0
Grand Total 156.6 137.7 1.9 (20.8) 384.2 384.2 0.0
GF Major Projects 110.3 92.5 0.0 (17.8) 206.7 206.7 0.0
GF Programme of
works 46.3 45.2 1.9 (3.0) 171.5 171.5 0.0
Capital GF
Contingency 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 6.0 0.0
Grand Total 156.6 137.7 1.9 (20.8) 384.2 384.2 0.0
40. The salient risks and variances within this position are summarised below by Cabinet
Portfolio:
i. Corporate Services & Property – Total £11.2m rephasing in 2025/26, reflecting
updated delivery profiles across a small number of major schemes. Key items
include Hillingdon Outdoor Activity Centre (HOAC), where the planning timetable
(including Natural England objection), HS2 grant lo ng-stop and renewables
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specification present programme risk; Civic Centre Transformation (affordability
supported by tenancy -linked savings); Crematorium Refurbishment (profiled into
2026/27). No five-year cost variance is reported.
ii. Finance & Transformation – Portfolio remains on plan. The main programmes in
this area include the C ouncil’s Transformation Spend and DSG Safety Valve
contribution as well as investment in the Council’s Technology & Innovation
Programme. Within Programme of Works, Vehicles Purchase has been updated to
reflect 2024/25 carry over anticipated to be spent in 2025/26.
iii. Children, Families & Education – A £1.9m cost pressure within the Programme
of Works alongside £9.5m rephasing, largely due to delivery scheduling around
school term breaks and SRP/SEND programming. The pressure is proposed to be
managed within the five -year envelope through in- portfolio reprioritisation and
profiling; if required, the Development & Risk Contingency (£6.0m) may be drawn
upon, but is not expected at this time.
iv. Community & Environment – Portfolio remains on plan at Month 4. Green Spaces
Equipment purchases are now in place and support the saving in the Council’s
General Fund Revenue position; Street Lighting presents potential revenue savings
subject to validated delivery assumptions.
v. Health & Social Care – On budget with no variances reported. The Investment in
Home Care Capacity remains aligned to current delivery timetables.
vi. Development & Risk Contingency – No use of the 2025/26 to 2029/30
contingency is planned at Month 4 ; the £6.0m provision is retained pending future
change control and mitigation requirements.
General Fund Capital Financing
41. Table 5 sets out the financing position for the General Fund at M onth 4. The lower in-year
forecast spend relative to budget reflects the rephasing noted above and reduces immediate
borrowing requirements. The programme continues to be financed from a mix of prudential
borrowing, external grants and contributions, and capital receipts principally to fund
Transformation and DSG Safety Valve in line with the MTFS.
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Table 5: General Fund Capital Financing
Budget
2025/26
Forecast
2025/26
Cost
Variance
2025/26
Rephrasing
Variance
2025/26
5 Year
Budget
5 Year
Forecast
5 Year
Variance
£m £m £m £m £m £m £m
Grants & Other
Contributions 38.4 29.9 1.9 (10.4) 94.3 94.3 0.0
S106 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0
Capital Receipts 17.0 17.0 0.0 0.0 45.5 45.5 0.0
CIL 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 21.0 21.0 0.0
Prudential
Borrowing 97.8 87.4 0.0 (10.4) 223.0 223.0 0.0
Total Funding 156.6 137.7 1.9 (20.8) 384.2 384.2 0.0
42. The capital receipts programme remains a critical dependency. Disposal Board activity is
being aligned to the corporate tracker to strengthen timing forecasts and reduce financing
risk. The five-year financing forecast remains aligned to the overall capital programme.
Schools Budget
43. As of Month 4 (July 2025), the Dedicated Schools Grant (DSG) is forecasting a deficit of
£12.5m with no change from Month 2, representing an improvement from the £15m outturn
for 2024/25. This in-year shortfall is entirely driven by continued demand and cost pressures
in High Needs placements, which remain significantly underfunded in the DSG allocation
from the Department for Education (D fE). These pressures are not unique to the local
authority; nationally, local authorities are facing similar challenges. Rising demand for
specialist provision, a shortage of maintained special school places, and increasing reliance
on costly independent non- maintained placements are contributing to widespread
overspends in the High Needs Block. Despite efficiency targets and mitigation efforts, the
structural underfunding of High Needs provision continues to place significant strain on DSG
budgets across the country. The table below provides a summary of the Schools Budget
and the current forecast.
44. Whilst the Safety Valve Agreement with the Department of Education (DfE) is currently
suspended, work has continued and the Council are very successfully taking control of the
market, managing unit costs down and beginning to see a significant reduction in the in-year
deficit as a consequence.
Table 6: DSG Income and Expenditure Summary
Dedicated
Schools Grant
(DSG) Blocks
Budget 2025/26
Forecast Variance Month
4 Change DSG
Settlement
Academy
Recoupment
LBH
Maintained
£m £m £m £m £m £m £m
Schools Block 299.4 187 112.4 112.4 0 0 0
Early Years Block 48.2 0 48.2 48.2 0 0 0
Central Schools
Block 2.5 0 2.5 2.4 (0.1) (0.1) 0
High Needs Block 84.1 8.7 75.4 75.5 0.1 0.1 0
Budgeted Use of
Reserves (12.5) 0 (12.5) (12.5) 0 0 0
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Total 421.7 195.7 226 238.5 0 0 0
Balance Brought
Forward 1 April
2025
65.6
Budgeted Use of
Reserves 12.5
Pressure 0
Total Deficit at
31 March 2026 78.1
45. A core target for the revised High Needs Safety Valve Plan is to actively reduce unit costs
by concentrating SEN support in-borough within our maintained schools and thereby reduce
dependence on high cost independent and out-of-borough placements. Trend data shows
clear evidence that the approach which has been in place since early 2024/25 and is now
beginning to have a positive impact.
46. The mounting DSG deficits remain a significant national issue, with projections indicating a
substantial funding gap for English councils. Specifically, English councils face a £2.3 billion
funding gap in 2025/26, rising to £3.9 billion by 2026/27, creating a £6.2 billion shortfall over
two years, according to the Local Government Association (LGA) . This deficit is primarily
driven by increased demand for services for children with special educational needs and
disabilities (SEND).
Housing Revenue Account
47. The Housing Revenue Account (HRA) is currently forecasting a breakeven position, with
ongoing market and demand risk being closely monitored throughout the year. The 2025/26
closing HRA General Balance is forecast to be £15m, in line with the target level set out in
the Council’s budget strategy. The table below presents key variances with a £0. 8m
pressure against operating costs being offset by a £0.2m favourable variance against rental
income. This position is kept to breakeven by a reduction in the capital financing costs, with
the Council opting to reduce the revenue contribution to capital schemes in order to maintain
the target level of balances, whilst ensuring the HRA remains in a financially sustainable
position, this position therefore represented a £0.2m adverse movement since Month 2
offset by a £0.2m reduction in revenue contributions to capital.
Table 7: Housing Revenue Account
Service
Budget Forecast
Outturn Variance Prior
Month Change
£m £m £m £m £m
Rent & Other Income (85.4) (85.6) (0.2) 0.0 (0.2)
Net Income (85.4) (85.6) (0.2) 0.0 (0.2)
Operational Assets 15.8 15.8 0.0 (0.3) 0.3
Director of Housing 9.9 10.7 0.8 0.7 0.1
Other Service Areas 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Contribution to Shared Services 17.7 17.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
HRA Operating Costs 44.4 45.2 0.8 0.4 0.4
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Capital Programme Financing 18.9 22.2 3.3 (0.4) 3.7
Interest and Investment Income 22.1 18.2 (3.9) 0.0 (3.9)
Total Capital Programme Financing 41.0 40.4 (0.6) (0.4) (0.2)
(Surplus) / Deficit 0.0 0.0 0.0
General Balance 01/04/2025 15.0 15.0 0.0
General Balance 31/03/2026 15.0 15.0 0.0
48. At Month 4, rental income and other income is forecast to overachieve by £0.2m with the
Council’s budget strategy to deliver a net increase of 209 new homes being anticipated to
be on track to deliver at this early point of the year. The budgets are based on a void rate of
1.02%, with any material variation from this level feeding into rental projections as
appropriate.
49. The HRA Operating Costs Budget is £44.4m and at Month 4 is forecasting a minor £0. 8m
overspend against the budget, with this adverse variance related a number of pressures
reported against the Director of Housing service of £0. 8m due to staffing pressures, B&B
costs associated with emergency housing and leaseholder insurance premiums. These
budgets are based on supporting the Council’s current housing stock as at 1 April 2025, with
growth added in line with the increase in stock numbers and to support the additional costs
associated with this increase and ensuring regulatory compliance. This area remains under
review, with growth in these budgets included in the approved budget from February 2025
being deployed as and when new homes are brought online.
50. Operational Assets are forecasting to breakeven from a number of minor pressures reported
in Month 2, the most material of which is a reduction in the cost of subsidence surveys, now
being covered by in- year mitigations, predominantly linked to a reduction in boiler repairs
driven by the replacement programme. Inflation was also added to HRA Operating Costs
budgets in the Council’s budget strategy, with forecasts indicating the budgeted uplift is
sufficient to meet inflationary demands on the service.
51. The detail behind the service delivery of the blocks included in table 7 are as follows:
i. Operational Assets budget funds the services provided for repairs and maintenance,
void repairs, compliance and inspections.
ii. The Director of Housing budget includes tenancy management and tenants’
services. The budgets include utility costs, and these will continue to be monitored
given the volatility of the electricity and gas markets in recent times.
iii. The Other Service Areas budget includes the Careline contract, HRA specific ICT
costs and the revenue regeneration costs.
iv. The Contribution to Shared Services budget includes the development and risk
contingency, overheads and corporate and democratic core charges, and the bad
debt provision.
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52. The Medium Term Financial Strategy ( MTFS) savings target is £1.0m with this saving
expected to be delivered by virtue of the Council’s general fund savings against support
services, leading to a reduction in the recharge to the HRA for these services.
53. As at Month 2 the capital programme financing budget of £41.0m is forecast to underspend
by £0.6m. This budget forecast includes £22.2 m (depreciation and revenue contributions)
to fund the HRA capital programme, the position also includes £18 .2m for repayments of
loans and interest on borrowing, this position will be closely monitored throughout the year
with clear linkages to the commissioning plan.
HRA Capital Programme
54. Table 8 presents the HRA Capital Programme position at M4. The in-year budget is £150.3m
(including approved slippage). The HRA reports £32.8m of forward phasing (acceleration)
within HRA Major Projects, with no cost variances in 2025/26. The movement is
recommended to Cabinet for approval with the detail set out below.
Table 8: HRA Capital Overview
Budget
2025/26
Actuals
2025/26
Cost
Variance
2025/26
Rephasing
Variance
2025/26
5 Year
Budget
5 Year
Forecast
5 Year
Variance
£m £m £m £m £m £m £m
HRA Major Projects 73.4 106.2 0.0 32.8 219.5 219.5 0.0
HRA Regeneration 19.6 19.6 0.0 0.0 104.1 104.1 0.0
HRA Programme of
works 57.3 57.3 0.0 0.0 205.6 205.6 0.0
HRA Total 150.3 183.1 0.0 32.8 529.2 529.2 0.0
55. The acceleration is driven by the Madison Brook Purchase & Repair programme, where the
2025/26 forecast has increased from £42. 2m to £75.0m, reflecting the current acquisition
cadence (indicatively circa 200 units at circa £375k average per unit). This is phasing only
and does not increase the total programme cost. In- year funding for Madison Brook is
expected to be circa 50% GLA grant and 50% prudential borrowing.
56. Hayes Estates Regeneration remains on plan in 2025/26 with a forecast of £19.6m and no
in-year variance. This phase is wholly borrowing-funded in 2025/26, with grant funding from
the GLA being front loaded in the programme . The five -year budget of £104. 1m remains
unchanged pending decisions on later phases; longer delivery times could increase
exposure to less favourable grant rates and inflationary pressures.
57. HRA Programme of Works is on budget at £57.3m for 2025/26. A net unallocated provision
of £19.6m exists within the Programme of Works; a number of approved. Delivery risks
include procurement timing (Green Homes, Structural Works); strong progress is evident on
Kitchens & Bathrooms and the Windows programme. Full details are provided in Appendix
A2.
Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
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HRA Capital Financing
58. At M4 the HRA financing profile for 2025/26 is expected to rely primarily on grants and
contributions (c irca 43%) and prudential borrowing (c irca 36%), with the balance from
revenue contributions. No use of HRA Right to Buy (R TB) or non-RTB capital receipts is
assumed in-year. The Council are working to align grant receipt profiling to delivery of the
capital programme in order to mitigate cashflow and funding risks.
Table 9: HRA Capital Financing
Budget
2025/26
Forecast
2025/26
Cost
Variance
Phasing
Variance
5 Year
Budget
5 Year
Forecast
5 Year
Variance
£m £m £m £m £m £m £m
Grants & Other
Contributions 62.3 78.7 0.0 16.4 177.6 177.6 0.0
Capital Receipts 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.6 20.6 0.0
Revenue Contribution 30.5 30.5 0.0 0.0 100.1 100.1 0.0
Prudential Borrowing 57.5 73.9 0.0 16.4 230.9 230.9 0.0
Total Funding 150.3 183.1 0.0 32.8 529.2 529.2 0.0
59. Over the five -year period, the HRA financing plan remains balanced, with total resources
forecast to align to the approved programme value of £529.2m. The service continues to
monitor grant opportunities (particularly for decarbonisation) and the affordabi lity of the
Programme of Works as the borrowing share rises across the medium term.
Treasury Management Update as at 31
st July 2025
Table 10: Outstanding Deposits
Period Actual
(£m)
Actual
(%)
Movement
from M02
(£m)
Call Accounts and MMF’s*
Up to 3 Month Fixed-Term Deposits
34.9 69.9% (6.2)
0 0% 0
Total 34.9 69.9% (6.2)
Strategic Pooled Funds 15.0 30.1% 0
Total 49.9 100.0% (6.2)
Average Investment Balances Jan 2025 50.4 (5.7)
*Money Market Funds
60. Deposits are held with UK institutions, all of which hold a minimum A - Fitch (or lowest
equivalent) long- term credit rating and AAA rated Money Market F unds (MMFs). UK
deposits are currently held in NatWest Bank plc and the DMADF. There is also an allocation
of £15m to three externally managed strategic pooled funds.
61. The average rate of return on day-to-day operational treasury balances since the beginning
of the new financial year is 4.32%. As part of the Council’s investment strategy for 2024/25,
the Council continues to hold a total of £15m in three long-dated strategic pooled funds (£5m
in each). The strategic pooled funds have a long- term investment horizon with dividends
being distributed periodically. When including projected dividend income on these strategic
pooled funds, the overall rate of return decreases to 4.25% based on the previous six months
Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
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income average. As the fair value of these strategic pooled funds are currently lower than
the sum initially invested it is not feasible to disinvest at this time.
62. Bank of England base rate fell to 4. 25% in May which will result in lower returns expected
on day-to-day operational investments in money market funds and the DMADF.
63. The Council aims to minimise its exposure to bail -in risk by utilising bail- in exempt
instruments and institutions whenever possible. However, due to the significant amount held
in instant access facilities, which is needed to manage daily cashflow, it is not possible to
fully protect Council funds from bail-in risk. At the end of July, all of the Council’s day-to-day
operational treasury investments had exposure to bail -in risk compared to a June
benchmark average of 78 % for London and metropolitan boroughs, as investments were
held in money market funds which were returning a higher yield than DMADF. However,
money market funds reduce the risk of bail -in compared to bank deposits as they provide
wide diversification of investment risks with professional fund manager services.
64. Liquidity was maintained by placing surplus funds in instant access accounts and making
short-term deposits, including overnight deposits, in the DMADF. Cash flow was managed
by ensuring maturities of any short -term deposits with the DMADF were matched to
outflows. Average investments over the month (including strategic pooled funds) were
£50.4m, a decrease of £5.7m from Month 2 and balances at the end of July were £6.2m
lower than at the end of the May.
Table 11: Outstanding Debt
General
Fund
HRA Total Average
Interest
Rate (Total)
£m £m £m %
PWLB Long Term 134.2 306.8 411.0 3.89%
Market 10.0 33.0 43.0 4.08%
Temporary Borrowing:
Local Authorities 83.0 0.0 83.0 4.74%
PWLB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0%
227.2 339.8 567.0 4.41%
Movement from M2 12.6 16.2 28.8 (0.39%)
65. During July 2025, a £30m local authority loan matured, which was replaced by new local
authority loans totalling £32m. Two PWLB long term loans totalling £32m were obtained to
help finance capital expenditure.
66. PWLB rates fluctuated throughout July, ending in a lower position to the beginning of the
month – an overall drop of 20bps from the end of May.
Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
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Appendix A1: General Fund Capital Breakdown
Revised
Budget
2025/26
Forecast
2025/26
Cost
Variance
2025/26
Rephrasing
Variance
2025/26
5 Year
Budget
5 Year
Forecast
5 Year
Variance
Total
Council
Resources
Grants and
Contribution
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
GF Major Projects
Corporate Services & Property
Housing Developments 20,000 20,000 40,000 40,000 0 40,000
Jubilee Leisure Centre, West Drayton 10,191 10,191 0 10,798 10,798 0 10,788 10
Hillingdon Water Sports Facility 8,000 1,000 (7,000) 18,000 18,000 0 18,000
Civic Centre Transformation 2,538 6,500 3,962 7,338 7,338 0 7,338
Northwood Hills Library (New) 2,383 300 (2,084) 2,383 2,383 0 2,383
Harefield Family Hub New Build 2,150 1,150 (1,000) 3,616 3,616 0 3,616
Carbon Initiatives 1,853 1,853 7,853 7,853 0 5,650 2,203
Otterfield Road library 1,381 300 (1,081) 1,865 1,865 0 1,865
Charville Lane - Children Specialist House 1,345 1,345 1,431 1,431 0 1,355 76
Refurbishment of Crematorium 893 550 (343) 8,993 8,993 0 5,993 3,000
New Years Green Lane Extension 873 200 (673) 873 873 0 823 50
Staying Close Project - Children's Respite 727 727 727 727 0 727
Cranford Park Heritage 525 525 575 575 0 453 122
Battle of Britain Underground Bunker 350 350 350 350 0 350
Flood Alleviation 345 345 695 695 0 148 547
Harlington Road Depot Fuel Pumps & Canopy 290 290 585 585 0 585
Appropriation of Townfield to General Fund 100 100 100 100 0 100
Yiewsley / West Drayton Community Centre 43 43 43 43 0 43
Asha Day Centre Refurbishment 25 25 25 25 0 25
Corporate Services & Property Total 54,012 45,794 0 (8,218) 106,250 106,250 0 82,243 24,008
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Revised
Budget
2025/26
Forecast
2025/26
Cost
Variance
2025/26
Rephrasing
Variance
2025/26
5 Year
Budget
5 Year
Forecast
5 Year
Variance
Total
Council
Resources
Grants and
Contribution
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Finance & Transformation
Capitalisation of Transformation Expenditure 10,000 10,000 31,000 31,000 0 31,000
DSG Capitalisation Support 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 0 4,000
Finance & Transformation Total 14,000 14,000 35,000 35,000 0 35,000
Planning, Housing & Growth
Shopping Parade Initiatives 385 385 385 385 0 385
Planning, Housing & Growth Total 385 385 385 385 0 385
Community & Environment
Green Spaces Machinery 1,500 1,500 4,500 4,500 0 4,500
Waste Services Improvements 498 498 648 648 0 648
Botwell Leisure Centre Adaptations 250 250 250 250 0 250
Parking Improvements 202 202 202 202 0 202
Community & Environment Total 2,450 2,450 5,600 5,600 0 5,600
Children, Families & Education
SRP / SEND 23,516 13,975 (9,541) 23,516 23,516 0 20,202 3,315
Secondary School Expansions 6,059 6,059 6,059 6,059 0 1,300 4,759
Children, Families & Education Total 29,576 20,034 (9,541) 29,576 29,576 0 21,502 8,074
Health & Social Care
Investment in Home Care Capacity 9,868 9,868 29,868 29,868 0 29,868
Health & Social Care Total 9,868 9,868 29,868 29,868 0 29,868
GF Major Projects Total 110,291 92,531 0 (17,760) 206,679 206,679 0 174,598 32,082
Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
(Part 1 – Public)
Revised
Budget
2025/26
Forecast
2025/26
Cost
Variance
2025/26
Rephrasing
Variance
2025/26
5 Year
Budget
5 Year
Forecast
5 Year
Variance
Total
Council
Resources
Grants and
Contribution
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
GF Programme of works
Corporate Services & Property
Highways Structural Works 12,669 12,669 52,669 52,669 0 47,000 5,669
School Building Condition Works 7,770 4,770 (3,000) 20,187 20,187 0 0 20,187
D.F.G. - Mandatory 5,582 5,582 14,166 14,166 0 14,166
Street Lighting Replacement 1,000 1,000 5,225 5,225 0 5,225
Property Works Programme 675 675 6,281 6,281 0 6,253 28
Highways Bridges and Structures 400 400 1,995 1,995 0 1,995
Corporate Services & Property Total 28,096 25,096 (3,000) 100,523 100,523 0 60,473 40,050
Finance & Transformation
Corporate Technology and Innovation Programme 6,446 6,446 14,732 14,732 0 14,732
Purchase of Vehicles 4,711 4,711 23,253 23,253 0 23,253
Finance & Transformation Total 11,157 11,157 37,985 37,985 0 37,985
Planning, Housing & Growth
Transport for London 1,171 1,171 7,003 7,003 0 0 7,003
Road Safety 120 120 600 600 0 600
Planning, Housing & Growth Total 1,291 1,291 7,603 7,603 0 600 7,003
Community & Environment
Chrysalis Programme 3,000 3,000 7,000 7,000 0 7,000
Environmental and Recreational Initiatives - Green Spaces 517 517 517 517 0 408 109
Playground Replacement Programme 300 300 1,100 1,100 0 1,100
Older Peoples Initiative 200 200 1,000 1,000 0 1,000
CCTV Programme 184 184 932 932 0 932
Leisure Centre Refurbishment 100 100 500 500 0 500
Community & Environment Total 4,301 4,301 11,049 11,049 0 10,940 109
Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
(Part 1 – Public)
Revised
Budget
2025/26
Forecast
2025/26
Cost
Variance
2025/26
Rephrasing
Variance
2025/26
5 Year
Budget
5 Year
Forecast
5 Year
Variance
Total
Council
Resources
Grants and
Contribution
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
Children, Families & Education
Youth Provision 507 507 507 507 0 (646) 1,153
Devolved Capital to Schools (1,527) 385 1,912 13 1,925 1,912 13
Children, Families & Education Total (1,021) 892 1,912 519 2,432 1,912 (646) 1,166
Health & Social Care
Equipment Capitalisation - Social Care 2,450 2,450 13,850 13,850 0 13,850
Health & Social Care Total 2,450 2,450 13,850 13,850 0 13,850
GF Programme of works Total 46,274 45,186 1,912 (3,000) 171,529 173,441 1,912 109,352 62,177
Capital GF Contingency
Development & Risk Contingency
General Fund Capital Contingency 6,000 6,000 0 6,000
Development & Risk Contingency Total 6,000 6,000 0 6,000
Capital GF Contingency Total 6,000 6,000 0 6,000
Grand Total 156,566 137,718 1,912 (20,760) 384,209 386,121 1,912 289,950 94,259
Cabinet Report – 18 September 2025
(Part 1 – Public)
Appendix A2: HRA Capital Programme Breakdown
Budget
2025/26
Forecast
2025/26
Cost
Variance
2025/26
Rephrasing
Variance
2025/26
5 Year
Budget
5 Year
Forecast
5 Year
Variance
Total
Council
Resources
5 Year
Grants and
Contribution
£'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000 £'000
HRA Major Projects
Acquisitions 42,538 75,423 0 32,885 42,538 42,538 0 17,401 25,138
Development Allocated 21,960 21,960 0 0 152,106 152,106 0 59,146 92,959
HRA General Contingency 8,000 8,000 0 0 24,000 24,000 0 22,836 1,164
Acquisition and Development Unallocated 857 857 0 0 857 857 0 (1,896) 2,752
HRA Major Projects Total 73,355 106,240 0 32,885 219,501 219,501 0 97,487 122,014
HRA Programme of works
HRA Works to Stock Programme 36,857 36,857 0 0 136,487 136,487 0 131,002 5,031
Green Homes Initiatives Programme 14,128 14,128 0 0 44,858 44,858 0 37,239 7,619
Major Adaptations 3,229 3,229 0 0 17,169 17,169 0 17,169 0
House Extension Programme 2,811 2,811 0 0 6,811 6,811 0 6,811 0
Food Waste Housing Units for Communal Properties 260 260 0 0 260 260 0 260 0
HRA Programme of works Total 57,285 57,285 0 0 205,585 205,585 0 192,481 12,650
HRA Regeneration
Hayes Regeneration 19,605 19,605 0 0 104,085 104,085 0 61,148 42,937
HRA Regeneration Total 19,605 19,605 0 0 104,085 104,085 0 61,148 42,937
Grand Total 150,245 183,130 0 32,885 529,170 529,170 0 351,116 177,601
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