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Pharmaceutical Needs Assessment
2025
DRAFT
September 2025
Contents
List of tables ......................................................................................................................................... 4
List of graphs and figures ...................................................................................................................... 5
List of maps .......................................................................................................................................... 8
1. Summary ............................................................................................................................................. 9
1.1. Overview of the London Borough of Hillingdon ........................................................................... 10
1.2. Community Pharmacies in Hillingdon ........................................................................................ 11
1.3. Conclusions ............................................................................................................................. 12
2. Introduction ....................................................................................................................................... 14
2.1. Purpose of the PNA ................................................................................................................... 14
2.2. Scope of the PNA ...................................................................................................................... 15
Process for developing the PNA: ...................................................................................................... 18
3. Hillingdon population demographics ................................................................................................... 20
3.1. Population Projections: ............................................................................................................. 22
3.3. Ethnicity: .................................................................................................................................. 23
3.4. Languages: ............................................................................................................................... 25
3.5. Religion .................................................................................................................................... 27
3.6. Homelessness ......................................................................................................................... 28
3.7. Patient Group Demographics .................................................................................................... 28
3.8. Deprivation .............................................................................................................................. 29
3.8.1. CORE20 (PLUS5) ................................................................................................................... 32
3.10. Economic activity (employment and unemployment): .............................................................. 33
3.11. Benefit claimants: .................................................................................................................. 35
3.12. Access to transport: Public and Private transport: .................................................................... 37
4. The Health of Hillingdon’s Residents ................................................................................................... 38
4.2. Mortality ................................................................................................................................... 39
4.3. Disease Prevalence: ................................................................................................................. 40
4.3.1. Cardiovascular Disease: ........................................................................................................ 42
4.3.2. Respiratory Disease: .............................................................................................................. 45
4.4. Excess Weight and Obesity ....................................................................................................... 46
4.5. Mental Health & Neurological Conditions .................................................................................. 47
4.7. Learning Disabilities and SEND: ................................................................................................ 51
4.8. Smoking: .................................................................................................................................. 51
4.9. Seasonal influenza: .................................................................................................................. 51
4.11. All-age Vaccinations: .............................................................................................................. 53
4.12. Under 18s conceptions ........................................................................................................... 53
4.13. Substance misuse: Drugs & Alcohol ........................................................................................ 54
5. Pharmacy provision within Hillingdon .................................................................................................. 56
5.1. Access to a pharmacy ............................................................................................................... 64
5.2. Travel times to a pharmacy: ....................................................................................................... 66
5.4: Other NHS providers that affect pharmaceutical services .......................................................... 74
5.3. Pharmacy Services: .................................................................................................................. 76
5.3.2 Advanced Services: ................................................................................................................ 79
5.4. Enhanced Services: .................................................................................................................. 82
5.5. Analysis of the Pharmacy Questionnaire ........................................................................................... 84
5.6. Essential Services: ................................................................................................................... 85
37 of those who responded dispense some form of appliance. ......................................................... 85
5.6.1. Gaps in provision: Essential Services: ..................................................................................... 87
5.6.3. Gaps in provision: Advanced Services: ................................................................................... 90
5.7. Enhanced / Other services ........................................................................................................ 91
5.11. Gaps in provision: Enhanced / Other Services: ......................................................................... 97
5.13. Delivery services & non-commissioned services: ..................................................................... 98
5.14. Bank-holiday access ............................................................................................................... 99
5.16. Dispensing GP practices ......................................................................................................... 99
5.17. PhAS pharmacies: .................................................................................................................. 99
6. Patient Survey Outcome: ................................................................................................................... 100
6.2. PNA Localities: ........................................................................................................................... 107
6.2.1. North Locality: ...................................................................................................................... 108
6.2.2. Southeast Locality: ............................................................................................................... 110
6.2.3. Southwest Locality: .............................................................................................................. 112
7. Conclusions: ..................................................................................................................................... 114
8. Data Sources: ................................................................................................................................... 115
8.1 Glossary ......................................................................................................................................... 117
9. Pharmacy opening hours ................................................................................................................... 118
List of tables
Table
Page
Table 1: Hillingdon age breakdown, 2022/23 22
Table 2: Community pharmacies in Hillingdon by ward and locality
56
Table 3 Pharmacies that have closed since 2022
57
Table 4: Drive Times to local pharmacies
65
Table 5: Opening hours overview (borough)
87
Table 6: Enhanced / other services
91
Table 7: Screening services
94
Table 8: Vaccinations
94
Table 9: Delivery and non-commissioned services
97
Tables 10 to 16: patient survey equalities monitoring
106
Table 17: North locality opening hours overview
108
Table 18: Southeast locality opening hours overview
110
Table 19: Southwest locality opening hours overview 112
Table 20: North locality detailed opening hours
118
Table 21: Southwest locality detailed opening hours
120
Table 22: Southeast locality detailed opening hours
122
List of graphs and figures
Graph or Figure
Page
Figure 1: Hillingdon population density
20
Figure 2: Household size
21
Figure 3: Population Pyramid
22
Figure 4: Census changes between 2011 and 2021
23
Figure 5: Broad ethnic groups
24
Figure 6: Percentage of population ethnicity
24
Figure 7: Ethnicity by age
25
Figure 8: Country of birth
26
Figure 9: Religion
27
Figure 10: Religion by ward
27
Figure 11: Homelessness trend
28
Figure 12: Deprivation deciles
30
Figure 13: Income
33
Figure 14: Economic activity
34
Figure 15: Employment rate
34
Figure 16: Benefits claimant count
35
Figure 17: Universal credit overview
36
Figure 18: Universal credit, Oct 2024
37
Figure 19: Life expectancy
38
Figure 20: Healthy life expectancy
38
Figure 21: Disability-free Life Expectancy
39
Figure 22: Mortality trend
39
Figure 23: Premature deaths
40
Figure 24: Disease prevalence spine chart
40
Figure 25: Atrial Fibrillation prevalence
42
Figure 26: Coronary Heart Disease prevalence
42
Figure 27: Heart Failure prevalence
43
Figure 28: Hypertension prevalence
43
Figure 29: Peripheral Arterial Disease prevalence
44
Figure 30: Stroke and Transient Ischaemic Attack prevalence
44
Figure 31: Asthma prevalence
45
Figure 32: COPD prevalence
45
Figure 33: Obesity prevalence, adults
46
Figure 34: Obesity trend, adults
46
Figure 35: Obesity (Reception) NCMP trend
47
Figure 36: Obesity (Year 6) NCMP trend
47
Figure 37: Dementia prevalence
48
Figure 38: Depression prevalence
48
Figure 39: Mental health prevalence
49
Figure 40: Cancer prevalence
49
Figure 41: Chronic Kidney Disease prevalence
50
Figure 42: Diabetes Mellitus prevalence
50
Figure 43: Non-diabetic hyperglycaemia prevalence
51
Figure 44: Influenza vaccinations
52
Figure 45: STI spine chart
52
Figure 46: Vaccinations spine chart
53
Figure 47: Under 18s conception trend
54
Figure 48: Drug treatment completions
54
Figure 49: Alcohol admissions spine chart
54
Figure 50: Essential Services: Dispensing by locality 76
Figure 51: BNF high volume
77
Figure 52: BNF medium volume
77
Figure 53: BNF low volume
77
Figure 54: Dispensing flows, North locality
78
Figure 55: Dispensing flows, Southwest locality
78
Figure 56: Dispensing flows, Southeast locality
78
Figure 57: Discharge Medicine Service
79
Figure 58: Advanced Services: Pharmacy First performance
80
Figure 59: Lateral Flow Device
80
Figure 60: Flu vaccination provision
81
Figure 61: Community Pharmacy Consultation Service provision
81
Figure 62: Contraception provision
81
Figure 63: Blood Pressure checks
82
Figure 64: New Medicine Service
82
Figure 65: Pharmacy Survey: pharmacy responses
84
Figure 66: Consultation rooms
84
Figure 67: Languages
85
Figure 68: Appliance provision
85
Figure 69: DMS provision
86
Figure 70: Advanced Services provisions
90
Figure 71: Influenza vaccination provision
92
Figure 72: Enhanced services provision
93
Figure 73: Enhance service provision continued
94
Figure 74: Vaccination provision
96
Figure 75: Delivery and non-commissioned service provision
97
Figure 76: Patient survey respondents
100
Figure 77 - 85: Patient survey responses
100
List of maps
Map
Page
Map 1: Indices of Multiple Deprivation
30
Map 2: IDACI deprivation
31
Map 3: IDAOPI deprivation
31
Map 4: CORE20 (PLUS5)
32
Map 5: Primary Care Networks
41
Map 6: Pharmacies in Hillingdon and those outside the boundary
60
Maps 7 to 9 – Hillingdon pharmacies by locality
61
Map 10: One mile distance around each pharmacy
64
Map 11: Walking by time
66
Map 12: Walking by distance
67
Map 13: Travel by car, by distance
68
Map 14: Travel by car, non-rush hour
69
Map 15: Travel by car, rush hour
70
Map 16: Public transport, weekday morning
71
Map 17: Public transport, weekday afternoon 71
Map 18: Public transport, weekday evening
72
Map 19: Public transport, weekend morning
72
Map 20: Weekend afternoon
73
Map 21: Weekend evening
73
Map 22: Hospitals with a 5-mile radius
74
Map 23: A&E hospitals within a 30-minute drive time
75
Map 24: North locality pharmacies
108
Map 25: Southeast locality pharmacies
110
Map 26: Southwest locality pharmacies
112
1. Summary
Every Health and Wellbeing Board (HWB) has a statutory duty to carry out a Pharmaceutical Needs
Assessment (PNA) every three years. The PNA provides Hillingdon’s Health & Wellbeing Board (HWB)
with a framework that supports the local health and care system to:
− understand the demographics of the local population
− understand current provision of pharmaceutical services, including
- the range of providers and choice
- their premises (including facilities), the location and geographical spread across the
area
- the range of services provided
− make appropriate decisions on applications for inclusion in a pharmaceutical list
− commission appropriate and accessible services from pharmacies and dispensing appliance
contractors
− identify and address any local gaps in pharmaceutical services
− target services to reduce health inequalities within local health communities.
Pharmaceutical services are provided by pharmacy and dispensing appliance contractors from premises
that are registered on a pharmaceutical list within each HWB area. In addition, some GP surgeries
provide a dispensing service to eligible patients registered to their practice, and some pharmacy
contractors provide services under a local pharmaceutical services contract.
Pharmacy contractors provide services under the national Community Pharmacy Contractual
Framework (CPCF) which sets out three levels of service:
1. Essential Services: these are the services that every community pharmacy providing NHS
pharmaceutical services must provide and includes the dispensing of medicines and appliances,
disposal of unwanted medicines, clinical governance, and promotion of healthy lifestyles
2. Advanced Services: there are nine services that Community Pharmacy Contractors and Dispensing
Appliance Contactors (DACs) can choose to provide. Provision of these services are subject to
accreditation as set out in the Secretary of State Directions
3. Enhanced Services: these are nationally commissioned services (commissioned directly by NHS
England) that have been introduced to assist the NHS in improving and delivering a better level of care
in the community. Pharmacy contractors can choose to provide any of these services
Locally commissioned services can also be commissioned by the Local Authority (LA) or the
Integrated Care Board (ICB). These are services that community pharmacy contractors could choose to
provide and are included in the PNA.
For this PNA, Essential Services and the dispensing service provided by some GP surgeries are
defined as ‘necessary services’, while Advanced and Enhanced Services are defined as ‘other
relevant services.’
Other locally commissioned providers may also provide specific services that impact the need for local
community pharmacy services. These specific services include sexual health services, stop-smoking
support and needle exchange services.
The geographical location of pharmaceutical providers determines access to services in terms of
distance from a resident's home or work (either within Hillingdon or neighbouring boroughs). The
surrounding location is included in the access criteria, and whether the service is accessible via public
transport, whether there is the ability of service users to drive and park and the access to services for
residents with a disability. Locating a service within or near to other services (for example within a
supermarket) may influence choice by reducing travel.
However, access is determined by more than just location; opening times are also an important aspect
of access and service availability.
Pharmaceutical services need to be available during ‘normal’ day-time hours (e.g. weekdays 9 am to 5-
6pm) when many other professional services might be expected to be available. The needs of specific
groups of residents also need to be considered, for example:
- workers being able to access pharmacy services after 6 pm or during lunchtime hours
- those who access general practice in extended hours, e.g. up to 8pm on weekdays
- those with more urgent self-care, unplanned care needs or for end-of-life care needs, at non-
routine times, including weekends and in the evening.
The Hillingdon Council Business Intelligence Team has completed the PNA in collaboration with the LA
Public Health Team, Customer Engagement, the Council Communications Team, the Local
Pharmaceutical Committee for Hillingdon and Healthwatch Hillingdon. The PNA has been overseen by
the Hillingdon Health & Wellbeing Board to ensure it is fit for purpose as per the NHS Regulations.
The process of developing this PNA has consisted of:
- gathering and analysing data and information of population demographics, public health data,
prescribing and service use data
- mapping and evaluating existing pharmacy services
- assessing service gaps based on population growth and access issues
- a 60-day public consultation to gather feedback from stakeholders and the public running
between June and August
Lastly, reviewing feedback from the resident and pharmacy provider consultation to finalise the PNA,
ahead of publication on the Council website within the national timeframe.
Data presented throughout the PNA are accurate as of May 2025, unless stated otherwise.
Any subsequent changes to pharmacy service provision in Hillingdon will be monitored, including any
changes to the availability of pharmaceutical services reflected through supplementary statements
(published alongside the PNA document), as and when appropriate.
1.1. Overview of the London Borough of Hillingdon
Hillingdon is the second largest of London’s 32 boroughs and shares its borders with Hertfordshire,
Buckinghamshire, Surrey, and the London boroughs of Hounslow, Ealing and Harrow.
Hillingdon has 21 electoral wards within three localities: North (8 wards), Southeast (7 wards) and
Southwest (6 wards). The borough has been split into these localities based on the 2022 ward
structures and data is widely available at ward or LSOA level for analysis to support the information used
in the PNA. These localities align with the Primary Care Network structures and the Integrated
Neighbourhood Teams (INT) that are the local vehicles of primary and community care delivery.
Each locality shares several socio-economic characteristics which makes analysis easier.
The current population of Hillingdon is 319,018 (ONS Mid-year Estimate, 2023). This represents growth
of 8,337 residents from 2022 (2.6%). At locality level, 33.6% of the borough live in the North INT area,
30.6% in the Southwest and 35.7% in the Southeast.
Over the course of this three-year PNA duration we can expect to see an average increase of 1,200 new
dwellings per year, with most of the growth in population associated with new homes in the southern
localities, specifically the Southeast.
48.2% of residents in Hillingdon are White. This is lower percentage than London and England. 33.3% of
Hillingdon residents are Asian/Asian British; higher than London and England. There is a higher
proportion of White and older residents in the North and Southwest localities, and southern localities,
especially the Southeast locality have higher proportions of younger Asian and Black residents (Census
2021).
Population at ward level ranges from 5,640 residents in Harefield Village to 19,701 residents in Wood
End ward. The south of the borough is more densely populated with approximately two thirds of
residents living in the southern wards. Wards in the south have higher levels of overcrowding and
higher proportions of households with six or more residents.
Hillingdon has a mixed socio-economic profile. The 2019 English Index of Deprivation ranks Hillingdon
as 21st most deprived out of the 33 London boroughs. The boroughs average deprivation score masks
the differences at ward level where northern wards are the least deprived and wards in the south have
higher levels of deprivation than the Hillingdon average. Hillingdon has no LSOAs in decile 1 (the 10%
most deprived areas) on the overall national indices.
The long-term London Shared Needs Assessment (2024) and the Core20Plus 5 framework highlights
that Hillingdon’s long term population health is deteriorating, with:
- significant socio economic and environmental deprivation factors are driving the increasing
prevalence of long-term conditions particularly in our most deprived communities (Yiewsley,
Hayes, and West Drayton). This includes a high child poverty rate (31%), low mean income post
housing costs, food insecurity and higher than NWL average rates of overcrowding and
homelessness
- 48% (127,264) of the Hillingdon registered Adult (18+) population are currently living with 1 or
more Long Term Conditions (LTCs); making Hillingdon joint highest with Harrow in NWL for the
highest weighted average % of patients with LTCs. The top five LTC’s within the Borough are:
Hypertension, Anxiety, Depression, Obesity & Diabetes. This is double the number of people
recorded as living with one or more LTC compared to 2017
1.2. Community Pharmacies in Hillingdon
There are 59 pharmacies in Hillingdon that provide pharmaceutical services, a rate of 19.0 per 100,000
residents. Since the 2022 PNA was published, five Hillingdon pharmacies have closed; Lloyd's
pharmacy in both Sainsburys (Hayes and South Ruislip) and three Boots pharmacies (Uxbridge,
Eastcote and Northwood Hills).
Hillingdon has better coverage of pharmaceutical services per 100,000 population than England, but
slightly less than London. The rate is higher in the boroughs North locality (20.1) compared with the
other two localities (Southwest 18.9/100,000 population and Southeast 18.0/100,000 population).
There is variation in pharmacy coverage at ward level, with more pharmacies located in town centre
areas within the localities (i.e. Ruislip and Hayes Town). There are good public transport links to town
centres within Hillingdon and across the borough boundary in neighbouring boroughs.
Three of the five pharmacies that have closed since 2022 were located on existing high streets with
other pharmacies close by. This enabled residents to maintain access to local pharmacy services.
Data indicates that dispensing services from the closed pharmacies in Northwood Hills, South
Ruislip and Uxbridge have transferred to pharmacies nearby. In Hayes this appears to differ due
to the increased choice of provision in very close proximity along the Uxbridge Road and
Coldharbour Lane.
The national framework for pharmaceutical services requires every pharmacy to open fora minimum of
40 hours a week to provide essential services (necessary services). Although the south of the borough
has less pharmacies than the north, some of these pharmacies have longer opening hours, and more
are open on Sundays. There is a good spread of pharmacies that open early, remain open late and at
weekends, all with good accessibility.
There is an even spread of pharmacies in areas of deprivation in the south of the borough, and in areas
with higher proportions of older people and people with long term conditions. During certain days and
times of the week, community pharmacies are often the only healthcare facility available.
Pharmacy provision is good across all three localities in Hillingdon. In the pharmacy survey pharmacists
stated their willingness to provide services that may be required in the future. This flexibility and
adaptability of pharmacists indicates that there are opportunities to develop services and that
the scope of services and the number of pharmacies is sufficient to manage the need of the
population over the course of this PNA.
1.3. Conclusions
For this PNA, Essential Services for Hillingdon are defined as Necessary Services. Advanced and
Enhanced Services are considered relevant as they contribute toward improvement in provision and
access to pharmaceutical services.
Locally Commissioned Services are those that secure improvements or better access to or that have
contributed towards meeting the need for pharmaceutical services in Hillingdon. These services are
commissioned by the ICB or the local authority, rather than NHSE.
The Hillingdon HWB considered the number, distribution, access and choice of providers of
pharmaceutical services covering each of the three localities in Hillingdon and conclude that the
evidence reviewed to inform this PNA based on the national criteria indicates that residents are
adequately served by providers of pharmaceutical services in the borough.
No current or future gaps have been identified in the provision of necessary and other relevant services
across Hillingdon. Changes affecting pharmaceutical services provision such as substantial changes in
current provision through business closure and/or changed population demographics will be monitored
and reviewed by the HWB. The PNA will be updated with supplementary statements where necessary to
explain the impact of any changes and what this means for the availability and accessibility of
pharmaceutical services in Hillingdon.
2. Introduction
Since the 2022 PNA, five pharmacies have closed. The following changes have also occurred:
- There has been an update to the Pharmaceutical Regulations 2013 in May 2023 in response to
the number of requests for temporary pharmacy closures with changes made to the:
- Notification procedures for changes in core and supplementary opening hours
- Notification procedures for 100-hour pharmacies to be able to reduce their hours to no less
than 72 hours per week
- Local arrangements with ICBs for the temporary reduction in hours
- requirement for all pharmacies to have a business continuity plan that allows them to deal
with temporary closures
- Integrated Care Boards (ICB) have replaced Clinical Commissioning Groups (CCGs) as part of
Integrated Care Systems (ICS). In an ICS, NHS organisations in partnership with local councils
and other public sector and voluntary and community sector organisations take collective
responsibility for managing resources, delivering NHS standards of care and improving the
health of the population they serve. ICBs took on the delegated responsibility for the
commissioning of pharmacy services from NHS England from 1 April 2023.
- The Pharmacy First Service builds on the Community Pharmacist Consultation Services (CPCS)
and was launched at the end of January 2024. Pharmacy First allows patients to obtain
treatment for their health conditions directly from community pharmacies without needing a GP
appointment. The conditions that are included in Pharmacy First are sinusitis, sore throat,
earache, infected insect bites, impetigo, shingles, and uncomplicated urinary tract infections in
women.
- Hypertension Case-Finding Service requirements were updated from 1 December 2023. This
service can be provided by suitably trained and competent pharmacy staff (previously, only
pharmacists and pharmacy technicians could provide the service).
- The Hepatitis C testing service was decommissioned at the beginning of April 2023.
2.1. Purpose of the PNA
The purpose of the PNA is to assess and set out how the provision of pharmaceutical services can meet
the health needs of the population of Hillingdon for the next three years. The PNA links closely to other
strategies and needs assessment, notably the Joint Local Health & Wellbeing Strategy (JLHWS) and the
Joint Strategic Needs Assessment (JSNA). The PNA sets out how health needs can be met by
pharmaceutical services commissioned by the ICB on behalf of the NHS in England.
If a pharmacy or a dispensing appliance contractor wants to provide pharmaceutical services, they are
required to apply to the ICB to be included in the pharmaceutical list for the HWB area in which they
wish to have premises. Their application must demonstrate how they will meet a need that is set out in
the HWB’s PNA, or to secure improvements or close an access to service gap identified in the areas
PNA. There are however some exceptions to this, for example, applications offering benefits that were
not foreseen when the PNA was published (‘unforeseen benefits applications’).
As well as identifying if there is a need for additional premises, the PNA will also identify whether there is
a need for an additional service or services, or whether improvements or better access to existing
services are required. Identified needs, improvements or better access may be needed or will arise
within the three-year lifetime of the PNA.
Whilst the PNA is primarily a document for the ICBs to use to make commissioning decisions, it may
also be used by local authorities. A robust PNA will ensure those who commission services from
pharmacies and Dispensing Appliance Contractors (DACs) where to target services to areas of health
need and reduce the risk of overprovision in areas of less need.
2.2. Scope of the PNA
The Pharmaceutical Regulations 2013 detail the information required to be contained within a PNA. A
PNA is required to measure the adequacy of pharmaceutical services in the HWB area under five key
themes:
• Necessary services: current provision
• Necessary services: gaps in provision
• Other relevant services: current provision
• Improvements and better access: gaps in provision
• Other NHS services
In addition, the PNA details how the assessment was carried out. This includes:
• How the localities were determined
• The different needs of the different localities
• The different needs of people who share a particular characteristic
• A report on the PNA consultation
To comprehend the definition of 'pharmaceutical services' as used in this PNA, it is important to
understand the types of NHS pharmaceutical providers in the pharmaceutical list maintained by NHSE.
The types of NHS pharmaceutical providers are:
• Pharmacy contractors
• DACs
• LPS providers
• Dispensing GP surgeries
Pharmaceutical services provided by community pharmacies, dispensing GP surgeries and appliance
contractors are defined by the Pharmaceutical Regulations 2013 and consist of services that are/may be
commissioned under the provider’s contract with NHSE.
For this PNA, ‘necessary services’ are understood to be equivalent to Essential Services, while ‘other
relevant services’ are equivalent to Advanced and Enhanced Services.
Pharmacy contractors operate under the NHS Community Pharmacy Contractual Framework (CPCF)
which sets out three levels of service under which pharmacy contractors operate:
Essential Services: These are nationally negotiated and must be provided by all pharmacies:
• Dispensing Medicines
• Dispensing Appliances
• Repeat Dispensing
• Discharge Medicine Service (DMS)
• Public Health and Health Promotion
• Signposting
• Support for Self-Care
• Disposal of Unwanted Medicines
• Clinical Governance
Advanced Services: These services are nationally negotiated, and any contractor may provide any of
these services if they meet the requirements of the Pharmaceutical Regulations 2013 and service
specification associated with each service. They are:
• Appliance Use Reviews (AURs)
• Pharmacy First
• Seasonal Influenza Vaccination Service
• Hypertension Case-Finding Service
• New Medicine Service (NMS)
• Stoma Appliance Customisation (SAC)
• Smoking Cessation Service
Enhanced Services (national and local): In December 2021 provisions were made within the NHS
Pharmaceutical and Local Pharmaceutical Services Regulations 2013 to provide a new type of
enhanced pharmaceutical service. These are developed by NHS England and NHS Improvement and
commissioned to meet specific health needs.
Enhanced Services can include:
• Care home service
• Chlamydia Screening & Treatment
• Emergency Hormonal Contraception (EHC) service
• Minor ailment service
• Needle and Syringe Programme (NSP)
• Patient group direction (PGD) service
• Smoking Cessation Service (SCS)
• Pharmacy Based Supervised Administration Programme (PBSAP)
National Enhanced Services (NES):
Enhanced Services are all considered relevant for the purpose of this PNA.
Under the pharmacy contract, Enhanced Services are those directly commissioned by NHSE.
There is currently one National Enhanced Service commissioned in Hillingdon, the COVID-19
vaccination service. This service is provided from selected community pharmacies who have undergone
an Expression of Interest Process, and the service is commissioned by NHSE. Pharmacy owners must
also provide the Flu Vaccination Service for a selected cohort of patients.
Pharmacy Access Scheme (PhAS) providers:
The PhAS has been designed to capture the pharmacies that are most important for patient access,
specifically those pharmacies where patient and public access would be materially affected should they
close. The PhAS takes isolation and need levels into account.
Pharmacies in areas with a dense provision of pharmacies remain excluded from the scheme. In areas
with high numbers of pharmacies, public access to NHS pharmaceutical services is not at risk. The
scheme is focused on areas that may be at risk of reduced access, for example, where a local
population relies on a single pharmacy.
DSPs, DACs, LPS contractors and dispensing GP practices are ineligible for the scheme.
From 1 January 2022, the revised PhAS is to continue to support patient access to isolated, eligible
pharmacies and ensure patient access to NHS community pharmaceutical services is protected.
There are three PhAS in Hillingdon; Howletts (Ruislip) and Boots landside in Terminal 3 and
Terminal 5 in Heathrow Airport.
Dispensing Appliance Contractors (DACs):
DACs operate under the Terms of Service for Appliance Contractors as set out in Schedule 5 of the
Pharmaceutical Regulations 2013. They can supply appliances against an NHS prescription, are not
required to have a pharmacist, do not have a regulatory body and their premises do not have to be
registered with the General Pharmaceutical Council.
There are no DACs in Hillingdon.
Other providers of pharmaceutical services in neighbouring areas:
There are six other neighbouring boroughs that border Hillingdon:
• Ealing
• Harrow
• Hertfordshire
• Hounslow
• Spelthorne
• South Buckinghamshire
In determining the needs for pharmaceutical service provision to the population of Hillingdon,
consideration has been made to the pharmaceutical service provision from the neighbouring HWB
areas. Although these pharmacies have not been included in the survey of contractors this PNA includes
maps showing their proximity to Hillingdon.
Process for developing the PNA:
Hillingdon HWB has statutory responsibilities under the Health and Social Care Act to produce and
publicise a revised PNA at least every three years. Hillingdon’s last PNA was published in September
2022 and is due to be refreshed and published by the end of September 2025. Other strategies
considered include:
Joint Strategic Needs Assessment (JSNA):
The aim of the JSNA is to improve the health and wellbeing of the local community and reduce health
inequalities for residents of all ages, identifying those groups where health and care needs are not being
met and those residents which are experiencing poorer health and wellbeing outcomes. Hillingdon’s
JSNA is currently being refreshed and is in the process of being replaced by the Hillingdon Datahub; the
Datahub has been used to populate many of the figures within the PNA.
Health and Wellbeing Strategy (HWS):
Hillingdon’s draft Joint Local Health & Wellbeing Strategy 2025-28 seeks to improve the health and
wellbeing of all our residents and reduce disparities in health and care across our communities to
achieve a vision shared by all health and care partners in the borough. The priorities and objectives
include:
Thriving Healthy Households:
- whole-population approaches to prevent ill health and promote wellbeing through self-
management
- tackling the social determinants of poor health
- improving air quality and built environment
Early Intervention and Prevention:
- optimising preventative care for people with LTCs with an emphasis on hypertension
- maximising independence and choice
- preventing reliance on health and care services
Targeted long-term care and community support for people with complex health and care
needs:
Provide proactive, personalised and integrated case management and care across primary,
community, mental health, social care and voluntary services for high-need, high-utilisation
patients to:
- Maintain their independence for as long as possible
- Reduce non-elective presentations
- Reduce admissions to long term care
A small number of high impact actions and key performance indicators (KPIs) have been created to
monitor performance of the objectives.
Included in the HWS is the Core20PLUS5 framework, an NHS England initiative aimed at reducing
healthcare inequalities, which focuses on the most deprived 20% of the population (CORE20), additional
marginalised groups (PLUS) and five (5) key clinical priority areas.
Hillingdon’s draft Health & Wellbeing Strategy (2025-28) shows how these priorities relate to Hillingdon:
Pharmaceutical service providers have the potential to play a greater role in identifying and helping
address priority health needs as they are strategically placed in the community and have daily
interactions with the local populations.
To help understand local health needs and how pharmaceutical service providers can be involved in
various interventions, the next sections look at Hillingdon’s population and major causes of ill health.
3. Hillingdon population demographics
The current population of Hillingdon is 319,018 (ONS Mid-year Estimate 2023). This represents growth
of 8,337 residents from 2022 (2.6%).
The largest element of change between 2022 and 2023 was from international migration; natural
change (births minus deaths) accounted for an additional 2,000 residents, internal migration accounted
for a decrease of 3,950 residents and international migration accounted for a net change of 10,100
residents – giving overall growth of approx. 8,000 residents between 2022 and 2023.
The current dataset of ward population estimates 310,681 residents (2022); population totals at
borough and ward level vary as there is a lag in the publication of data at different
geographies. Population between wards varies; Harefield Village has the smallest population (5,640)
and Wood End the largest (19,701).
The south of the borough is more densely populated with approximately two thirds of residents living in
the southern wards; 8 of the top 10 most densely populated wards are in the south, with Belmore
topping the ranks with the most residents per square km. Wards in the south have higher levels of
overcrowding, with up to 20% of households having fewer bedrooms than required (1 or 2 or less than
needed). Wards in the south have higher proportions of households with six or more residents.
Figure 1: Hillingdon Population Density:
Figure 2: Household size in Hillingdon (2021):
The GP registered population in Hillingdon:
This population is estimated at 346,632 (2023/24); the difference between this and the usual resident
population is that some people registered with a Hillingdon GP will be non-Hillingdon residents. Similarly,
some Hillingdon residents will be registered with GPs outside of the borough.
Daytime / workday population:
The population of an area changes as people move in and out of an area to work or study. Census 2011
indicated that the working age population increases by 17.3% during the workday (or 34,700 people);
Census 2021 took place during the Covid pandemic when a nationwide lockdown was still in place, with
many people working from home.
Although the pandemic has now passed, applying the 2011 percentage to the current population
estimates that we could have an additional 55,000 people potentially accessing services within
Hillingdon during the working day, similarly just as a percentage of our residents will access services
outside our boundary, i.e. a pharmacy near their place of work, study or end destination.
Data from the NHS Business Services Authority shows that in September 2024 approximately 11% of
prescriptions dispensed by pharmacies in the borough were from GPs outside the borough boundary.
Gender by age range:
The Hillingdon population is split 49.9% male (159,326) and 50.1% female (159,692), with variations by
age range which can be seen in Figure 3 which also shows the age distribution in comparison to London
and England. Hillingdon has higher proportions of younger residents aged 0-18 than London and
England.
Figure 3: Hillingdon Population by gender and age compared to London and England: 2023:
The North locality has higher proportions of residents aged 65 years and older, with the Southeast and
Southwest localities having higher proportions of younger residents aged under 19 years.
Table 1: Hillingdon age breakdown, 2022/23
Age Band Hillingdon
Persons
Hillingdon % of
population
North locality Southeast
locality
Southwest
locality
London
England
Age: 0-3 16,731 5.2% 4.6% 5.4% 5.6% 4.7% 4.2%
Age: 4-18 61,350 19.2% 17.6% 20.9% 19.5% 17.7% 17.8%
Age: 19-64 198,420 62.2% 58.5% 63.5% 63.9% 65.4% 59.3%
Age: 65-74 22,200 7.0% 9.2% 5.9% 6.2% 6.6% 9.5%
Age: 75+ 20,317 6.4% 10.0% 4.4% 4.9% 5.6% 9.2%
3.1. Population Projections:
At the current time (February 2025), no Sub-National Population Projections have been published
since 2018; an updated data set is due in 2025. Using the growth data between the 2011 and 2021
Census (11.7%) we could expect the population in 2031 to be 342,000.
Figure 4 shows the large growth in the older population since Census 2011, with some younger age
cohorts seeing a decrease; the largest growth was in those aged 55 to 59, who between 2021 and the
next census will further increase the older population.
Figure 4:
Since 2021 the North locality has seen a very small reduction in the number of residents (a net reduction
of 157 residents overall). The Southeast has seen the largest growth (3,004 extra residents) and the
Southwest saw growth of 1,917 residents.
Over the course of this PNA we can expect to see an average increase of 1,200 new dwellings per year,
with most of the growth of the associated new population in the southern localities, specifically the
Southeast.
3.2. Births and Fertility:
Births In Hillingdon have fallen from 4,500 in mid-2016 to 4,100 in mid-2023. Wards in the Southeast
locality have seen the highest numbers of births (specifically Belmore, Wood End and Hayes Town)
alongside Yiewsley in the Southwest locality.
The Total Fertility Rate in Hillingdon has fallen to 1.72 in 2023 (from 1.79 in 2020) with rates also having
fallen in London and England.
3.3. Ethnicity:
48.2% of residents are White, lower than London and England; 33.3% are Asian/Asian British, higher
than London and England. Figures 5 and 6 show the borough data.
Figure 5: Broad Ethnic Groups in Hillingdon: 2021
Figure 6: Percentage of Population by Ethnic Group (excluding white population): 2021:
There is a higher proportion of White and older residents in the North and Southwest localities, and the
southern localities have higher proportions of younger Asian and Black residents, as shown in Figure
7.
Figure 7: Ethnicity by Age Range: Census 2021:
3.4. Languages:
Census 2021 shows that 75% of borough residents aged 3 years and older have English as their main
language. For residents who do not have English as their main language, 17.5% can speak it well or
very well.
There is variation at locality level, with Belmore ward (Southeast locality) having the lowest level of
residents aged 3 years+ with English as the main language (58.3%), whereas Harefield Village ward
(North locality) has 90.2% of residents with English as their main language.
The top three main languages spoken by residents in Hillingdon (after English) is Panjabi (4.5%), Polish
(1.6%) and Tamil (1.6%). Over 80 languages are spoken by Hillingdon residents.
3.5. Country of Birth:
62% of borough residents were born in the UK, with a further 19.8% from Middle & East Asia.
Figure 8: Country of Birth by region of Hillingdon residents (excluding Europe): 2021:
There is variation at locality level, with Hayes Town ward (Southeast locality) having the lowest level of
residents born in the UK (43.8%), whereas Ruislip ward (North locality) has 77.9% of residents who
were born in the UK.
3.5. Religion
Census 2021 shows that the majority of residents in Hillingdon identify as having a Christian faith,
followed by No Religion and Muslim; 6% chose not to answer the optional question.
Figure 9 shows the borough proportions and Figure 10 shows the variation at ward level.
Figure 9: Recorded religion in Hillingdon: Census 2021:
Figure 10: Reported religion by ward: Hillingdon: 2021:
3.6. Homelessness
Hillingdon has seen a large increase in households in temporary accommodation since 2021/22.
Figure 11 shows Hillingdon’s trend data, which has shown larger increases than London and England.
Figure 11: Homelessness: households in temporary accommodation:
Rough Sleepers: monthly data from the Ministry of Housing, Communities & Local Government shows
that in September 2024 there were
- 86 people sleeping rough over the month
- 47 new people sleeping rough over the month (an increase of 21% since September 2023.
3.7. Patient Group Demographics
3.7.1. Student population:
Students studying and resident on campus during term times can impact on service needs. Hillingdon is
home to Brunel University, Buckinghamshire New University’s Uxbridge campus and Uxbridge College
(spread over two campuses - Uxbridge and Hayes):
• The Brunel University campus includes a medical centre and pharmacy and is close to Uxbridge
Town Centre
• Buckinghamshire New University is close to Uxbridge Town centre
• Uxbridge College campuses are close to Uxbridge or Hayes Town centres
3.7.2. Immigration Removal Centre:
Within Hillingdon’s boundary is the Heathrow Immigration Removal Centre (HIRC); situated two miles
away from Heathrow Airport comprising of two separate buildings (Harmondsworth IRC and Colnbrook
IRC), it has a combined capacity of 965 residents.
3.7.3. Military Veterans:
Data from Census 2021 shows that 3,443 residents have previously served in UK regular armed forces,
a further 1,211 have served in the UK reserve armed forces and an additional 177 have served in both
(a total of 4,831 residents aged 16+).
3.7.4. RAF base:
Hillingdon is home to RAF Northolt in South Ruislip ward. 2,000 service personnel (from all three Armed
Forces), civil servants, and contractors work at RAF Northolt, which has an onsite medical centre and
dentist.
3.7.5. Immigration:
Immigration statistics from the Home Office show that in December 2024 Hillingdon was supporting
3,816 people under three pathways; the Homes for Ukraine, Afghan Resettlement Programme and
Supported Asylum that account for 1.2% of the borough population, the highest proportion of all local
authorities in Great Britain.
3.7.6. Travellers:
Census 2021 counted 472 Gypsy or Irish Travellers living in Hillingdon, 0.2% of the borough population.
The majority live in the Southwest of the borough (60.4%, 285), 26.7% live in the Southeast (127) and
12.7% live in the North (60). There are 691 Roma residents, 0.2% of the population; 41.4% live in
Southwest wards (286), 33% live in Southeast wards (228) and 25.6% live in the north of the borough
(177). Census counted six residents who responded as ‘other traveller’, all live in Yiewsley ward.
3.7.7. Unpaid Carers:
Census 2021 counted 22,464 residents (aged 5+) who provide unpaid care. The number of hours per
week varies but 5,007 residents provide 20 to 49 hours per week, and 6,445 residents provide 50+
hours per week. Note that Census 2021 took place during the COVID pandemic, which may have
affected how people responded.
Some of these patient groups will be included within the normal resident population.
3.8. Deprivation
Hillingdon is ranked 21st most deprived of the 33 London Boroughs (including City of London). The
following 3 maps show the various versions of IMD ranking in Hillingdon:
• Overall Indices of Multiple Deprivation (IMD): Hillingdon has no LSOAs among the 10 per cent
most deprived nationally
• Income Deprivation Affecting Children Index (IDACI) ranking: Hillingdon has two LSOAs in the
south of the borough in the most deprived 10% of LSOAs in England
• Income Deprivation Affecting Older People Index (IDAOPI): Hillingdon has six LSOAs in the
south of the borough in the most deprived 10% of LSOAs in England
Deprivation in older people is associated with poor health outcomes; this has implications for health and
care services, including pharmacy services.
Map 1: IMD by Hillingdon ward: 2019:
Figure 12: Percentage of Hillingdon LSOA in each national deprivation decile:
Map 2: Income Deprivation Affecting Children Index: Hillingdon: 2019
Map 3: Income Deprivation Affecting Older People Index, 2019:
3.8.1. CORE20 (PLUS5)
On the overall Indices of Multiple Deprivation (Core20), 4% of the borough's population live within the
most deprived 20% of LSOAs (12,541 residents) – Hillingdon’s has no LSOAs in the most deprived
decile. All these LSOAs fall within southern wards.
The population increases when looking at the indices affecting children and older people; all LSOAs are
still in the south of the borough:
- Indices affecting children – 5.9% of residents (18,401)
- Indices affecting older people – 12.6% of residents (39,029)
Map 4: The most deprived 20% of LSOAs in the overall indices:
Source: SHAPE Atlas by the Department of Health & Social Care
3.9. Low Income
Hillingdon has lower rates of children under 16 living in families with low income when compared to
London and England, though there will be variation at ward level.
Figure 13: Number of Children living in families with a low income: Hillingdon: 2014/15-2022/23
3.10. Economic activity (employment and unemployment):
Economic activity relates to whether a person (aged between16 and 64 years) is working or looking for
work. Residents who are unemployed, or who are in poorly paid occupations tend to have poorer health
outcomes.
In June 2024, Hillingdon had lower proportions of economically active males compared with London and
England, and a higher proportion of economically active females. This is mirrored for employment rates
in both genders.
Figure 14: Economic Activity in Hillingdon compared to London and England, by gender (June
2024):
Of residents economically inactive 43.9% are students and 14.1% are long term sick.
Figure 15: Employment Rate n Hillingdon compared to London and England, by gender (June
2024):
3.11. Benefit claimants:
The proportion of residents claiming out of work benefits is increasing, both in Hillingdon and across
London.
Figure 16: Benefit Claimants: Hillingdon compared with London and England: November 2024:
3.11.1. Universal Credit:
Universal Credit (UC) is a single payment for households on low income or out of work to help with living
costs. UC replaces six legacy benefits. Introduced in Hillingdon in October 2018, the data shows an
increase in claims that could be a natural increase or the phased switchover of existing benefits.
Figure 17: Universal Credit Claims: Hillingdon compared with London and England: October
2024:
Figure 18: Proportion of people claiming UC by duration of claim: Hillingdon compared with
London and England: October 2024:
38% of UC claimants are in employment. Wards in the south of the borough have higher claim rates of
most benefits; 48% of people claiming Universal Credit live in the Southeast locality of Hillingdon.
3.11.2. Pension Credit:
In May 2024 Hillingdon had 5,400 residents claiming pension credit (data from DWP on Stat-Xplore);
40.2% of claims were from the Southeast locality. Nationally, almost 90% of all prescription items are
dispensed free of charge, with almost 63% of all prescription items dispensed free of charge to patients
claiming age exemption (aged 60 years and over).
3.11.3. Carers Allowance:
In May 2024 Hillingdon had 4,300 residents claiming pension credit (data from DWP on Stat-Xplore);
43.4% of claims were from the Southeast locality.
3.12. Access to transport: Public and Private transport:
In 2024 there were 165,300 licensed vehicles registered within Hillingdon (cars, motorcycles and light
and heavy goods vehicles). Hillingdon is well served by the London Underground; the Central,
Metropolitan and Piccadilly Lines start and end within the borough and provide good links into London,
alongside the Elizabeth Line that runs through the south of the borough. Hillingdon also has overground
rail links and a good network of bus routes. Maps detailing distance to pharmacies are presented in
Section 5.
4. The Health of Hillingdon’s Residents
4.1. Life Expectancy:
Hillingdon’s male and female life expectancy at birth is 79.6 and 84.3 respectively (2022); both are
higher than England and lower than London (Figure 3). However, there are inequalities at ward level;
the latest data (2016-20) shows variation for males from 84.4 (north) to 76.5 (south) and for females
87.4 (north) to 80.5 (south) - as this is based on the old ward structures, no wards are named.
Figure 19: Male and Female life expectancy at birth: Hillingdon compared with London and
England: 2022:
Figures 20 and 21 show Hillingdon’s Healthy life expectancy and disability-free life expectancy
compared to London and England.
Figure 20: Healthy Life Expectancy: Hillingdon compared with London and England: 2022:
Figure 21: Disability-free Life Expectancy: Hillingdon compared with London and England: 2022:
4.2. Mortality
Mortality from all causes has been falling in Hillingdon in line with national decreases. Figure 22 shows
the trend in mortality rate from all causes, all ages (persons, 1 year range).
Figure 22: All-age all-cause Mortality: Hillingdon compared with England 2001 – 2022:
The average number of deaths per year in the period 2021-23 was 2,186; deaths because of circulatory
diseases accounted for 18.9% of deaths in that period, cancer 20% and respiratory disease 20.2%.
34% of deaths in 2021-23 occurred in those aged under 75 (premature mortality) and 66% in those aged
75+, with variation at locality level – in the North of the borough 25.8% of deaths were in those aged
under 75, with 42.9% in the Southeast locality and 38.2% in the Southwest.
Figure 23: Proportions of borough premature deaths by identified diseases: Hillingdon
compared with London and England: 2021-23:
In 2021-23 the main cause of premature deaths in Hillingdon was attributable to cancer (28.1%),
circulatory disease (20.6%) and respiratory disease (13.9%). Together, these causes accounted for
62.6% of all premature deaths in that period (source: Primary Care Mortality Dataset).
4.3. Disease Prevalence:
More than one in four of the adult population in England lives with two or more conditions. People with
multiple conditions are more likely to have poorer health, poorer quality of life and a higher risk of dying
early than the overall general population (source: National Institute for Health Research, 2021).
Figure 24: Hillingdon’s profile for certain diseases, with comparison to London and England:
2023/24
The following figures uses data from the Quality Outcomes Framework (QOF) on NHS Digital (2023/24)
and shows prevalence levels of diseases from the GP registered population. It should be noted that thus
is data based in GP registered populations which includes people that are registered with a Hillingdon
GP and live in a neighbouring borough.
Hillingdon has 42 GP surgeries organised into six Primary Care networks (PCNs), with two GP practices
that have made the decision not to be allocated to a PCN. Graphs presented are at PCN level.
Hillingdon has no GPs in Ruislip Manor or Hillingdon West wards.
Map 5: Primary Care Networks in Hillingdon and aligned General Practices.
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