Read the text of this document (31 pages)
Plan page 1
London
Borough of
Hillingdon
School
Organisation Plan
Plan page 2
Contents
Section 1 Introduction 4
1.1 Purpose and scope 4
Section 2 Context 5
2.1 Government Regulations, Guidance and Policies 5
2.2 Funding and Delivery 6
2.3 Hillingdon Demographics 6
2.4 Hillingdon School 7
2.5 Pupil Forecasting 11
Section 3 Strategy 12
3.1 Place Planning 12
3.2 Childcare and Early Education 15
3.3 Primary Place Planning 17
3.4 Secondary Place Planning 18
3.5 Post 16 Planning 20
3.6 Special Education Needs and Disabilities (SEND) - Special Schools &
Alternative Provision Planning
21
3.7 Next Steps 29
Plan page 3
Foreword from the Director of Education & SEND
One of the Council’s core commitments to residents is to provide thriving, healthy households
where children, young people, their families and vulnerable adults and older people live
healthy, active, and independent lives.
The School Organisation Plan is crucial to meeting this ambition, as it sets out the approach
as to how we will manage surplus capacity in our schools, whilst ensuring sufficiency of places
in all sectors of education, to ensure the best outcomes for our children and young people and
sustainability of schools.
“Hillingdon's children and young peo ple are the future of Hillingdon. We are just as
ambitious for children and young people with Special Educational Needs and
Disabilities (SEND), and those who access alternative provision, as we are for every
other child.” Hillingdon Local Area SEND and Alternative Provision Strategy for Children and
Young People 0-25 years.
94% of Hillingdon's schools overall were judged Good or Outstanding at the end of 2023/24
academic year, an increase of 2% from the prior academic year. It is vital that all decisions
linked to school organisation promote equality of opportunity and quality of provision.
We are keen to continue to strengthen our partnership working with Headteachers, governors
and families as part of our strategic planning of education provision, working together to review
the education landscape to manage the increases and decreases in demand for school places.
Abi Preston
Director of Education & SEND
Plan page 4
1. Introduction
1.1 Purpose and Scope
The Council has a statutory duty to ensure there are sufficient places for every resident pupil
(Education Act 1996, Section 14).
The Council continues to invest in education capacity and quality through the provision of
school support and monitoring, and the expansion of schools where needed to meet demand.
The Council’s investment in new and modern education buildings and facilities continues to
provide the high-quality learning environment that Hillingdon children need.
The mixed economy of Council maintained schools and academ ies / free schools in the
Borough gives the Council a dynamic but central role in securing the best educational
outcomes for children and young people in the Borough. Working in partnership with school
leaders, multi -academy trusts and other relevant responsible authorities, the Council
continues to promote high standards for all learners and to challenge underperformance where
this occurs.
The Council must plan, organise, and commission places for all state -funded schools in
Hillingdon to ensure high standards are maintained, diverse school communities supported,
and sufficient places are available.
The demand for school places changes over time - this document is ‘live’ and, as such, will be
updated annually. It sets out the Council’s current projections over the next 7 years in order to
understand where there will be a need to provide more school places and if there may be a
need to provide fewer places. Increases in de mand can lead to the creation of a new school
or the expansion of existing schools, whereas decreases in demand can lead to a reduction
in school provision.
We strive to communicate effectively with schools and school communities about the pressure
for pl aces in each area. However, the Council also endeavour s to manage expectations
regarding school organisation proposals. This document does not seek to definitively set out
all the actions the Council intends to take in the future but rather is intended to provide an
overview and outline our strategy to manage any changes effectively.
This document aims to present schools, governing bodies, and residents with the following:
An overview of the education landscape in Hillingdon
A summary of current pupil numbers and projected demand in primary and secondary
phases, including specialist provision
Options in place for the Council to consider when determining the need to increase or
reduce school places
The School Organisation Pla n will be updated annually with the latest census and School
Capacity Survey (SCAP) data and forecasts. This may result in changes to existing proposals
as the Council responds to the latest demographic changes in the Borough.
Plan page 5
2. Context
2.1 Government Regulations, Guidance and Policies
The Council has a statutory duty to provide sufficient school places, oversee a fair admissions
process and ensur e that children with Special Educational Needs and Disabilities (SEND)
have access to appropriate quality provision. This is to ensure that all pupils can access a
school place if they apply. These duties are for all of the pupils who are resident in the Borough
- including children attending schools in other Local Authority (LA) areas or independent
schools.
The Council also has a range of responsibilities for the schools in the Borough, and the
pupils and staff in them, depending on their legal status. Each type of school has
different powers and governance, and a different relationship with the Council and the
Department for Education (DfE), and each Council is different. All pupils have the flexibility to
choose to go to school anywhere, as long as they meet the admissions criteria for the relevant
school. Due to this, the Council must review the flow of children across the 7 neighbouring
Councils as well as Hillingdon pupils educated in Hillingdon schools . Until 2018, the number
of children admitted into Hillingdon schools from other Councils ( ‘imports') was equal to the
number of Hillingdon children attending schools outside of the Borough (‘exports’). Since then,
‘imports’ have decreased to 10.5% on National Offer Day 2024 and ‘exports’ of resident pupils
to schools in other LAs have increased to 15.0% of residents. Therefore, Hillingdon is currently
a net exporter.
Map 1. Hillingdon Secondary Pupil Import Export Data – National Offer Day 2024
From 2010, the Council changed the way it funds schools, and now delegates most of the
schools block funding directly to schools, rather than retaining a percentage of funding for
central Council services to provide support to schools. This means that Hillingdon community
Plan page 6
schools have greater autonomy than the average. Generally, schools are financially strong
and resilient, and this was a benefit during the pandemic.
The London Borough of Hillingdon aims to offer every child a primary and secondary school
place, either on national offer day for Reception and year 7 applicants , or within 15 school
days of applying for a place for in-year applications. The Admissions team aim to offer places
within a reasonable distance from the home address and , where possible, at one of the
schools preferred by the parent. For further information about School Admissions please refer
to the School Admissions 2025 brochure.
2.2 Funding and Delivery
The London Borough of Hillingdon uses a mixture of funding sources to finance additional
school places. Funding sources available include basic need grant from central government,
Free School Education and Skills Funding Agency (ESFA) funding (when available) and
potentially Section 106 and Community Infrastructure Levy (CIL) contributions from
developers.
The London Borough of Hillingdon has a Capital Programme Works Service to help assist in
the development of school expansions and new schools. Through the work of this team, school
building projects are delivered t o required standards and at good value, ensuring the best
outcome from the investment of public funds . Reports are published twice a year through
Cabinet (April and October).
Schools Forum
The Schools Forum is a requirement under the Department for Education (DfE) regulations
and is governed by the Schools Forums (England) Regulations 2012 , effective from 1st
October 2012. Representatives from sch ools and academies make up the schools forum.
There is also some representation from non-school organisations, such as nursery and 16-19
education providers. Please see the list of Schools forum operational and good practice guide
- GOV.UK
The Schools Forum acts as a consultative body on some issues, and a decision-making body
on others. One such area on which Schools Forums can make decisions on is whether to
create a fund for significant pupil growth in order to support the Council’s duty for place
planning and agree the criteria for maintained schools and Academies to access this fund.
Proposals can be made to the Schools Forum which meets seven times a year (the minimum
requirement is to meet four times a ye ar). Regular updates on the delivery of new provision
are provided to the High Needs subgroup of Schools Forum.
The Council cannot distribute extra funding to specific schools outside the funding
formula and Schools Forum process.
2.3 Hillingdon Demographic
The London Borough of Hillingdon is the second largest of London's 32 boroughs, situated to
the west of the capital. It has a unique location, bordering three neighbouring London Local
Authorities (Ealing, Harrow, and Hounslow) as well as three Authorities outside of London
(Buckinghamshire, Hertfordshire, and Surrey). According to the Census 2021, the current
population is 305,900 of which 19,882 (6.5%) are aged 0 to 4 years, 20,469 (6.7%) are aged
5-9 years, 23,681 (7.7%) are aged 10-15 years and 14,871 (4.9%) are aged 16-19; in total,
25.8% of the Borough population is aged 0-19.
Plan page 7
New Housing
The London Borough of Hillingdon has a housing target of delivering 10,830 self -contained
homes between 2019/20 and 2028/29. Along with this, there are further plans to deliver other
types of housing, such as student accommodation, older persons ’ housing, and shared
accommodation, although many of these accommodation types are less likely to impact pupil
numbers. The Mayor of London has committed to reviewing the adopted London Plan (2021)
and has published a timeline to adopt this in 2027. This will contai n a new housing target for
the London Borough of Hillingdon.
New housing will be delivered in every ward over this period, with a higher concentration of
housing in areas with more available brownfield land and higher public transport access. This
includes the areas in and surrounding Uxbridge and Hayes town centres. The latest five-year
projections of where housing will be built are shared annually by the Planning Policy Team
with Education colleagues and incorporated within school place planning projections.
Developer Contributions
The Community Infrastructure Levy (CIL) is a charge which can be levied by local authorities
on new development in their area. It is an important tool for local authorities to use to help
them deliver the infrastructure needed to support development in their area.
Since 2014, this is a mechanism that the Council has used to support capital programmes
across the Borough , including any education related projects . This funding is accessed
through an internal capital process where projects will be assessed and prioritised in line with
the Council’s priorities.
However, t here are some historic a greements with developers still paying Section 106
education contributions from before the CIL regime was adopted in 2014. Section 106
agreements may also exist with neighbouring local planning authorities , but these will be
infrequent.
2.4 Hillingdon Schools
The schools' landscape in Hillingdon consists of ninety-nine state-funded settings which
include a mixture of Council maintained schools and a range of other types of settings
including academies, non -maintained special schools, and University Technical Colleges
(UTCs)/studio colleges. Approximately 33% of all primary schools in Hillingdon are academies,
with 67% remaining as maintained schools. In the secondary school sector, approximately
90% of all schools are academies with only 10% remaining as maintained settings. In the
special school sector, approximately 70% of schools are academies whilst 30% are
maintained by the Council.
Following the Academies Act 2010, schools have been able to convert from maintained to
academy status and under current legislation states that all new schools must be free schools.
There are currently forty-eight academy schools in Hillingdon (14 multi -academy Trusts who
operate more than 1 school, and 7 standalone academy Trusts). Please refer to Appendix 2
for breakdown.
Free Schools and Academies
Section 6A of the Education and Inspections Act 2006 requires local authorities to seek
proposals for a new academy if it believes a new school needs to be established in its local
area. As part of inviting proposals, the Council would be expected to identify a site and funding
for any building works. Hillingdon is not able to determine where and when free schools open,
although the ESFA, who manage the F ree School programme, work closely with Council
Officers to time openings to meet local demand. Free Schools, once opened, are also
Plan page 8
academies. There are certain exceptions to the requirement to seek proposals for a new
academy and these are set out in the legislation and expanded on in the statutory guidance
“March 2025”. There are currently 3 special Free Schools agreed for Hillingdon.
Types of Hillingdon State funded Schools
The range and number of state funded schools in Hillingdon is shown in Table 1 below. Place
planning for independent schools is not undertaken by the Council. These schools sit outside
the maintained sector.
Table 1. Total number of schools in Hillingdon based on type of provision –
September 2024
Appendix 3 explains the definition for each type of provision.
Demand for education places
Hillingdon has the seventh highest number of pupils of the 32 London boroughs (DfE
statistics June 2024). As you will see from the graph below, there has been a gradual
increase in pupil numbers between 2014/15 and 2024/25, rising from 49,384 to 52,574, an
increase of 6.5%, with the overall number being relatively consistent over the last 6 years.
Graph 1 - Pupils in Hillingdon schools, October School Census 2014 - 2024
Type of Provision Community Academy Voluntary
Aided Foundation Total
Nursery Schools 1 0 0 0 1
Primary 29 23 10 6 68
Secondary 0 16 0 2 18
Special Schools 2 5 0 0 7
UTC / Studio Colleges 0 4 0 0 4
Alternative Provision 0 1 0 0 1
Total 32 49 10 8 99
Number of Places
Plan page 9
(Please note that the slight discrepancy between the individual figures by phase, and the total figures
for pupil numbers, is a result of who are dual registered in both mainstream and special schools)
However, the increase has not been across all ages, and there has been a 23.8% reduction
in Nursery aged children. There are many factors that can affect the decision of a family when
deciding if their child will attend an early years setting, so it is difficult to establish exactly the
cause of the decline, but certainly some of the reduction is linked to the reducing birth rate
which has fallen around 10% between 2016 and 2021 (see graph 2).
Table 2. Pupils in Hillingdon schools, October School Census 2014 - 2024
The table above summarises the pupil on roll data from Graph 1, to show the movement in
pupil numbers between 2014 and 2024, taken from the October school census each year, for
each phase of education. As you can see, the impact of reducing pupil numbers in Nursery, is
filtering through to the Primary sector where growth has slowed, and this impact will also affect
the Secondary sector as pupils get older and continue to move through our schools.
Also apparent is the significant growth in pupils attending a special school over the last 10
years, where we have seen growth of 110% since 2014 (569 on roll in October 2014 school
census, 1194 in October 2024). There is significant work under way to support children, young
people and schools to provide sufficient places to meet this increasing demand within our
SEND and Alternative Provision Strategy 2023-28.
This work has included additional special school places , and an increase in the number of
specialist provision places within our mainstream schools (Specialist Resourced Provision
(SRP), and Designated Units (DU). The most recent SRP’s and DU’s open since January
2024, are providing an additional 72 places for children with SEND in the Borough.
Available capacity in schools
Based on the Published Admission Number for Hillingdon schools detailed in Appendix 4, the
table below show s the total number of places available by phase, which are used to meet
demand.
Oct-14 Oct-24 Difference Difference %
Nursery 3,281 2,500 - 781 - 24%
Primary 26,103 26,427 + 324 + 1%
Secondary 15,622 18,127 + 2,505 + 16%
Post 16 3,810 4,326 + 516 + 14%
Special 569 1,194 + 625 + 110%
Total 49,385 52,574 + 3,189 + 6%
Plan page 10
Table 3. October 2024 -Total number of places available by phase
*Secondary PAN excludes bulge classes
**UTC/Studio uses Physical Capacity in place of PAN
***Special Schools use LBH Commissioned Places in place of PAN
As you can see, there are sufficient places in both the primary and secondary phase in
mainstream however, there is a high demand for special school places . There are projects
already underway to close this gap and ensure that sufficient and appropriate provision will be
in place to meet the needs of the children and young people of Hillingdon.
A greater challenge relates to the over -capacity in the Primary sector, where there are more
places than required. Conversations continue with schools about ways to reduce the impact
of th is challenge, resulting in a range of options to consider, including reducing the PAN,
alternative use of any space, and amalgamation for example.
There is also an excess of capacity in sixth form and in UTC / Studio College schools at the
secondary phase. This is largely out of the control of the Council as 16 of the 18 sixth forms
and all 4 UTC / Studio Colleges are academies and have their own admission policies.
Ofsted Inspection Outcomes
Hillingdon's Ofsted inspection outcomes demonstrate an improving picture when compared
with the previous year. At the end of the 2023/24 academic year 94% of schools were judged
as Good or Outstanding. This is 2% higher than 2022/23, and 4% higher than the England
average as you can see from the table below. Further information on outcomes can be found
in the Education Standards Report which is presented annually to Children, Families &
Education Select Committee in March, and then signed off by the Cabinet Member for Children,
Families & Education in April.
Table 4. End of 2023-24 Inspection Summary – Hillingdon verses England
2023-24 2022-23
Judgement Hillingdon England Hillingdon England
Outstanding 13% 13% 14% 16%
Good 81% 77% 77% 72%
Requires Improvement 6% 8% 8% 9%
Inadequate 0% 2% 1% 3%
Plan page 11
2.5 Pupil Forecasting
School place planning is the comparison of the projected future demand for school places with
current school capacity. This can highlight a projected over-supply or under-supply of places,
either of which is managed through a deliv ery plan. The delivery plan needs to be flexible to
cope with changing demographics, so that projects can be accelerated or slowed in response
to actual demand. It is best practice to retain additional capacity between 5% - 10% during the
year to support any transition and movement of pupil s, therefore the LA aim to provide a
surplus margin in line with these parameters, to ensure that the Council can place new arrivals,
cope with higher than forecast demand and enable as many parents as possible to secure
places at their preferred school.
Pupil forecasts are calculated by applying recent trends to current known population data.
Hillingdon’s forecasts of future Reception demand are mainly based on the number of births
in Hillingdon 5 years before, with 7-year projections provided for secondary school places ,
based on existing pupils moving through their education. Hillingdon subscribes to the Greater
London Authority (GLA)’s school roll projection service, which creates a roll projection based
on the GLA population projections of the wards where pupils live. The underlying factors
include:
Development
The amount of development projected in the area will affect that authority’s population
projections and, in turn, its school roll projections. More development generally means that
the Council will attract more people, and its population will therefore rise.
Births
The number of births in an area will have a direct impact on the number of children requiring
school places four years later. In academic year 2021/22 (the latest available data) , there
were approximately 4,090 live births . This figure decreased each year from 2015/16 to
2020/21 but is projected to increase slightly in the short term, stabilising with an average of
4,200 live births per annum. The graph below shows the number of live births each academic
year since 2015/16 and projections until 2027/28. This includes the latest available GLA data
for the annual Schools Capacity survey (SCAP) 2024.
Graph 2. Hillingdon Births
Plan page 12
Migration
Migration, both from other areas within the UK and internationally, can significantly influence
population projections.
In-year growth is used here to mean new arrivals to Hillingdon applying for school places
outside the usual start points of Reception and Year 7, including those starting after
September in Reception and Year 7. The level of new arrivals will be influenced by many
factors including the number of affordable housing units built and national issues.
Historically, Hillingdon has had net movement inwards , but this slowed from 2015 onwards
and has seen a change, with net outwards movement from 2019-2021 which can be attributed
to factors such as Brexit and Covid, where we have seen a change in the population within a
number of communities. This is not forecast to change at the current time.
Another challenge for Hillingdon is due to Heathrow airport being in the Borough , and a
subsequent increase in asylum-seeking families and refugees arriving in the UK. This has an
impact on schools by increasing the level of mobility of pupils attending Hillingdon schools, as
some families are resettled out of the Borough within a short timescale. Between September
2021 and January 2025 , we have received 959 applications from asylum -seeking families
residing in temporary Home Office accommodation in the Borough for Hillingdon schools.
3. Strategy
3.1 Place Planning
The Council aims to provide the right number of high-quality school places at the right time to
meet the current and future need of children and young people in Hillingdon. In order to ensure
the Council is able to meet its statutory duties and maintain an education system that is fit for
purpose and financially viable, there are a range of actions required as outlined below.
The primary sector faces the most significant challenge with low or declining pupil numbers.
This creates significant pressure on schools financially, impacting their capacity to deliver a
strong viable curriculum offer, manage staffing within budget, and to be able to manage other
commitments.
The total number of children attending secondary schools has continued to rise but is projected
to stabilise by 2026/27, and then start to reduce, so there will be the same challenge to address
in the secondary sector. Sixth Form projections follow a similar pattern to Secondary and will
peak at 2025/26 but fall more slowly remaining above current pupil numbers.
The forecasts used in this Plan suggest that the total number of:
Primary school pupils (R -Y6) on roll by 20 30 / 31 will be 2 4,905, down 5.8% from
October 2024 Census.
Secondary school pupils (Y7-Y11), on roll by 2030 / 31 will be 17,675, down 2.5% from
October 2024 Census.
Sixth form pupils (Y12-Y13) on roll by 2030 / 31 will be 4,286, down 0.9% from October
2024 Census.
Ways to Manage Place Planning
Plan page 13
PAN Reductions
While some surplus school places are required, it needs to be managed and controlled
carefully, making sure that there is not an oversupply, which causes inefficiency and is not a
good use of resources . This could be destabilising for schools leading to challenges with
financial viability and quality issues. It is expected that schools will respond to any significant
reductions in applications for places at their school, where appropriate, by consulting with the
Council to discuss any potential reductions in their Published Admissions Number (PAN).
Table 5. PAN reductions in Hillingdon
Academic Year Primary Community
School
Primary Non-
Community
Secondary
2021/22 0 3 0
2022/23 1 0 0
2023/24 4 5 1
2024/25 1 2 0
2025/26 2 0 0
2026/27 0 1 0
For the academic year 2024/25, the LA has agreed a reduction of PAN at 1 community primary
school and 2 foundation primary schools. This will reduce the PAN by 30 places for each of
the Foundation schools and 21 places for the Community school – a total of 81 places.
For the academic year 2025/26 , the LA has formally agreed on the PAN reduction at 2
community primary schools. This will reduce the PAN by 30 places for each scho ol – a total
of 60 places.
For the academic year 2026/27, The admissions authority for 1 non-community school has
formally agreed on a PAN reduction. This will reduce the PAN by 30 places for the school – a
total of 30 places.
Gradual Opening
When new school places become available either at a new school or as part of an expansion
project, not all the classes are open to pupils in the first year. Usually only the lowest year
group will open in the first year and these pupils will gradually move up through the school one
year at a time. This phased approach ensures the best use of resources and manages the
new entrants to the school in an efficient way, safeguarding the school from over-supply. We
are not due to open any mainstream schools but are hoping to open additional specialist
provision over the next few years to meet growing demand.
Capped PANs
In addition to the permanent reductions in PANs shown above, in consultation with schools,
temporary reductions or ‘caps’ can also be implemented. Capping a school’s PAN is a
measure which seeks to alleviate some of the logistical and financial difficultie s associated
with low or falling rolls. Capping is undertaken on the understanding that , should there be a
sudden influx of pupils that cannot be placed, schools are expected to admit up to the
Published Admission Number if needed.
Federating a Governing Body
At a time of increasing school autonomy, the need for schools to work collaboratively is greater
than ever. There are a variety of ways schools can do this, from informal partnerships to more
formal arrangements involving shared governance. This provides economies of scale for both
Plan page 14
(or more) schools, as they are able to share resources and assets along with best practice
across the sites.
In England, Council-maintained schools have the option of becoming a federation, in which
the separate s chools’ governing bodies become a single governing body with responsibility
for all the schools in the federation.
The London Borough of Hillingdon currently has one federated governing body within the
Borough. Two previous federated governing bodies have since successfully amalgamated
their Infant and Junior Schools to become a Primary school.
Amalgamations
The Council believes that the amalgamation of linked Infant and Junior schools is a positive
way to develop, and this will help to create and maintain successful, sustainable, and viable
Schools. The Council recognises that the education landscape is ever -changing, and this
needs to be taken into account along with the individual circumstances of schools.
The Council has ten Infant, and ten Junior Schools within the Borough, all of whom could
benefit from amalgamating and becoming primary schools. Four schools successfully
amalgamated to become primary schools in September 2021.
Infant and junior schools can be particularly vulnerable to financial and organisation al
pressures as they only have less year groups to deploy their teaching staff , and less
opportunity to share resources across the school.
The Governing Board of Grange Park Junior School and the Londo n Borough of Hillingdon,
with the support of the Governing Board of Grange Park Nursery and Infant School, are
consulting in the Spring term of 2025 on a proposal for the two schools to amalgamate to form
a single three-form entry foundation primary school for children aged 3 to 11 years with effect
from 1st September 2025. The Council is also engaged in conversations with other Infant and
Junior schools across the Borough in relation to potential future amalgamations.
For more information on the process of school amalgamations within Hillingdon maintained
schools please refer to Hillingdon schools’ amalgamation policy.
Marketing the school
Schools have the ability to influence parental opinions or choice, in a range of matters
including Ofsted inspections or other matters unrelated to education. It is important that
schools engage with the wider community and publicise the positive news about their provision
and achievements to prospective families and others.
There are range of ways this can happen, and includes:
Greater social media presence – Twitter/Instagram
School Fairs / Open days / Events
Target and engage with feeder schools or settings across the area to promote the
school
Local media
Active engagement with the community, and offer the school premises for events and
activities
Opportunities to showcase the school and the pupils to celebrate achievements
Vacant Caretaker Properties
Plan page 15
Hillingdon has already actively identi fied vacant properties across the Borough that are
suitable for teaching children and young people. This is often creating additional provision for
children with SEND , who require smaller class sizes, and a higher ratio of staff to children,
which is ideal for this type of building. The future of any of these buildings will be considered
and reviewed as necessary.
Closures
The Department for Education guidance on school closures includes a presumption not to
close. All options will have been exhausted to avoid school closure although ultimately, where
there is no alternative long-term option, this may have to be considered.
As a very last resort and in line with population statistics we may have to consider school
closures in the future where it is in the best interests of children to do so and by meeting the
relevant legislation and statutory guidance.
Satellite Provision
Satellite provision is needed when a school requires additional space at another site in order
to admit more children on their roll. This can support other schools by using their vacant
spaces, and supplement their income, and also encourage collaboration and partnership
working to improve efficiency and best practice . There are currently 2 examples of this in
Hillingdon.
Bulge Classes
A bulge class is an additional class added to a Primary or Secondary school to cope with
additional demand for school places , normally in a particular area . The Council plans for a
small oversupply of places in all year groups in order to provide a level of flexibility with in-
year places that may be required. This allows for:
• growth between January and July
• unexpected growth above forecast levels
• new arrivals to Hillingdon above those forecast to arrive
• some pupil movement between schools to satisfy parental preference, or to meet the
needs of children and young people
3.2 Childcare and Early Education
The Council has a statutory duty (contained in the Childcare Act 2006 and 2016) to ensure,
as far as reasonably practicable, that there are sufficient childcare places to ensure that
families can:
access the funded early education entitlements for their child
take up, or remain in work
undertake education or training, which could reasonably lead to work
Delivery of early learning and childcare provision in Hillingdon is through a mixed market of
private and voluntary providers, including childminders, day nurseri es and pre -schools, and
through schools, including academies. Hillingdon has:
181 registered childminders
57 school-based nurseries
144 Private Voluntary and Independent (PVI) settings
1 Council-maintained nursery school
Five schools have consulted to change their age range to be able to offer funded places to
eligible children from the term after their second birthday. For 2 of the schools this took effect
Plan page 16
September 2024 and for the other 3 this will take effect from September 2025. A further
primary school has completed a consultation recently to lower their age range and another
school is also considering making this change.
Provision of early education and childcare is vital for the local economy, and for developing
stronger communities. The support delivered to Nursery settings in Hillingdon ensures that
children are school ready when they move into statutory education and are best placed to
achieve a Good Level of Development at the end of the Early Years Foundation Stage.
The Council aims to ensure that all children have access to provision that is ‘Good’ or better,
which is the case for 100% of group care settings that have been inspected up to August 2024
(data source: ’Childcare providers and inspections as of 3 1st August 2024 ’). Support for
settings to improve is provided by the Early Years Quality Improvement Team, who provide
training and support to settings on a range of pedagogical and curriculum -based topics.
Ongoing support is focused on settings being confident to demonstra te their knowledge and
understanding of the EYFS and next steps for children’s learning.
Planned Growth
The childcare market remains relatively stable, and the Council receives regular enquiries
from group childcare providers interested in establishing new or additional provision within the
Borough, albeit that the availability of suitable premises remains the biggest hurdle to new
providers in establishing their business.
Where a provider ceases to operate, a new or alternative provider frequently opens in their
place, ensuring the sufficiency of childcare for the local community. However, there are wards
in the Borough where sufficiency of early years childcare remains a challenge, and the
Families’ Information Service continues to work with group childcare providers, childminders,
and school nurseries to increase provision in response to rising demand. This varies according
to the age of children and the type of funded en titlement that children are eligible for. For
example, the Wards where there are the biggest shortfalls in funded childcare for
disadvantaged two-year-olds, are Charville, Harefield Village, Heathrow Villages, Hillingdon
East and Wood End. For children whose parents qualify for the working parent’s entitlement
to funded childcare, the Wards with the biggest challenge for insufficient funded childcare are
Colham & Cowley, Hayes Town, Harefield Village, Heathrow Villages, Pinkwell, Uxbridge and
Wood End.
The priority for place planning is ensuring that there are sufficient places for children aged
under two who will be eligible for up to 30 hours of funded childcare. The Council will continue
to engage with all new and existing childcare Providers, including Childminders, schools, and
private nursery settings , to ensure we are able to provide sufficient places for all children
across Hillingdon.
As detailed earlier, the live birth rate in Hillingdon has fallen in the last 5 years and is projected
to stabilise at this lower level over the next 2-3 years. However, parents’ entitlement to funded
childcare for 2-year-olds increased from April 2024, with working families now entitled to up to
15 funded hours of childcare per week, over 38 weeks a year. This entitlement was extended
to children from nine months old, from September 2024.
Families must meet eligibility criteria to qualify, and children can only receive funded childcare
from the term after they are nine months old. In September 2025, this entitlement expands to
offer up to 30 hours funded childcare a week, for 38 weeks a year, for eligible children.
Plan page 17
In response to the expected increased demand, additional places will be needed, although it
is expected that some existing childcare places will convert from family funded provision, to
provision that is partly paid by the Council and partly paid by families. The Council are working
with settings to understand what the full impact of the se changes is likely to be and will look
for appropriate solutions and additional capacity in response , especially for children aged
under two years old. This will include:
working with existing providers to look at expansion or opening new settings
promoting the childcare sector to prospective childminders
supporting the government early years recruitment campaign
3.3 Primary Place Planning
In Hillingdon, the statutory duty to plan school places (for Reception to year 11) is undertaken
by assessing places in pupil planning areas (PPAs) . The Council has a duty to provide a
“reasonable offer” of a school place to all children. In the primary phase, a “reasonable offer”
is one that is within 2 miles of home. Hillingdon uses 14 PPAs which are b roadly based on
Hillingdon’s electoral ward boundaries. By dividing the Borough into 14 primary planning
areas, Officers can ensure that places are provided near to where children live. However,
children can travel across planning areas to attend school, particularly when they live close to
the borders.
The table below outlines the number of schools in each area, and Appendix 5 shows which
schools are within each planning area.
Table 6. Planning Areas
Planning Area
Number
Number of
Schools
PPA 1 2
PPA 2 5
PPA 3 6
PPA 4 2
PPA 5 10
PPA6 7
PPA7 5
PPA8 5
PPA9 4
PPA10 3
PPA11 9
PPA12 3
PPA13 2
PPA14 5
The forecast for the Borough of Hillingdon is below, and forecasts are shown by Planning Area
and set out in Appendix 6. These planning areas provide the basis for the annual DfE School
Capacity (SCAP) return submitted in the Summer term that determines the level of grant
funding the Council is allocated. They are groups of schools, defined by geography and
Plan page 18
admissions patterns, wherein a sufficiency of places across the group will generally ensure
every child can access a local school place (even if some schools are oversubscribed).
School Place Planning and Admissions Officers liaise with schools individually and collectively
to discuss current demand for places, future demand for places and any projects that need to
be completed to ensure there are sufficient school places. Officers from the team also engage
with planning authorities, local councillors, residents and communities, faith groups,
developers, and Central Government.
Primary Projections
Applications on National Offer Day for Reception in 2024 were 345 places less than projected,
although some of th is gap is likely to be filled by late applications. Approximately half of our
primary phase schools are full, currently. Surplus places have risen overall but are expected
to stabilize over the next few years. Surplus places are often concentrated in a small number
of primary schools across the Borough.
Officers are working closely with primary schools regarding the large number of surplus places
due to PAN reductions and continu e to monitor other schools that may also have surplus
capacity in the next few years. These reductions will be managed in line with the options in
the strategy outlined above.
Reception Pupil Forecast – The London Borough of Hillingdon
Table 7. Reception Pupil Forecast for the London Borough of Hillingdon
Year 24/25 25/26 26/27 27/28 28/29 29/30 30/31
Year-on-Year +/- -97 +4 +98 -109 +49 -27 -27
Reception Surplus 596 562 464 573 524 551 578
“Reception Pupil Forecast” shows the year -on-year change in projections e.g., for the whole Borough,
2024/25’s reception projection is 97 pupils lower than the 2023/24 census actuals.
“Reception Surplus” has been added to show the expected number of vacant school places against the
approved PAN for each year.
“Number on Roll” is using January Census actuals for 2023/24, and projections for future years.
Year NOR Year NOR
23/24 3,761 23/24 26,820
24/25 3,664 24/25 26,587
25/26 3,668 25/26 26,275
26/27 3,766 26/27 26,095
27/28 3,657 27/28 25,751
28/29 3,706 28/29 25,456
29/30 3,679 29/30 25,181
30/31 3,652 30/31 24,905
Number on Roll
(Reception only)
Number on Roll
(Whole phase)
Plan page 19
3.4 Secondary Place Planning
Secondary aged children are expected to travel longer distances to school. A reasonable offer
for a secondary place is one that is within 3 miles of home. However, secondary planning
areas allow the Council to understand localised pressures for schools and where additional
places would help more children attend a school near to where they live. However, this must
be balanced with any resource implications.
The October 2024 census shows a fall in secondary numbers for the first time since 2014 (225
less than October 2023). In general, year 7 admissions are beginning to slow, but pressure in
this phase still remains as some schools are currently accommodating bulge classes. There
is also a higher number of pupils in years 10-11 due to a combination of in-year admissions,
and the additional capacity for those year groups in two studio colleges and two UTC schools
which attract pupils from out of Borough.
The Year 7 roll in October 202 4 was 64 above the number of offers made on National Offer
Day. This is primarily due to pupils at Guru Nanak Sikh Academy (an all-through school) aging
through from year 6 to 7 without needing to apply for a place.
Preferences for Year 7 in September 2024 and actions
National Offer Day was 1st March 2024, and although most secondary school pupils attend a
school two miles from home or nearer, some pupils choose to travel further including in and
out of the Borough. In 2024, 541 Hillingdon residents were offered Out of Borough schools ,
which is 4 more than 2023. The Council use two different metrics:
a. Ensuring every resident pupil has a school place – increasing the supply of places
in schools in the Borough if necessary.
b. The proportion of resident pupils gaining one of their top preferences – which
includes them securing places in out of Borough schools.
The council received 3,576 secondary school applications for September 2024, and ninety-
five per cent of pupils were offered one of their preferred places, which is the same as 2023.
Hillingdon also achieved slightly higher than the London average for applicants offered one
of their top three preference schools at 89.45 per cent, compared to London's 89.26 per cent.
From those, 69.37 per cent of Hillingdon pupils received their first choice.
Secondary projections
Parental choice fills most secondary schools but leaves capacity in some schools
underutilised. Some of this capacity can be further than 3 miles away from the pupils’ homes
who require a place and may mean that children need to travel further to access a place. This
complicates the process of pupil place planning as projections can assume all places are
equally full and popular which is not the case for all schools. This demonstrates the need for
analysis at a PPA level to ensure a true reflection of demand, and ensure pupils have a school
place close to home where possible.
The tables below show the most recent projections, with secondary pupil numbers (including
sixth form) continuing to rise to a peak in 202 5/26 before starting to fall. It is best practice to
retain additional capacity between 5% - 10% during the year to support any transition and
movement of pupils, therefore the LA aim to provide a surplus in line with above parameters.
Plan page 20
Year 7 Pupil Forecast – The London Borough of Hillingdon
Table 8. Year 7 Pupil Forecast for the London Borough of Hillingdon
Year 24/25 25/26 26/27 27/28 28/29 29/30 30/31
+/- -9 -43 +15 -11 -71 -94 -85
Year 7 Surplus 179 162 147 158 229 323 408
The actual number of offers made to schools in the Borough on 202 4 National Offer Day
(including to pupils with EHCPs) was 3,710, slightly below the overall PAN, and the latest
projections. However, we expect late applications, and in-year admissions will add to this and
as a result, 60 extra Year 7 places were added by schools to allow offers within a reasonable
distance for places in September 2024.
Secondary rolls are far less linked to locality than primary, and more to parent’s preferences
and perception of the education experience, high standards, faith, and their willingness to
travel to a school of choice. Each year, we review the projections, school census data and
national offer day data to check and understand where projections are most accurate.
Although the current forecast is for a reduction in surplus capacity in the short term, the longer-
term forecast is a continued reduction after 2027 / 28 as you can see from the table above .
We continue to work with schools to ensure we are able to meet our statutory duties, and the
demand for places , and ensure that schools remain financially viable during this time of
fluctuating demand.
3.5 Post 16 Planning
The Education and Skills Act 2008 applies to any person who has ceased to be of compulsory
school age, has not reached the age of 18, and has not attained a level 3 qualification. The
Council works in partnership with schools , stakeholders and the local Further Education
colleges to ensure young people aged 16-18 (and up to the age of 25 for those who have an
Education, Health and Care Plan (EHCP)) have access to a range of opportunities to continue
their education or training at a wide range o f post -16 providers , apprenticeships, and
supported internships.
The total number of young people aged 16 to 18 are in Education, Employment and Training
is 7570.
In September 2025, a new provision will be opening at Barr a Hall in Uxbridge, which was
acquired by Harrow, Richmond & Uxbridge Colleges (HRUC) and will cater for young people
who have Severe or Moderate Learning Difficulties (SLD or MLD) which was identified as a
Year NOR Year NOR
23/24 3,612 23/24 22,430
24/25 3,603 24/25 22,724
25/26 3,560 25/26 22,944
26/27 3,575 26/27 22,931
27/28 3,564 27/28 22,801
28/29 3,493 28/29 22,669
29/30 3,399 29/30 22,343
30/31 3,314 30/31 21,961
Number on Roll
(Year 7 only)
Number on Roll
(Whole phase)
Plan page 21
gap in provision in Hillingdon. HRUC’s partnerships with Heathrow will provide great pathways
for supported internship opportunities as well as industry insight for young people with SEND.
In partnership with HRUC we also saw the launch of the Vocational Carousel which saw 55
young people between the ages of 14 -16 take part i n a 1 day a week 6 week programme ,
allowing them to experience a post 16 provision, and open up opportunities when they finish
Year 11 education. This programme has also been listed in the new (RONI) Risk of NEET
indicator guidance by the DfE.
The Council is developing its post 16 offer for young people with additional needs through a
variety of strategies:
A newly created Post 16 transition guidance document with RONI indicator tool which
helps schools identify the risk of NEET cohorts.
A Post 16 SEND pathways information sheet created by our very own supported
interns working within the Council.
A Post 16 prospectus that now includes every special school available, to show young
people with SEND the varying provisions, as well as a host load of videos to support
their understanding.
A preparing for adulthood document which is clear and will align with the local offer.
Through the 14–19-year-old steering group, headteachers agreed that NEET prevention and
vocational pathways for 14–16-year-olds were directions that the Borough should take. This
group will continue to develop solutions during the coming year for this identified priority.
Following the success of our 14-19 steering group we have seen the following:
Vocational Carousel
GCSE results hub
ELEVATE mentoring supporting 3 schools.
Hillingdon Connect Programme delivered by SPARK! Supporting 25 vulnerable young
people across secondary and college.
3.6 Special Education Needs and Disabilities (SEND) - Special
Schools & Alternative Provision
There are two community special schools and five academy special schools in Hillingdon, all
of which are full, as demand is high. The largest growth in demand is for pupils with Autism
Spectrum Conditions, many with additional complex secondary needs.
The Council also use Independent Non-Maintained Special Schools (INMSS) to educate a
number of pupils, where their needs cannot be met within our own special schools. The
majority of these are within the Borough, but some children and young people travel outside
the Borough for specialised provision. The Council have been working very hard to reduce the
number of chi ldren in INMSS provision and ensure that local state-funded provision is
available.
This has resulted in additional local capacity being planned and provided to meet the needs
of these children and young people, including additional special school places, and specialist
provision within mainstream schools. However, it will take time for the current cohort pupils to
transition from their current INMSS provision which will remain under review.
Plan page 22
SEND & AP Strategy 2023-28
The Hillingdon Local Area SEND and Alternative Provision Strategy for CYP with SEND sets
out key priorities for the next 3 years in developing further new, ambitious, and innovative
specialist provision that meets the need of Hillingdon CYP locally . Within the new strategy
there are five Ambitions that focus on early intervention, inclusion, SEND sufficiency, post 16
provision and Social, Emotional, and Mental Health (SEMH) needs, as well as on Alternative
Provision. The Council’s SEND governance structure has been redesigned to reflect these ,
and new Ambition Groups have been created to ensure progress on outcomes. The Ambition
Group 3 has a specific focus on specialist provision and monitors the progress of all new
developments as well as managing any changes required in existing specialist provision to
make it sustainable and to meet the current and future demand.
The intended outcomes of this group are:
The proportion of children with EHCPs in mainstream and SEND schools is in line with
national.
Children who require specialist provision are placed without delay in appropriate local
provision.
Children and young people and their families are positive about their experiences of
the SEND provision in Hillingdon and tell us the services are meeting their needs.
Review of banding is completed through co-production with stakeholders and a new
model created which is fit for purpose long term, ensures equity, and supports
children appropriately in all settings.
The number of placements in SRPs increases, developing areas of expertise and
outstanding practice across the borough.
Mainstream settings access outreach support from local SEND schools to further
develop outstanding inclusive practice.
Alternative Provision in Borough meets needs and is used effectively to improve
outcomes by supporting transition back into mainstream at the earliest opportunity.
A reduction in SEND transport demand as more children will be attending their local
school
As most of the new specialist provision has been created within the primary sector our next
step is to develop a continuum of support through to secondary provision, with additional
Specialist Resource Provision’s (SRP’s) and Designated Unit’s (DU’s).
Dedicated Schools Grant (DSG) deficit recovery safety valve agreement
Hillingdon Council is one of the many Local Authorities that have successfully secured a Safety
Valve agreement with the DfE. This is as a result of the deficit in the Dedicated Schools Grant
(DSG) Hi gh Needs block, which funds SEND provision for children an d young people in
Hillingdon. Rising demand and costs have put pressure on the DSG and the LA has developed
a DSG Deficit Recovery Programme following the ‘safety valve’ agreement which has
supported revenue and capital funding required for the Borough. Ensuring there is appropriate
provision to meet Hillingdon’s children and young people’s needs is a key strategic priority for
the Council, underpinned by sufficient resource and capability to ensure timely and successful
delivery. The purpose of the recovery plan is to:
Put mainstream inclusion and high-quality SEND services at the heart of education in
Hillingdon
Plan page 23
Reduce total costs of specialist placements
Add more local maintained specialist places in the Borough in line with the needs of
our children and young people
Embed financial sustainability
Extra specialist places are being developed in Hillingdon in the next few years to meet the
rising demand, to minimise use of independent provision and longer travel times for children
and young people. The aim is to maximise the use of local maintained education spaces and
promote integration of pupils into mainstream where possible. Projects selected have been
delivered in partnership with schools and academies that have surplus physical capacity and
have commitment to inclusion and expertise in managing change.
Hillingdon’s SEND Context
Graph 3. Sen Support % and Sen EHCP Support % by Census Return
Children with SEND Support and EHCPs in mainstream have increased term on term since
we launched the strategy. In Autumn 2023 . 11.8% of our children and young people in
mainstream settings were receiving SEND Support , and 2.5% of our children and young
people in mainstream settings were in receipt of an EHCP. In Autumn 2024, 12 .2% were in
receipt of SEND Support, up by 0.4%, and 2.8% were in receipt of an EHCP in mainstream
schools, up by 0. 3%. This evidences that more children and young people on SEN Support
and with EHCPs are being educated in mainstream schools. There is still a significant
difference between primary and secondary SEND children attending mainstream schools
across the borough – primary children with EHCPs are currently at 3% and secondary is 2.5%.
Table 9. Changes in SEND Support and EHCP levels in mainstream schools (based on Autumn
census data for each year):
2022-23 2023-24 2024-25
SEN
Support
SEN
EHCP
SEN
Support
SEN
EHCP
SEN
Support
SEN
EHCP
Primary Phase 11.8% 2.4% 13.0% 2.6% 13.4% 3.0%
Secondary Phase 9.1% 2.2% 10.3% 2.3% 10.7% 2.5%
All Through
School 7.5% 1.5% 7.8% 1.9% 8.4% 2.2%
Mainstream Total 10.6% 2.3% 11.8% 2.5% 12.2% 2.8%
Plan page 24
EHCPs Maintained by Hillingdon : As of October 2024, there are 3,452 EHCPs, a 3%
increase since January 2020. This number fluctuates due to various factors, including pupils
moving in and out of the borough (internal SEND data)
EHCPs in Hillingdon Schools : A s of October 2024, there are 2, 548 pupils with EHCPs
attending Hillingdon schools, a 32.1% increase since October 2020. Of these, 44.1% are in
special schools, and 19.6% of pupils in Hillingdon special schools are from other local
authorities. (October census data)
EHCP Growth: There has been a 40% increase in EHCPs maintained by Hillingdon since
January 2020, with a recent slowdown in year-on-year growth to 4.6% in January 2024. (SEN2
data 2024)
SEN Support: As of October 2024, 11.9% of Hillingdon pupils receive SEN support, below
the national average of 13.6% (from DfE Census publication - “Schools, pupils and their
characteristics”: Jan 2024).
EHCP Prevalence: As of October 2024, 4.8% of pupils in Hillingdon schools have an EHCP,
matching the national average but below the London average of 5.1 % (from DfE Census
publication - “Schools, pupils and their characteristics”: Jan 2024).
Primary Need of Autism: The number of pupils with autism as their primary need has almost
doubled from 976 in January 2019 , to 1,915 in January 2024 , and currently remains the
highest need in the borough. (internal SEN data 2019 v SEN2 data 2024)
Special vs. Mainstream Schools: As of January 2024, 37.3% of EHCP pupils from Hillingdon
attend special schools, higher than the national average of 33.8%. Meanwhile, 52.4% are in
mainstream schools, below the national average of 56.3%. (SEN2 data 2024)
Graph 4. Hillingdon Residents with EHCPs – Actuals and 2 3/24-based Projections (based on
January data each year)
Plan page 25
Many of the pupils with new EHCPs require a specialist place, and at the Phase Transfer in
February 2024 (transfer to Reception, Year 3, and Year 7), 48% of this cohort were placed at
specialist provision. The majority of primary need was Autis tic Spectrum Disorder (ASD) but
many of the pupils had a complex combination of needs . Other London Councils (and
Council’s nationally) are experiencing similar incr eases, as parents and schools request
assessments and more pupils are diagnosed with complex issues soon after birth.
Special schools have expanded but the demand from resident pupils requiring specialist
provision continues to grow , ahead of the planned e xpansions, new schools , and other
specialist provision that opened in 2024.
It is clear that in addition to supporting more pupils to remain within mainstream settings,
additional specialist provision capacity must be added , including SRPs and DUs. This will
ensure that less pupils will need to be placed out of Borough from Reception onwards.
Diagram 1. A Spectrum of Provision
As you can see in the diagram above, there is a graduated approach to the structure of our
education provision, starting with mainstream school for the overwhelming majority of pupils,
and reaches specialist provision for pupils with the most complex needs. It is expected that
pupils will access the level of educational provisio n that best meets their individual needs,
which are assessed and reviewed regularly by a range of professionals.
SRPs and DUs provide additional specialist facilities on a mainstream school site for a small
number of pupils. In an SRP pupils spend most of their time in mainstream classes whereas
pupils in a DU spend the majority of their time outside mainstream classes , only attending
them for a few lessons. There are 221 specialist places across the 1 Early Years Assessment
Base, 15 SRP’s, and 2 DU’s, with 159 places in primary and 62 places in secondary, to meet
the needs of pupils requiring some specialist support and therapies.
Current Position
Below are several tables to explain the type of special schools within Hillingdon, and the
number of pupils by year group. We are able to meet a range of needs across the schools,
and there is a mix of Community and Academy schools. There is only 1 special school that
can accommodate primary and secondary pupils,
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