Read the text of this document (34 pages)
Plan page 1
London
Borough of
Hillingdon
School
Organisation Plan
Plan page 2
Contents
Section 1 Introduction 4
1.1 Purpose and scope 4
Section 2 Context 5
2.1 Government Regulations, Guidance and Policies 5
2.2 Funding and Delivery 6
2.3 Hillingdon Demographics 7
2.4 Hillingdon School 8
2.5 Pupil Forecasting 12
Section 3 Strategy 14
3.1 Place Planning 14
3.2 Childcare and Early Education 17
3.3 Primary Place Planning 19
3.4 Secondary Place Planning 21
3.5 Post 16 Planning 23
3.6 Special Education Needs and Disabilities (SEND) - Special Schools &
Alternative Provision Planning
24
3.7 Next Steps 32
Plan page 3
Foreword from the Director of Education & SEND
One of the Council’s core commitments to residents is to provide thriving, healthy households
where children, young people, their families and vulnerable adults and older people live
healthy, active, and independent lives.
The School Organisation Plan is crucial to meeting this ambition, as it sets out the approach
as to how we will manage surplus capacity in our schools, whilst ensuring sufficiency of places
in all sectors of education, to ensure the best outcomes for our children and young people and
sustainability of schools.
“Hillingdon's children and young peo ple are the future of Hillingdon. We are just as
ambitious for children and young people with Special Educational Needs and
Disabilities (SEND), and those who access alternative provision, as we are for every
other child.” Hillingdon Local Area SEND and Alternative Provision Strategy for Children and
Young People 0-25 years.
We are keen to continue to strengthen our partnership working with Headteachers, governors
and families as part of our strategic planning of education provision, working together to review
the education landscape to manage the increases and decreases in demand for school places.
Abi Preston
Director of Education & SEND
Plan page 4
1. Introduction
1.1 Purpose and Scope
The Council has a statutory duty to ensure there are sufficient places for every resident pupil
(Education Act 1996, Section 14).
The Council continues to invest in education capacity and quality through the provision of
school support and monitoring, and the expansion of schools where needed to meet demand.
The Council’s investment in new and modern education buildings and facilities continues to
provide the high-quality learning environment that Hillingdon children need.
The mixed economy of Council maintained schools and academ ies/free schools in the
Borough gives the Council a dynamic but central role in securing the best educational
outcomes for children and young people in the Borough. Working in partnership with schoo l
leaders, multi -academy trusts and other relevant responsible authorities, the Council
continues to promote high standards for all learners and to challenge underperformance where
this occurs.
The Council must plan, organise, and commission places for all state -funded schools in
Hillingdon to ensure high standards are maintained, diverse school communities supported,
and sufficient places are available.
The demand for school places changes over time - this document is ‘live’ and, as such, will be
updated annually. It sets out the Council’s current projections over the next 7 years in order to
understand where there will be a need to provide more school places and if there may be a
need to provide fewer places. Increases in demand can lead to the creation of a new school
or the expansion of existing schools, whereas decreases in demand can lead to a reduction
in school provision.
We strive to communicate effectively with schools and school communities about the pressure
for places in each area. However, the Council also endeavour s to manage expectations
regarding school organisation proposals. This document does not seek to definitively set out
all the actions the Council intends to take in the future but rather is intended to provide an
overview and outline our strategy to manage any changes effectively.
This document aims to present schools, governing bodies, and residents with the following:
An overview of the education landscape in Hillingdon
A summary of current pupil numbers and projected demand in primary and secondary
phases, including specialist provision
Options in place for the Council to consider when determining the need to increase or
reduce school places
Plan page 5
The School Organisation Plan will be updated annually with the latest census and School
Capacity Survey (SCAP) data and forecasts. This may result in changes to existing proposals
as the Council responds to the latest demographic changes in the Borough.
2. Context
2.1 Government Regulations, Guidance and Policies
The Council has a statutory duty to provide sufficient school places, oversee a fair admissions
process and ensur e that children with Special Educational Needs and Disabilities (SEND)
have access to appropriate quality provision. This is to ensure that all pupils can access a
school place if they apply. These duties are for all of the pupils who are resident in the Borough
- including children attending schools in other Local Authority (LA) areas or independent
schools.
The Council also has a range of responsibilities for the schools in the Borough, and the
pupils and staff in them, depending on their legal status. Each type of school has
different powers and governance, and a different relationship with the Council and the
Department for Education (DfE), and each Council is different. All pupils have the flexibility to
choose to go to school anywhere, as long as they meet the admissions criteria for the relevant
school. Due to this, the Council must review the flow of children across the 7 neighbouring
Councils as well as Hillingdon pupils educated in Hillingdon schools. Until 2018, the number
of children admitted into Hillingdon schools from other Councils ( ‘imports') was equal to the
number of Hillingdon children attending schools outside of the Borough (‘exports’). Since then,
‘imports’ have decreased to 9.2% on National Offer Day 2025 and ‘exports’ of resident pupils
to schools in other LAs have increased to 12.2% of residents. Therefore, Hillingdon is currently
a net exporter.
Map 1. Hillingdon Secondary Pupil Import Export Data – National Offer Day 2025
Plan page 6
From 2010, the Council changed the way it funds schools, and now delegates most of the
schools block funding directly to schools, rather than retaining a percentage of funding for
central Council services to provide support to schools. This means that Hillingdon community
schools have greater autonomy than the average. Generally, schools are financially strong
and resilient, and this was a benefit during the pandemic.
The London Borough of Hillingdon aims to offer every child a primary and secondary school
place, either on national offer day for Reception and year 7 applicants , or within 15 school
days of applying for a place for in-year applications. The Admissions team aim to offer places
within a reasonable distance from the home address and , where possible, at one of the
schools preferred by the parent. For further information about School Admissions please refer
to the School Admissions 2026 brochure.
2.2 Funding and Delivery
The London Borough of Hillingdon uses a mixture of funding sources to finance additional
school places. Funding sources available include basic need grant from central government,
Free School Education and Skills Funding Agency (ESFA) funding (when available) and
potentially Section 106 and Community I nfrastructure Levy (CIL) contributions from
developers.
The London Borough of Hillingdon has a Capital Programme Works Service to help assist in
the development of school expansions and new schools. Through the work of this team, school
building projects are delivered t o required standards and at good value, ensuring the best
outcome from the investment of public funds. For further information please refer to the School
Capital Projects and building maintenance guidance for schools.
Schools Forum
Plan page 7
The Schools Forum is a requirement under the Department for Education (DfE) regulations
and is governed by the Schools Forums (England) Regulations 2012 , effective from 1st
October 2012. Representatives from schools and academies make up the schools forum.
There is also some representation from non-school organisations, such as nursery and 16-19
education providers. Please see the list of Schools forum operational and good practice guide
- GOV.UK
The Schools Forum acts as a consultative body on some issues, and a decision-making body
on others. One such area on which Schools Forums can make decisions on is whether to
create a fund for significant pupil growth in order to support the Council’s duty for place
planning and agree the criteria for maintained schools and Academies to access this fund.
Proposals can be made to the Schools Forum which must meet at least four times a ye ar.
Regular updates on the delivery of new provision are provided to the High Needs subgroup of
Schools Forum.
The Council cannot distribute extra funding to specific schools outside the funding formula and
Schools Forum process.
2.3 Hillingdon Demographic
The London Borough of Hillingdon is the second largest of London's 32 boroughs, situated to
the west of the capital. It has a unique location, bordering three neighbouring London Local
Authorities (Ealing, Harrow, and Hounslow) as well as three Authorities outside of London
(Buckinghamshire, Hertfordshire, and Surrey). According to the Census 2021, the population
was 305,900 of which 19,882 (6.5%) were aged 0-4 years, 20,469 (6.7%) were aged 5-9 years,
23,681 (7.7%) were aged 10-15 years and 14,871 (4.9%) were aged 16-19; in total, 25.8% of
the Borough population was aged 0-19. According to the Office of National Statistics Mid-Year
Population Estimates June 2024, the current population of Hillingdon is 329,185 of which
21,132 (6.4%) are aged 0-4 years, 21,244 (6.5%) are aged 5-9 years, 24,764 (7.5) are aged
10-15 years and 16,279 (4.9%) are aged 16-19 years; in total 25.3% of the Borough population
is aged 0-19.
New Housing
The London Borough of Hillingdon currently has a housing target of delivering 10,830 self -
contained homes between 2019/20 and 2028/29. Along with this, there are further plans to
deliver other types of housing, such as student accommodation, older persons’ housing, and
shared accommodation, although many of these accommodation types are less likely to
impact pupil numbers. The Mayor of London has committed to reviewing the adopted London
Plan (2021) and has published a timeline to adopt this in 2027 /28. This will contain a new
housing target for the London Borough of Hillingdon. The Government’s prescribed housing
need for London is 88,000 homes per annum and, if translated into borough housing targets,
would likely lead to a significantly higher target for Hillingdon.
New housing will be delivered in every ward over this period, with a higher concentration of
housing in areas with more available brownfield land and higher public transport access. This
includes the areas in and surrounding Uxbridge and Hayes town centres. The latest five-year
projections of where housing will be built are shared annually by the Planning Policy Team
with Education colleagues and incorporated within school place planning projections. Beyond
this five-year period, the growth area for new housing will be set out in the Council’s emerging
Local Plan.
Developer Contributions
Plan page 8
The Community Infrastructure Levy (CIL) is a charge which can be levied by local authorities
on new development in their area. It is an important tool for local authorities to use to help
them deliver the infrastructure needed to support development in their area.
Since 2014, this is a mechanism that the Council has used to support capital programmes
across the Borough , including any education related projects . This funding is accessed
through an internal capital process where projects will be assessed and prioritised in line with
the Council’s priorities.
However, t here are some historic agreements with developers still paying Section 106
education contributions from before the CIL regime was a dopted in 2014. Section 106
agreements may also exist with neighbouring local planning authorities , but these will be
infrequent.
2.4 Hillingdon Schools
The schools' landscape in Hillingdon consists of ninety-seven (please note that Guru Nanak
Sikh Academy is 1 all through school but in some reports counted twice for primary and
secondary) state-funded settings which include a mixture of Council maintained schools and
a range of other types of settings including academies, non-maintained special schools, and
University Technical Colleges (UTCs)/studio colleges . Approximately 3 3% of all primar y
schools in Hillingdon are academies, with 67% remaining as maintained schools. In the
secondary school sector, approximately 90% of all schools are academie s with only 10%
remaining as maintained settings. In the special school sector, approximately 70% of schools
are academies whilst 30% are maintained by the Council.
Following the Academies Act 2010, schools have been able to convert from maintained to
academy status and under current legislation states that all new schools must be free schools.
There are currently forty-nine academy schools in Hillingdon (14 multi -academy Trusts who
operate more than one school, and seven standalone academy Trusts). Please refer to
Appendix 2 for breakdown.
Free Schools and Academies
Section 6A of the Education and Inspections Act 2006 requires local authorities to seek
proposals for a new academy if it believes a new school needs to be established in its local
area. As part of inviting proposals, the Council would be expected to identify a site and funding
for any building works. Hillingdon is not able to determine where and when free schools open,
although the ESFA, who manage the Free School programme, work closely with Council
Officers to time openings to meet local demand. Free Schools, once opened, are also
academies. There are certain exceptions to the requirement to seek proposals for a new
academy and these are set out in the legislation and expanded on in the statutory guidance
“March 2025”. With the opening of the Grand Union Village and Pinn River in January 2026.
Types of Hillingdon State funded Schools
The range and number of state funded schools in Hillingdon is shown in Table 1 below. Place
planning for independent schools is not undertaken by the Council. These schools sit outside
the maintained sector.
Table 1. Total number of schools in Hillingdon based on type of provision – January
2026
Plan page 9
Appendix 3 explains the definition for each type of provision.
Demand for education places
Hillingdon has the seventh highest number of pupils of the 32 London boroughs (DfE statistics
June 2025). As you will see from the graph below, there was a gradual increase in pupil
numbers between Oct 2014 and Oct 2019 totalling 6.3%, followed by a period of relative
stability up to Oct 2024 (within +/- 0.7% each year), with the latest Oct 2025 data showing a
drop of 2.3% from the previous year.
Graph 1 - Pupils in Hillingdon schools, October School Census 2014 - 2025
Plan page 10
(Please note that the slight discrepancy between the individual figures by phase, and the total figures
for pupil numbers, is a result of those who are dual registered in both mainstream and special
schools)
However, the trend has not been the same across all ages , and there has been a 28.7%
reduction in Nursery aged children across this period. There are many factors that can affect
the decision of a family when deciding if their child will attend an early years setting, so it is
difficult to establish exactly the cause of the decline, but certainly some of the reduct ion is
linked to the reducing birth rate which has fallen around 7% between 2016/17 and 2022/23
(see graph 2).
Table 2. Pupils in Hillingdon schools, October School Census 2014 - 2025
The table above summarises the pupil on roll data from Graph 1, to show the movement in
pupil numbers between 2014 and 2025, taken from the October school census each year, for
each phase of education. As you can see, the impact of reducing pupil numbers in Nursery, is
filtering through to the Primary sector where the previous trend of growth has now reversed,
and this impact will also affect the Secondary sector as pupils get older and continue to move
through our schools.
Plan page 11
Also apparent is the significant growth in pupils attending a special school over the last 1 1
years, where we have seen growth of 119% since 2014 (569 on roll in October 2014 school
census, 1,246 in October 2025). There is significant work under way to support children, young
people and schools to provide sufficient places to meet this increasing demand within our
SEND and Alternative Provision Strategy 2023-28.
This work has included additional special school places , and an increase in the number of
specialist provision places within our mainstream schools (Specialist Resourced Provision
(SRP), and Designated Units (DU). The Local Authority are working with Bishop Ramsey
Church of England School to open a 24 place SRP for pupils with ASD in September 2026,
subject to DfE approval. Officers are continuing to liaise with Secondary school colleagues to
explore further possibilities of creating additional SRPs or DUs.
Available capacity in schools
Based on the Published Admission Number for Hillingdon schools detailed in Appendix 4, the
table below show s the total number of places available by phase, which are used to meet
demand.
Table 3. October 2025 -Total number of places available by phase
*Secondary PAN excludes bulge classes
**UTC/Studio uses Physical Capacity in place of PAN
***Special Schools use LBH Commissioned Places in place of PAN
As you can see, there are sufficient places in both the primary and secondary phase in
mainstream however, there is a high demand for special school places . There are projects
already underway to close this gap and ensure that sufficient and appropriate provision will be
in place to meet the needs of the children and young people of Hillingdon.
A greater challenge relates to the over-capacity in the Primary sector, where there are more
places than required. Conversations continue with schools about ways to reduce the impact
of th is challenge, resulting in a range of options to consider, including reducing the PAN,
alternative use of any space, and amalgamation for example.
There is also an excess of capacity in sixth form and in UTC / Studio College schools at the
secondary phase. This is largely out of the control of the Council as all 18 sixth forms and all
4 UTC / Studio Colleges have their own admission policies.
Plan page 12
Ofsted Inspection Outcomes
Hillingdon's Ofsted inspection outcomes demonstrate an improving picture when compare d
with the previous year. At the end of the 2023/24 academic year 94% of schools were judged
as Good or Outstanding. This is 2% higher than 2022/23, and 4% higher than the England
average as you can see from the table below.
In 2024/25 Ofsted continued their full inspection programme with a change to outcome
wording to move away from the one-word overall judgement. Further information on outcomes
can be found in the Education Standards Report which is presented annually to Children,
Families & Education Select Committee in March and then signed off by the Cabinet Member
for Children, Families & Education in April.
Table 4. End of 2023-24 Inspection Summary – Hillingdon verses England
2.5 Pupil Forecasting
School place planning is the comparison of the projected future demand for school places with
current school capacity. This can highlight a projected over-supply or under-supply of places,
either of which is managed through a delivery plan. The delivery plan need s to be flexible to
cope with changing demographics, so that projects can be accelerated or slowed in response
to actual demand. It is best practice to retain additional capacity between 5% - 10% during the
year to support any transition and movement of pupil s, therefore the LA aim to provide a
surplus margin in line with these parameters, to ensure that the Council can place new arrivals,
cope with higher than forecast demand and enable as many parents as possible to secure
places at their preferred school.
Pupil forecasts are calculated by applying recent trends to current known population data.
Hillingdon’s forecasts of future Reception demand are mainly based on the number of births
in Hillingdon 5 years before, with 7-year projections provided for secondary school places,
based on existing pupils moving through their education. Hillingdon subscribes to the Greater
London Authority (GLA)’s school roll projection service, which creates a roll projection based
on the GLA population projections of the wards where pupils live. The underlying factors
include:
Development
The amount of development projected in the area will affect that authority’s population
projections and, in turn, its school roll projections. More development generally means that
the Council will attract more people, and its population will therefore rise.
Births
The number of births in an area will have a direct impact on the number of children requiring
school places four years later. In academic year 2022/23 (the latest available data), there were
approximately 4,143 live births. This figure decreased each year from 2015/16 to 2020/21 but
Plan page 13
is projected to increase slightly in the short term, stabilising with an average of 4,300 live births
per annum. The graph below shows the number of live births each academic year since
2016/17 and projections until 2028/29. This includes the latest available GLA data for the
annual Schools Capacity survey (SCAP) 2025.
Graph 2. Hillingdon Births
Migration
Migration, both from other areas within the UK and internationally, can significantly influence
population projections.
In-year growth is used here to mean new arrivals to Hillingdon applying for school places
outside the usual start points of Reception and Year 7, including those starting after
September in Reception and Year 7. The level of new arrivals will be influenced by many
factors including the number of affordable housing units built and national issues.
Historically, Hillingdon had net movement inwards , but this slowed from 2015 onward s and
reversed, resulting in net outwards movement from 2019 -2021 which can be attributed to
factors such as Brexit and Covid , where we have seen a change in the population within a
number of communities. This is not forecast to change at the current time.
Another challenge for Hillingdon is due to Heathrow airport being in the Borough , and a
subsequent increase in asylum-seeking families and refugees arriving in the UK. This has an
impact on schools by increasing the level of mobility of pupils attending Hillingdon schools, as
some families are resettled out of the Borough within a short timescale. Between September
2021 and January 202 6, we have received 1081 applications from asylum -seeking families
residing in temporary Home Office accommodation in the Borough for Hillingdon schools.
Plan page 14
3. Strategy
3.1 Place Planning
The Council aims to provide the right number of high-quality school places at the right time to
meet the current and future need of children and young people in Hillingdon. In order to ensure
the Council is able to meet its statutory duties and maintain an education system that is fit for
purpose and financially viable, there is a range of actions required as outlined below.
The primary sector faces the most significant challenge with low or declining pupil numbers.
This creates significant pressure on schools financially, impacting their capacity to deliver a
strong viable curriculum offer, manage staffing within budget, and to be able to manage other
commitments.
The total number of children attending secondary schools has fallen for the first time in many
years, but is projected to stabilise slightly above the current level by 2026/27, and then start
to reduce, so there will be the same challenge to address in the secondary sector. Sixth Form
projections follow a similar patter n to Secondary and will stabilise in the same year but fall
more slowly remaining above current pupil numbers.
The forecasts used in this Plan suggest that the total number of:
Primary school pupils (R -Y6) on roll by 20 31/32 will be 2 4,838, down 2.7% from
October 2025 Census.
Secondary school pupils (Y7-Y11), on roll by 2031/32 will be 17,346, down 3.3% from
October 2025 Census.
Sixth form pupils (Y12 -Y13) on roll by 203 1/32 will be 4,358, up 0.1% from October
2025 Census.
Ways to Manage Place Planning
PAN Reductions
While some surplus school places are required, it needs to be managed and controlled
carefully, making sure that there is not an oversupply, which causes inefficiency and is not a
good use of resources . This could be destabilising for schools leading to challenges with
financial viability and quality issues. It is expected that schools will respond to any significant
reductions in applications for places at their school, where appropriate, by consulting with the
Council to discuss any potential reductions in their Published Admissions Number (PAN).
Table 5. PAN reductions in Hillingdon
Plan page 15
For the academic year 2024/25, the LA has agreed a reduction of PAN at 1 community primary
school and 2 foundation primary schools. This will reduce the PAN by 30 places for each of
the Foundation schools and 21 places for the Community school – a total of 81 places.
For the academic year 2025/26 , the LA has formally agreed on the PAN reduction at 2
community primary schools. This will reduce the PAN by 30 places for each scho ol – a total
of 60 places.
For the academic year 2026/27, the admissions authority for 1 non-community school has
formally agreed on a PAN reduction. This will reduce the PAN by 30 places for the school – a
total of 30 places.
For the academic year 2027/28, the LA has approved a reduction in the PAN of 1 community
infant school. Additionally, 3 non-community school admissions authorities have consulted to
a similar reduction in their PAN. If approved, each school’s PAN will decrease by 30 places,
resulting in a total reduction of 120 places.
Gradual Opening
When new school places become available either at a new school or as part of an expansion
project, not all the classes are open to pupils in the first year. Usually only the lowest year
group will open in the first year and these pupils will gradually move up through the school one
year at a time. This phased approach ensures the best use of resources and manages the
new entrants to the school in an efficient way, safeguarding the school from over-supply. We
are not due to open any mainstream schools but are hoping to open additional specialist
provision over the next few years to meet growing demand.
Capped PANs
In addition to the permanent reductions in PANs shown above, in consultation with schools,
temporary reductions or ‘caps’ can also be implemented. Capping a school’s PAN is a
measure which seeks to alleviate some of the logistical and financial difficultie s associated
with low or falling rolls. Capping is undertaken on the understanding that , should there be a
sudden influx of pupils that cannot be placed, schools are expected to admit up to the
Published Admission Number if needed.
Federating a Governing Body
At a time of increasing school autonomy, the need for schools to work collaboratively is greater
than ever. There are a variety of ways schools can do this, from informal partnerships to more
formal arrangements involving shared governance. This provides economies of scale as
schools are able to share resources, assets, and best practice across sites.
Plan page 16
In England, Council-maintained schools have the option of becoming a federation, in which
the separate schools’ governing bodies become a sing le governing body with responsibility
for all the schools in the federation.
Currently, the London Borough of Hillingdon has two federated governing bodies. Two former
federated governing bodies have already successfully merged their Infant and Junior Schools
to create Primary Schools. From April 2026, one of the federated governing bod ies will
amalgamate to form a Primary school.
Amalgamations
The Council believes that the amalgamation of linked Infant and Junior schools is a positive
way to develop, and this will help to create and maintain successful, sustainable, and viable
Schools. The Council recognises that the education landscape is ever -changing, and this
needs to be taken into account along with the individual circumstances of schools.
As Grange Park Infant and Nursery and Grange Park Junior Schools successfully
amalgamated in September 2026, there are currently nine infant schools and nine junior
schools, all of which could benefit from amalgamating into primary schools. Harefield Infant
and Harefield Junior Schools are scheduled to amalgamate and become a primary school in
April 2026. In addition to this, the LA are currently consulting on the amalgamation of Whitehall
Infant School and Whitehall Junior School.
Infant and junior schools can be particularly vulnerable to financial and organisation al
pressures as they only have less year groups to deploy their teaching staff , and less
opportunity to share resources across the school . The Council is also engaged in
conversations with the remaining Infant and Junior schools across the Borough in relation to
potential future amalgamations.
For more information on the process of school amalgamations within Hillingdon maintained
schools please refer to Hillingdon schools’ amalgamation policy.
Marketing the school
Schools have the ability to influence parental opinions or choice, in a range of matters
including Ofsted inspections or other matters unrelated to education. It is important that
schools engage with the wider community and publicise the positive news about their provision
and achievements to prospective families and others.
There are range of ways this can happen, and includes:
Greater social media presence – Twitter/Instagram
School Fairs / Open days / Events
Target and engage with feeder schools or settings across the area to promote the
school
Local media
Active engagement with the community, and offer the school premises for events and
activities
Opportunities to showcase the school and the pupils to celebrate achievements
Vacant Caretaker Properties
Hillingdon has already actively identi fied vacant properties across the Borough that are
suitable for teaching children and young people. This is often creating additional provision for
children with SEND , who require smaller class sizes, and a higher ratio of staff to children,
Plan page 17
which is ideal for this type of building. The future of any of these buildings will be considered
and reviewed as necessary.
Closures
The Department for Education guidance on school closures includes a presumption not to
close. All options will have been exhausted to avoid school closure although ultimately, where
there is no alternative long-term option, this may have to be considered.
As a very last resort and in line with population statistics we may have to consider school
closures in the future where it is in the best interests of children to do so and by meeting the
relevant legislation and statutory guidance.
Satellite Provision
Satellite provision is needed when a school requires additional space at another site in order
to admit more children on their roll. This can support other schools by using their vacant
spaces, and supplement their income, and also encourage collaboration and partnership
working to improve efficiency and best practice . There are currently 2 examples of this in
Hillingdon.
Bulge Classes
A bulge class is an additional class added to a Primary or Secondary school to cope with
additional demand for school places , normally in a particular area . The Council plans for a
small oversupply of places in all year groups in order to provide a level of flexibility with in-
year places that may be required. This allows for:
• growth between January and July
• unexpected growth above forecast levels
• new arrivals to Hillingdon above those forecast to arrive
• some pupil movement between schools to satisfy parental preference, or to meet the
needs of children and young people
3.2 Childcare and Early Education
The Council has a statutory duty (contained in the Childcare Act 2006 and 2016) to ensure,
as far as reasonably practicable, that there are sufficient childcare places to ensure that
families can:
access the funded early education entitlements for their child
take up, or remain in work
undertake education or training, which could reasonably lead to work
Delivery of early learning and childcare provision in Hillingdon is through a mixed market of
private and voluntary providers, including childminders, day nurseries and pre-schools, and
through schools, including academies. As of January 2026, Hillingdon has:
174 registered childminders
58 school-based nurseries
151 Private Voluntary and Independent (PVI) settings
1 Council-maintained nursery school
Five schools have consulted to change their age range to be able to offer funded places to
eligible children from the term after their second birthday. For 2 of the schools this took effect
September 2024 and for the other 3 this took effect from September 2025. A further primary
school has completed a consultation recently to lower their age range and another school is
also considering making this change.
Plan page 18
Provision of early education and childcare is vital for the local economy, and for developing
stronger communities. The support delivered to early years settings in Hillingdon ensures that
children are school ready when they move into statutory education and are best placed to
achieve a Good Level of Development at the end of the Early Years Foundation Stage.
The Council aims to ensure that all children have access to provision that is ‘Good’ or better,
which is the case for 99% of group care settings that have been inspected up to August 2025
(data source: ’Childcare providers and inspections as of 31st August 2025’). Support for
settings to improve i s provided by the Early Years Quality Improvement Team, who provide
training and support to settings on a range of pedagogical and curriculum -based topics.
Ongoing support is focused on settings being confident to demonstrate their knowledge and
understanding of the EYFS and next steps for children’s learning.
Planned Growth
The childcare market remains relatively stable, and the Council receives regular enquiries
from group childcare providers interested in establishing new or additional provision within the
Borough, albeit that the availability of suitable premises remains the biggest hurdle to new
providers in establishing their business.
Where a provider ceases to operate, a new or alternative provider frequently opens in their
place, ensuring the sufficiency of childcare for the local community. However, there are wards
in the Borough where sufficiency of early years childcare remains a challenge, and the
Families’ Information Service continues to work with group childcare providers, childminders,
and school nurseries to increase provision in response to rising demand. This varies according
to the age of children and the type of funded entitlement that children are eligible for. For
example, the Wards where there are the biggest shortfalls in funded childcare for
disadvantaged two-year-olds, are Charville, Harefield Village, Heathrow Villages, Hillingdon
East and Wood End. For children whose parents qualify for the working parents entitlement to
funded childcare, the Wards with the biggest challenge for insufficient funded childcare are
Colham & Cowley, Hayes Town, Harefield Village, Heathrow Villages, Pinkwell, Uxbridge and
Wood End.
The priority for Early Years place planning is ensuring that there are sufficient places for
children aged under two who will be eligible for up to 30 hours of funded childcare. The Council
will continue to engage with all new and existing childcare providers, including childminders,
schools, and private nursery settings, to ensure we are able to provide sufficient places for all
children across Hillingdon.
As detailed earlier, the live birth rate in Hillingdon has fallen in the last 5 years and is projected
to stabilise at this lower level over the next 2-3 years. However, parents’ entitlement to funded
childcare for 2-year-olds increased from April 2024, with working families now entitled to up to
15 funded hours of childcare per week, over 38 weeks a year. This entitlement was extended
to children from nine months old, from September 2024.
Families must meet eligibility criteria to qualify, and children can only receive funded childcare
from the term after they are nine months old. In September 2025, this entitlement expanded
to offer up to 30 hours funded childcare a week, for 38 weeks a year, for eligible children.
In response to the expected increased demand, additional places will be needed, although it
is expected that some existing childcare places will convert from family funded provision, to
Plan page 19
provision that is partly paid by the Council and partly paid by families. The Council are working
with settings to understand what the full impact of these changes is likely to be and will look
for appropriate solutions and additional capacity in response , especially for children aged
under two years old. This will include:
working with existing providers to look at expansion or opening new settings
promoting the childcare sector to prospective childminders
supporting the government early years recruitment campaign
For more information on Early Years Places please refer to the childcare sufficiency
assessment.
Wraparound childcare for school aged children.
In Hillingdon we have been developing a wraparound offer in schools to provide childcare for
children from breakfast to after school. This is aimed at children from five to twelve years of
age, giving parents the opportunity to train, be in education or get back into work.
We have been working with a range of providers to ensure children attending schools across
the Borough have sufficient opportunities to access wraparound care, the programme has
been developing over the past year complimenting those settings already offering childcare
for school aged children.
Currently 21 providers have accessed funding to set up Wraparound provision for school
aged children across the LA. This funding grant is still available for providers to access until
April 2026.
Table 6. Wraparound Provision for Schools in Hillingdon January 2026.
Plan page 20
*12 additional places were created in the provision, however based on DfE calculations this equates
to 2 full wraparound places
Based on increasing demand for places we will continue to work with schools and settings to
develop the childcare offer for school aged children through:
Quality of provision
Identifying areas of insufficient childcare
Marketing wraparound within schools to promote parental choice.
3.3 Primary Place Planning
In Hillingdon, the statutory duty to plan school places (for Reception to year 11) is undertaken
by assessing places in pupil planning areas (PPAs) . The Council has a duty to provide a
“reasonable offer” of a school place to all children. In the primary phase, a “reasonable offer”
is one that is within 2 miles of home. Hillingdon uses 14 PPAs which are broadly based on
Hillingdon’s electoral ward boundaries. By dividing the Borough into 14 primary planning
areas, Officers can ensure that places are provided near to where children live. However,
children can travel across planning areas to attend school, particularly when they live close to
the borders.
Plan page 21
The table below outlines the number of schools in each area, and Appendix 5 shows which
schools are within each planning area.
Table 7. Planning Areas
Planning Area
Number
Number of
Schools
PPA 1 2
PPA 2 5
PPA 3 6
PPA 4 2
PPA 5 10
PPA 6 7
PPA 7 5
PPA 8 4
PPA 9 4
PPA 10 3
PPA 11 9
PPA 12 3
PPA 13 2
PPA 14 5
The forecast for the Borough of Hillingdon is below, and forecasts are shown by Planning Area
and set out in Appendix 6. These planning areas provide the basis for the annual DfE School
Capacity (SCAP) return submitted in the Summer term that determines the level of grant
funding the Council is allocated. They are groups of schools, defined by geography and
admissions patterns, wherein a sufficiency of places across the group will generally ensure
every child can access a local school place (even if some schools are oversubscribed).
School Place Planning and Admissions Officers liaise with schools individually and collectively
to discuss current demand for places, future demand for places and any projects that need to
be completed to ensure there are sufficient school places. Officers from the team also engage
with planning authorities, local councillors, residen ts and communities, faith groups,
developers, and Central Government.
Primary Projections
Applications to Hillingdon schools on National Offer Day for Reception in 202 5 were 287
places less than projected, although some of this gap is likely to be filled by late applications.
Approximately 40% of our primary phase schools are currently full. Surplus places have risen
overall but are expected to stabilize over the next few years . Surplus places are often
concentrated in a small number of primary schools across the Borough.
Officers are working closely with primary schools regarding the large number of surplus places
due to PAN reductions and continu e to monitor other schools that may also have surplus
capacity in the next few years. These reductions will be managed in line with the options in
the strategy outlined above.
Plan page 22
Reception Pupil Forecast – The London Borough of Hillingdon
Table 8. Reception Pupil Forecast for the London Borough of Hillingdon
Year 25/26 26/27 27/28 28/29 29/30 30/31 31/32
Year-on-Year +/- +163 +138 -129 -4 -2 -20 -17
Reception Surplus 532 394 523 527 529 549 566
“Reception Pupil Forecast” shows the year -on-year change in projections e.g., for the whole Borough,
2025/26’s reception projection is 163 pupils higher than the 2024/25 census actuals.
“Reception Surplus” show s the expected number of vacant school places against the approved PAN
for each year.
“Number on Roll” is using January Census actuals for 2024/25, and projections for future years.
3.4 Secondary Place Planning
Secondary aged children are expected to travel longer distances to school. A reasonable offer
for a secondary place is one that is within 3 miles of home. However, secondary planning
areas allow the Council to understand local ised pressures for schools and where additional
places would help more children attend a school near to where they live. However, this must
be balanced with any resource implications .
The October 2025 census shows a year -on-year fall in secondary numbers to 17,934 (not
including 6th form) for the second consecutive year (190 less than October 2024). Year 7 roll
in the October 2025 Census stabilising at 3,479 (1 more than October 2024), but pressure in
this phase still remains as some schools are currently accommodating bulge classes in upper
year groups. There is also a higher number of pupils in years 10-11 due to a combination of
in-year admissions, and the additional capacity for those year groups in two studio colleges
and two UTC schools which attract pupils from out of Borough.
The Year 7 roll in October 2025 was 135 above the number of offers made on National Offer
Day. This is partially due to 60 pupils at Guru Nanak Sikh Academy (an all -through school)
aging through from year 6 to 7 without needing to apply for a place.
Plan page 23
Preferences for Year 7 in September 2025 and actions
National Offer Day was 3rd March 2025, and although most secondary school pupils attend a
school two miles from home or nearer, some pupils choose to travel further including in and
out of the Borough. In 2025, 400 Hillingdon residents were offered Out of Borough schools ,
which is 141 less than 2024. The Council use two different metrics:
a. Ensuring every resident pupil has a school place – increasing the supply of places
in schools in the Borough if necessary.
b. The proportion of resident pupils gaining one of their top preferences – which
includes them securing places in out of Borough schools.
The council received 3,626 secondary school applications for September 2025, and ninety-
four per cent of pupils were offered one of their preferred places.
Hillingdon also achieved slightly below than the London average for applicants offered one of
their top three preference schools at 88.16 per cent, compared to London's 90.48 per cent.
From those, 67.15 per cent of Hillingdon pupils received their first choice.
Secondary projections
Parental choice fills most secondary schools but leaves capacity in some schools
underutilised. Some of this capacity can be further than 3 miles away from the pupils’ homes
who require a place and may mean that children need to travel further to access a place. This
complicates the process of pupil place planning as projections can assume all places are
equally full and popular which is not the case for all schools. This demonstrates the need for
analysis at a PPA level to ensure a true reflection of demand, and ensure pupils have a school
place close to home where possible.
The tables below show the most recent projections, with secondary pupil numbers (including
sixth form) continuing to rise to a peak in 202 5/26 before starting to fall. It is best practice to
retain additional capacity between 5% - 10% during the year to support any transition and
movement of pupils, therefore the LA aim to provide a surplus in line with above parameters.
Year 7 Pupil Forecast – The London Borough of Hillingdon
Table 9. Year 7 Pupil Forecast for the London Borough of Hillingdon
Year 25/26 26/27 27/28 28/29 29/30 30/31 31/32
+/- +68 +23 -11 -78 -80 -71 -53
Year 7 Surplus 179 156 167 245 325 396 449
The actual number of offers made to schools in the Borough on 2025 National Offer Day
Plan page 24
(including to pupils with EHCPs) was 3,546, slightly below the overall PAN, and the latest
projections.
Secondary rolls are far less linked to locality than primary, and more to parent’s preferences
and perception of the education experience, high standards, faith, and their willingness to
travel to a school of choice. Each year, we review the projections, school census data and
national offer day data to check and understand where projections are most accurate.
Although the current forecast is for a reduction in surplus capacity in the short term, the longer-
term forecast is a continued reduction after 2027 / 28 as you can see from the table above .
We continue to work with schools to ensure we are able to meet our statutory duties, and the
demand for places , and ensure that schools remain financially viable during this time of
fluctuating demand.
3.5 Post 16 Planning
The Education and Skills Act 2008 applies to any person who has ceased to be of compulsory
school age, has not reached the age of 18, and has not attained a level 3 qualification. The
Council works in partnership with schools , stakeholders and the local Further Education
colleges to ensure young people aged 16-18 (and up to the age of 25 for those who have an
Education, Health and Care Plan (EHCP) have access to a range of opportunities to continue
their education or training at a wide range of post-16 providers , apprenticeships, and
supported internships.
The total number of young people aged 16 to 18 are in Education, Employment and Training
is 7570.
In April 2026, a new provision will be opening at Barr a Hall in Uxbridge, which was acquired
by Harrow, Richmond & Uxbridge Colleges (HRUC) and will cater for young people who have
Severe or Moderate Learning Difficulties (SLD or MLD) which was identified as a gap in
provision in Hillingdon. HRUC’s partnerships with Heathrow will provide great pathways for
supported internship opportunities as well as industry insight for young people with SEND.
In partnership with HRUC we also saw the launch of the Vocational Carousel which saw 55
young people between the ages of 14 -16 take part i n a 1 day a week 6 week programme ,
allowing them to experience a post 16 provision, and open up opportunities when they finish
Year 11 education. This programme has also been listed in the new (RONI) Risk of NEET
indicator guidance by the DfE. In recent times however this has been removed as an offer by
HRUC due to the lack of participation from schools.
The Council is developing its post 16 offer for young people with 'unique’ needs through a
variety of strategies:
A newly created Post 16 transition guidance document with RONI indicator tool which
helps schools identify the risk of NEET cohorts.
A Post 16 SEND pathways information sheet created by our very own supported
interns working within the Council.
In partnership with Heathrow Airport
A Post 16 prospectus which is now a mobile friendly website which is more affordable
for schools, and an opportunity to advertise local businesses to generate funding for
the Local Authority.
A preparing for adulthood document whi ch is clear and will alig n with the local offer -
along with a young persons version to help with advice for young people at key stages
of their life.
Plan page 25
A partnership with Elevate Mentoring is in its early stages and is due to deliver
workshops and 1:1 mentoring to young people who are at risk of exclusion and known
to key services like: Early Help, Youth Justice and LAC. This piece of work will be
evaluated and reflected upon to help with ongoing work with the Australian
Government.
Through the 14–19-year-old steering group, headteachers agreed that NEET prevention and
vocational pathways for 14–16-year-olds were directions that the Borough should take. This
group will continue to develop solutions during the coming year for this identified priority.
Following the success of our 14-19 steering group we have seen the following:
Vocational Carousel
GCSE results hub
ELEVATE mentoring supporting 3 schools (500 students) around
employability/behaviour programmes.
3.6 Special Education Needs and Disabilities (SEND) - Special
Schools & Alternative Provision
There are two community special schools and six academy special schools in Hillingdon, all
of which are full, as demand is high. The largest growth in demand is for pupils with Autism
Spectrum Conditions, many with additional complex secondary needs.
The Council also use Independent Non-Maintained Special Schools (INMSS) to educate a
number of pupils, where their needs cannot be met within our own special schools. The
majority of these are within the Borough, but some children and young people travel outside
the Borough for specialised provision. The Council have been working very hard to reduce the
number of chi ldren in INMSS provision and ensure that local state-funded provision is
available.
This has resulted in additional local capacity being planned and provided to meet the needs
of these children and young people, including additional special school places, and specialist
provision within mainstream schools. However, it will take time for the current cohort pupils to
transition from their current INMSS provision which will remain under review.
SEND & AP Strategy 2023-28
The Hillingdon Local Area SEND and Alternative Provision Strategy for CYP with SEND sets
out key priorities in developing further new, ambitious, and innovative specialist provision that
meets the need of Hillingdon CYP locally . Within the new strategy there are five Ambitions
that focus on early intervention, inclusion, SEND sufficiency, post 16 provision and Social,
Emotional, and Mental Health ( SEMH) needs, as well as on Alternative Provision. The
Council’s SEND governance structure has been redesigned to reflect these, and new Ambition
Groups have been created to ensure progress towards outcomes. The Ambition Group 3 has
a specific focus on specialist provision and monitors the progress of all new developments as
well as managing any changes required in existing specialist provision to make it sustainable
and to meet the current and future demand.
Plan page 26
The intended outcomes of this group are:
The proportion of children with EHCPs in mainstream and SEND schools is in line with
national.
Children who require specialist provision are placed without delay in appropriate local
provision.
Children and young people and their families are positive about their experiences of
the SEND provision in Hillingdon and tell us the services are meeting their needs.
Review of banding is completed through co -production with stakeholders and a new
model created which is fit for purpose long term, ensures equity, and supports children
appropriately in all settings.
The number of placements in SRPs increases, developing areas of expertise and
outstanding practice across the borough.
Mainstream settings access outreach support from local SEND schools to further
develop outstanding inclusive practice.
Alternative Provision in Borough meets nee
ds and is used effectively to improve outcomes by supporting transition back into
mainstream at the earliest opportunity.
A reduction in SEND transport demand as more children will be attending their local
school
As most of the new specialist provision has been created within the primary sector our next
step is to develop a continuum of support through to secondary provision, with additional
Specialist Resource Provision’s (SRP’s) and Designated Unit’s (DU’s).
Dedicated Schools Grant (DSG) deficit recovery safety valve agreement
Hillingdon Council is one of the many Local Authorities that have successfully secured a Safety
Valve agreement with the DfE. This is a result of the deficit in th e Dedicated Schools Grant
(DSG) High Needs block, which funds SEND provision for children an d young people in
Hillingdon. Rising demand and costs have put pressure on the DSG and the LA has developed
a DSG Deficit Recovery Programme following the ‘safety valve’ agreement which has
supported revenue and capital funding required for the Borough. Ensuring there is appropriate
provision to meet Hillingdon’s children and young people’s needs is a key strategic priority for
the Council, underpinned by sufficient resource and capability to ensure timely and successful
delivery. The purpose of the recovery plan is to:
Put mainstream inclusion and high-quality SEND services at the heart of education in
Hillingdon
Reduce total costs of specialist placements
Add more local maintained specialist places in the Borough in line with the needs of
our children and young people
Embed financial sustainability
Extra specialist places are being developed in Hillingdon in the next few years to meet the
rising demand, to minimise use of independent provision and lo nger travel times for children
and young people. The aim is to maximise the use of local maintained education spaces and
promote integration of pupils into mainstream where possible. Projects selected have been
delivered in partnership with schools and academies that have surplus physical capacity and
have commitment to inclusion and expertise in managing change.
Plan page 27
Hillingdon’s SEND Context
Graph 3. SEN Support % and EHCP Support % by Census Return
Children with SEND Support and EHCPs in mainstream have increased term on term since
we launched the strategy. In Autumn 202 4, 12.2% of our children and young people in
mainstream settings were receiving SEND Support , and 2. 8% of our children and young
people in mainstream settings were in receipt of an EHCP. In Autumn 202 5, 12.7% were in
receipt of SEND Support, up by 0. 5%, and 3.1% were in receipt of an EHCP in mainstream
schools, up by 0. 3%. This evidences that more children and young people on SEN Support
and with EHCPs are being educated in mainstream schools. There is still a significant
difference between primary and secondary SEND children attending mainstream schools
across the borough – primary children with EHCPs are currently at 3 .3% and sec ondary is
2.7%.
Table 10. Changes in SEN Support and EHCP levels in mainstream schools (based on Autumn
census data for each year):
Plan page 28
EHCPs Maintained by Hillingdon : As of January 2025, there are 3, 469 EHCPs, a 3 8%
increase since January 2020. This number fluctuates due to various factors, including pupils
moving in and out of the borough (SEN2 data 2025)
EHCPs in Hillingdon Schools : A s of October 202 5, there are 2, 716 pupils with EHCPs
attending Hillingdon schools, a 29.5% increase since October 2021. Of these, 4 3.3% are in
special schools, and 18.9% of pupils in Hillingdon special schools are from other local
authorities. (October 2025 census data)
EHCP Growth: There has been a 38% increase in EHCPs maintained by Hillingdon since
January 2020, w ith the most recent year showing a -1.0% change in January 2025 (SEN2
data 2025). As of January 2026, there are 3758 EHCPs, an increase of 8.3% from January
2025.
SEN Support: As of October 2025, 12.7% of Hillingdon pupils in mainstream schools receive
SEN support, below the national average of 14.2% (from DfE publication - “Special educational
needs in England”: June 2025).
EHCP Prevalence: As of October 2025, 5.3% of pupils in Hillingdon schools have an EHCP,
matching the national average but below the London average of 5.4% (from DfE publication -
“Special educational needs in England”: June 2025).
Primary Need of Autism: The number of pupils with autism as their primary need has almost
doubled from 920 in January 2020, to 1,845 in January 202 5, and currently remains the
highest need in the borough. (internal SEN data 2020 v SEN2 data 2025)
Special vs. Mainstream Schools: As of January 2025, 3 7.9% of total EHCP pupils from
Hillingdon attend special schools, higher than the national average of 30.4%. Meanwhile,
54.3% are in mainstream schools, also above the national average of 43.6%. (SEN2 data
2025)
Graph 4. Hillingdon Residents with EHCPs – Actuals and 24/25-based Projections (based on
January data each year)
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